Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Hertha BSC play Arminia Bielefeld at home on 24 October 2026 · 12:00 at Olympiastadion (Berlin); the referee is Cristian Ballweg, Germany. For us, Hertha BSC (52%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Hertha BSC are 1st in the table, on 28 points after 10 matches (9W 1D 0L), and Arminia Bielefeld are 7th, on 14 points (4W 2D 4L).
- Head to head. From 9 meetings: 3 wins for Hertha BSC, 2 wins for Arminia Bielefeld and 4 draws, with the goals at 8–9.
What to expect
For us, Hertha BSC are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.56), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 9; Hertha BSC 3 wins, 4 draws, Arminia Bielefeld 2 wins.
- An average of 1.9 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: Hertha BSC 0, Arminia Bielefeld 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Hertha BSC: no absences. Absent for Arminia Bielefeld: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.87 | 4.05 | 4.16 |
| Market average | 1.82 | 3.84 | 3.98 |
| Lowest odds | 1.79 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.21 | 1.17 | 79.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.60 | 58.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.24 | 41.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.57 | 2.51 | 37.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.40 | 2.30 | 40.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 10:33. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Hertha BSC 1–1 Arminia Bielefeld, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Hertha BSC 1st (28 points), Arminia Bielefeld 7th (14 points).
- H2H: 9 matches: Hertha BSC 3W 4D 2L, goals 8–9.
- Absences: Hertha BSC 0, Arminia Bielefeld 0.
Who will win Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld: team news and absences
Hertha BSC
- No reported absences
Arminia Bielefeld
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 | Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 |  VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
Under 3.5 goals (1.56); Hertha BSC to win (1.87).
Who will win Hertha BSC vs Arminia Bielefeld?
We estimate: Hertha BSC win 52%, draw 25%, Arminia Bielefeld win 24%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 12:00, venue: Olympiastadion, Berlin. Referee: Cristian Ballweg, Germany.
Who will be missing?
Hertha BSC: no absences. Arminia Bielefeld: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.65); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.37).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.5%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (8.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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