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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 19:00

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: prediction, tip and odds, 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Guijuelo
1–3
1Guijuelo8.50
XDraw4.90
2Sporting Gijón1.41

Best price · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Guijuelo play Sporting Gijón at home on 29 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos (Guijuelo). For us, Sporting Gijón (67%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: tip and prediction
Handicap
Guijuelo +1.25 (Asian handicap)
1.96
Goals
BTTS: no
1.75
Combo
Sporting Gijón + over 2.5 goals combined
2.43
41% · fair odds for the combo
50%Chance
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Sporting Gijón (X2): 87% probability, best odds 1.10.

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Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Head to head. From 2 meetings: 0 wins for Guijuelo, 2 wins for Sporting Gijón and 0 draws, with the goals at 1–6.

What to expect

For us, Sporting Gijón are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–2 (12.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick BTTS: no (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 46% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 52% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 2; Guijuelo 0 wins, 0 draws, Sporting Gijón 2 wins.
  2. An average of 3.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 52%.
  4. Out: Guijuelo 0, Sporting Gijón 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – no

Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 54%, best price 1.75). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Guijuelo: no absences. Absent for Sporting Gijón: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price8.504.901.41
Market average7.384.451.39
Lowest odds6.504.101.33
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.261.2374.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.801.7952.3%
Under 2.5 goals2.021.9647.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8732.1%
BTTS – yes2.052.0046.1%
BTTS – no1.751.7253.9%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.3%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Guijuelo 0–2 Sporting Gijón, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 2 matches: Guijuelo 0W 0D 2L, goals 1–6.
  • Absences: Guijuelo 0, Sporting Gijón 0.

Who will win Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón?

Guijuelo13%
Draw21%
Sporting Gijón67%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: more betting tips

Draw or Sporting Gijón (X2)87.4% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.10
Likely
Over 1.5 goals74.6% · fair odds 1.34 · best 1.26
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.9% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.40
Likely
Sporting Gijón to win66.6% · fair odds 1.50 · best 1.41
Likely
BTTS – no53.9% · fair odds 1.86 · best 1.75
Possible
Over 2.5 goals52.3% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals47.7% · fair odds 2.10 · best 2.02
Outsider
BTTS – yes46.1% · fair odds 2.17 · best 2.05
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.1% · fair odds 3.11 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw20.8% · fair odds 4.81 · best 4.90
Outsider
Guijuelo to win12.6% · fair odds 7.97 · best 8.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Correct score prediction

0 : 212.8%
0 : 112.8%
1 : 29.6%
1 : 19.6%
0 : 38.5%
1 : 36.4%

Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón: team news and absences

Guijuelo

  • No reported absences

Sporting Gijón

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Team comparison

GuijueloSporting Gijón
0%Head to head100%
0%Goals100%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Head to head

All matches
0Guijuelo
0Draws
2Sporting Gijón
29/10/26 · Guijuelo 1–3 Sporting Gijón
1/11/23 · Guijuelo 0–3 Sporting Gijón

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.3%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón?

Guijuelo +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.96); BTTS: no (1.75).

Who will win Guijuelo vs Sporting Gijón?

We estimate: Guijuelo win 13%, draw 21%, Sporting Gijón win 67%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Estadio Municipal Luis Ramos, Guijuelo.

Who will be missing?

Guijuelo: no absences. Sporting Gijón: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 52% (odds 1.80); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 48% (odds 2.02).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 46% (odds 2.05).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 0–2 as most likely (12.8%), then 0–1 (12.8%) and 1–2 (9.6%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.