Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
FC Andorra v Burgos: 26 October 2026 · 19:30 at Estadi de la FAF (Encamp), with D. Miranda refereeing. We have FC Andorra (48%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
FC Andorra vs Burgos: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. FC Andorra are 20th in the table, on 10 points after 11 matches (3W 1D 7L), and Burgos are 8th, on 21 points (6W 3D 3L).
- Attack and defence. On average FC Andorra score 1.3 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.7; for Burgos the figures are 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. FC Andorra: 3W 1D 6L, goals 13–17; Burgos: 5W 2D 3L, goals 13–10.
- Head to head. From 8 meetings: 2 wins for FC Andorra, 5 wins for Burgos and 1 draw, with the goals at 6–10.
What to expect
For us, FC Andorra are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.3%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
What stands out is that the table favours the Burgos, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.87), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 47% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 8; FC Andorra 2 wins, 1 draw, Burgos 5 wins.
- An average of 2.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: FC Andorra 13–17, Burgos 13–10.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 47%.
- Out: FC Andorra 0, Burgos 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 52%, best price 1.83). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for FC Andorra: no absences. Absent for Burgos: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
FC Andorra vs Burgos: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.01 | 3.50 | 4.17 |
| Market average | 1.96 | 3.34 | 3.81 |
| Lowest odds | 1.91 | 3.10 | 3.48 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.34 | 1.30 | 72.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.08 | 1.99 | 47.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.87 | 1.80 | 52.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.75 | 3.49 | 26.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.79 | 51.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.96 | 1.91 | 48.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 26/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: FC Andorra 1–1 Burgos, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Andorra 20th (10 points), Burgos 8th (21 points).
- Form in the competition: FC Andorra 3W 1D 6L (13:17), Burgos 5W 2D 3L (13:10).
- H2H: 8 matches: FC Andorra 2W 1D 5L, goals 6–10.
- Absences: FC Andorra 0, Burgos 0.
Who will win FC Andorra vs Burgos?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
FC Andorra vs Burgos: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
FC Andorra vs Burgos: team news and absences
FC Andorra
- No reported absences
Burgos
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 | Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 | FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
FC Andorra
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
FC AndorraLLWDBurgosDWWLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for FC Andorra vs Burgos?
FC Andorra +0 (Asian handicap) (1.50); Under 2.5 goals (1.87).
Who will win FC Andorra vs Burgos?
We estimate: FC Andorra win 48%, draw 28%, Burgos win 24%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 26 October 2026, kick-off: 19:30, venue: Estadi de la FAF, Encamp. Referee: D. Miranda.
Who will be missing?
FC Andorra: no absences. Burgos: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 47% (odds 2.08); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 53% (odds 1.87).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.83).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.3%), then 1–0 (11.7%) and 2–1 (9.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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