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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 2 · 22 October 2026 · 17:45

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: prediction, tip and odds, 22 October 2026, UEFA Conference League

1FC Nordsjælland1.43
XDraw5.20
2CSKA Sofia8.00

Best price · Updated 22/10/26, 16:28

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Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

FC Nordsjælland play CSKA Sofia at home on 22 October 2026 · 17:45 at Right to Dream Park (Farum); the referee is R. Jones. For us, FC Nordsjælland (68%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: tip and prediction
Handicap
FC Nordsjælland -1.25 (Asian handicap)
1.89
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.55
Combo
FC Nordsjælland + over 2.5 goals combined
2.06
48% · fair odds for the combo
52%Chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: FC Nordsjælland or draw (1X): 87% probability, best odds 1.11.

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FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. FC Nordsjælland are 19th in the table, on 2 points after 2 matches (0W 2D 0L), and CSKA Sofia are 23rd, on 1 point (0W 1D 1L).

What to expect

For us, FC Nordsjælland are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (10.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
  2. Out: FC Nordsjælland 0, CSKA Sofia 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, best price 1.65). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for FC Nordsjælland: no absences. Absent for CSKA Sofia: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.435.208.00
Market average1.394.867.14
Lowest odds1.334.396.18
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.171.1382.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.551.5062.5%
Under 2.5 goals2.552.4937.5%
Over 3.5 goals2.342.2641.6%
BTTS – yes1.731.7054.5%
BTTS – no2.102.0445.5%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 16:28. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.9%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: FC Nordsjælland 2–0 CSKA Sofia, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: FC Nordsjælland 19th (2 points), CSKA Sofia 23rd (1 point).
  • Absences: FC Nordsjælland 0, CSKA Sofia 0.

Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

FC Nordsjælland68%
Draw19%
CSKA Sofia13%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: more betting tips

FC Nordsjælland or draw (1X)86.8% · fair odds 1.15 · best 1.11
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.3% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17
Likely
FC Nordsjælland to win67.5% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.43
Likely
Over 2.5 goals62.5% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals58.4% · fair odds 1.71 · best 1.65
Possible
BTTS – yes54.5% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.73
Possible
BTTS – no45.5% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals41.6% · fair odds 2.40 · best 2.34
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals37.5% · fair odds 2.67 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw19.3% · fair odds 5.18 · best 5.20
Outsider
CSKA Sofia to win13.2% · fair odds 7.59 · best 8.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.69 · Under 2.09
probability of over 55.4%

Correct score prediction

2 : 010.3%
2 : 19.7%
1 : 08.9%
1 : 18.5%
3 : 07.9%
3 : 17.5%

FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia: team news and absences

FC Nordsjælland

  • No reported absences

CSKA Sofia

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

FC Nordsjælland

1 NovLFC Nordsjælland 2–3 FC Midtjylland
25 OctDSilkeborg 1–1 FC Nordsjælland
22 OctDFC Nordsjælland 2–2 CSKA Sofia
18 OctDLyngby 3–3 FC Nordsjælland
15 OctDHeart Of Midlothian 1–1 FC Nordsjælland

CSKA Sofia

22 OctDFC Nordsjælland 2–2 CSKA Sofia
15 OctLCSKA Sofia 1–2 Monaco

Home and away

FC Nordsjælland at home1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 2–2
CSKA Sofia away1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 2–2

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.9%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

FC Nordsjælland -1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.89); Over 2.5 goals (1.55).

Who will win FC Nordsjælland vs CSKA Sofia?

We estimate: FC Nordsjælland win 68%, draw 19%, CSKA Sofia win 13%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 17:45, venue: Right to Dream Park, Farum. Referee: R. Jones.

Who will be missing?

FC Nordsjælland: no absences. CSKA Sofia: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.55); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.55).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.73).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 2–0 as most likely (10.3%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.9%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.