Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 5–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Girona play Celta de Vigo II at home on 24 October 2026 · 17:30 at Estadio Municipal de Montilivi (Girona); the referee is J. Guzmán. For us, Girona (71%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Girona are 7th in the table, on 21 points after 12 matches (6W 3D 3L), and Celta de Vigo II are 16th, on 13 points (3W 4D 5L).
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 1 win for Girona, 0 wins for Celta de Vigo II and 0 draws, with the goals at 5–1.
What to expect
For us, Girona are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (11.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Girona 1 win, 0 draws, Celta de Vigo II 0 wins.
- An average of 6.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
- Out: Girona 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, best price 1.70). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Girona: no absences. Absent for Celta de Vigo II: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.35 | 5.40 | 9.48 |
| Market average | 1.32 | 5.13 | 8.58 |
| Lowest odds | 1.29 | 4.80 | 8.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.14 | 82.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.50 | 62.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.48 | 37.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.27 | 41.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.83 | 1.78 | 52.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.94 | 47.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 14:13. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Girona 2–0 Celta de Vigo II, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Girona 7th (21 points), Celta de Vigo II 16th (13 points).
- H2H: 1 match: Girona 1W 0D 0L, goals 5–1.
- Absences: Girona 0, Celta de Vigo II 0.
Who will win Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Girona vs Celta de Vigo II: team news and absences
Girona
- No reported absences
Celta de Vigo II
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 | Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 | Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?
Under 3.5 goals (1.70); Girona to win (1.35).
Who will win Girona vs Celta de Vigo II?
We estimate: Girona win 71%, draw 18%, Celta de Vigo II win 11%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: Estadio Municipal de Montilivi, Girona. Referee: J. Guzmán.
Who will be missing?
Girona: no absences. Celta de Vigo II: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.57); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.83).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (11.3%), then 1–0 (9.6%) and 2–1 (9.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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