Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Almería against Oviedo on 24 October 2026 · 20:00 at UD Almería Stadium (Almería), and G. Cid will referee. Almería (56%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Almería vs Oviedo: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Almería are 2nd in the table, on 26 points after 12 matches (8W 2D 2L), and Oviedo are 9th, on 18 points (5W 3D 4L).
- Head to head. From 17 meetings: 5 wins for Almería, 6 wins for Oviedo and 6 draws, with the goals at 22–22.
What to expect
For us, Almería are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–0 (11.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 53% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 17; Almería 5 wins, 6 draws, Oviedo 6 wins.
- An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
- Out: Almería 0, Oviedo 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 53%, best price 1.80). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Almería: no absences. Absent for Oviedo: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Almería vs Oviedo: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.72 | 3.98 | 5.34 |
| Market average | 1.66 | 3.78 | 4.99 |
| Lowest odds | 1.60 | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 75.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 52.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 1.98 | 47.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.10 | 2.99 | 31.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.76 | 52.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.96 | 47.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Almería 1–0 Oviedo, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Almería 2nd (26 points), Oviedo 9th (18 points).
- H2H: 17 matches: Almería 5W 6D 6L, goals 22–22.
- Absences: Almería 0, Oviedo 0.
Who will win Almería vs Oviedo?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Almería vs Oviedo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Almería vs Oviedo: team news and absences
Almería
- No reported absences
Oviedo
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 | Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Almería vs Oviedo?
Almería -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win Almería vs Oviedo?
We estimate: Almería win 56%, draw 25%, Oviedo win 19%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: UD Almería Stadium, Almería. Referee: G. Cid.
Who will be missing?
Almería: no absences. Oviedo: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.85); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 53% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–0 as most likely (11.5%), then 1–1 (10.9%) and 2–0 (10.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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