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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 19:00

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: prediction, tip and odds, 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Gimnástica Segoviana
0–1
Cultural Leonesa
1Gimnástica Segoviana3.90
XDraw3.60
2Cultural Leonesa2.20

Best price · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Gimnástica Segoviana play Cultural Leonesa at home on 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio La Albuera (Segovia). For us, there is no clear favourite. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: tip and prediction
Result
Gimnástica Segoviana or draw (1X)
1.75
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
56%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

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Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Head to head. From 3 meetings: 1 win for Gimnástica Segoviana, 1 win for Cultural Leonesa and 1 draw, with the goals at 4–4.

What to expect

For us, Cultural Leonesa are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 3; Gimnástica Segoviana 1 win, 1 draw, Cultural Leonesa 1 win.
  2. An average of 2.7 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
  4. Out: Gimnástica Segoviana 0, Cultural Leonesa 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Gimnástica Segoviana: no absences. Absent for Cultural Leonesa: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price3.903.602.20
Market average3.183.402.12
Lowest odds2.833.131.91
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2374.7%
Over 2.5 goals1.841.7752.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.001.9847.3%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8132.8%
BTTS – yes1.671.6257.2%
BTTS – no2.252.1642.8%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.3%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Gimnástica Segoviana 1–1 Cultural Leonesa, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 3 matches: Gimnástica Segoviana 1W 1D 1L, goals 4–4.
  • Absences: Gimnástica Segoviana 0, Cultural Leonesa 0.

Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa?

Gimnástica Segoviana29%
Draw27%
Cultural Leonesa44%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals74.7% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.26
Likely
Draw or Cultural Leonesa (X2)70.8% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.36
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.2% · fair odds 1.49 · best 1.44
Likely
BTTS – yes57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.7% · fair odds 1.90 · best 1.84
Possible
Under 2.5 goals47.3% · fair odds 2.11 · best 2.00
Outsider
Cultural Leonesa to win43.6% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.20
Outsider
BTTS – no42.8% · fair odds 2.34 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.8% · fair odds 3.05 · best 3.00
Outsider
Gimnástica Segoviana to win29.2% · fair odds 3.42 · best 3.90
Outsider
Draw27.2% · fair odds 3.68 · best 3.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.77 · Under 1.96
probability of over 52.6%

Correct score prediction

1 : 111.8%
0 : 19.4%
1 : 29.1%
1 : 07.6%
2 : 17.4%
0 : 27.3%

Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa: team news and absences

Gimnástica Segoviana

  • No reported absences

Cultural Leonesa

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Team comparison

Gimnástica SegovianaCultural Leonesa
80%Head to head20%
57%Goals43%
68.5%Overall31.5%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Head to head

1Gimnástica Segoviana
1Draws
1Cultural Leonesa
27/10/26 · Gimnástica Segoviana 0–1 Cultural Leonesa
16/3/25 · Gimnástica Segoviana 1–1 Cultural Leonesa
15/12/24 · Cultural Leonesa 2–3 Gimnástica Segoviana

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.3%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa?

Gimnástica Segoviana or draw (1X) (1.75); Both teams to score (1.67).

Who will win Gimnástica Segoviana vs Cultural Leonesa?

We estimate: Gimnástica Segoviana win 29%, draw 27%, Cultural Leonesa win 44%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Estadio La Albuera, Segovia.

Who will be missing?

Gimnástica Segoviana: no absences. Cultural Leonesa: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.84); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.00).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.8%), then 0–1 (9.4%) and 1–2 (9.1%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.