Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: prediction, tip and odds, 6 November 2026, 2. Bundesliga

Dynamo Dresden vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth betting prediction

Dynamo Dresden sit 18th in the 2. Bundesliga with 8 points from 10 matches, while SpVgg Greuther Fürth are ninth on 12. That is a four-point gap and nine places, and on the table alone Fürth look like the side to back. The bookmakers see it the other way round. They make Dresden the favourite at 50% with best odds of 1.93 for this Matchweek 11 meeting at the Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion. The table covers this competition only, so it does not tell the whole story.

Where the goals have come from this season

Dresden have scored 12 and conceded 20 in this competition, which is 1.2 scored and 2.0 conceded per match. Fürth have scored 13 and conceded 16, or 1.3 and 1.6. The difference that stands out is at the back. Dresden's problem has been letting teams in rather than finding the net, and Fürth have been the tighter side defensively.

At home Dresden have won two and lost two, with five scored and four conceded. Fürth away have one win, two draws and two defeats, with seven scored and ten conceded. Neither side travels well on these numbers, which is why we do not see this as a simple home win.

Recent form across all competitions

The last five matches of both sides come from all competitions, so they do not match the table exactly. Dresden's five read one win, one draw and three defeats, with five goals scored and eight conceded. Their latest results were a 3-0 defeat at Holstein Kiel and a 2-1 defeat at Hannover 96, both on the road. Their best result was the 2-0 home win over 1. FC Magdeburg.

Fürth's five read two wins, one draw and two defeats, with five scored and six conceded. The freshest result is a 1-0 home win over Holstein Kiel, which came a week after a 3-0 defeat at VfL Osnabrück. On form, Fürth have been the more settled side, even if their away results have been mixed.

Head to head and the last two meetings

In the last 14 meetings Fürth have won seven, Dresden three, with four draws. Fürth have scored 18 goals to Dresden's 12. The most recent meeting in the list was a 2-0 Dresden win on 17/1/26, and the one before was a 3-2 Fürth win on 3/8/25.

We would not read too much into the January result. Dresden won that one comfortably at home, but the longer record points to Fürth as the side that usually gets the better of this fixture.

No team news to chase on either side

No absences have been reported for either team.

What the bookmakers expect from this game

The market makes Dresden 50% to win, a draw 25% and a Fürth win 26%, with the bookmaker margin on the match result at 7.8%. The expected goals are 2 for Dresden and 1 for Fürth, about 3 in total. Over 2.5 goals is priced at 60% and both teams to score at 61%. The most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 10.7%, 2-1 at 9.6% and 1-0 at 8.5%. These are what the bookmakers expect, not a forecast we are making ourselves.

Dresden -0.5 at 1.91

Our main tip is Dynamo Dresden -0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.91 (chance 51%). At -0.5 Dresden must win by 1 or more. We like it because Dresden at home have two wins and two defeats in this competition, and the market gives them 51% at best odds of 1.91.

The catch is that a draw does not save the bet. It wins on 2-1, 1-0 and 2-0, and loses on 1-1, 1-2 and 2-2. The 1-1 score is the most likely single result, so we would stake only what you can afford to lose.

Another tip: Both teams to score

Our second tip is Both teams to score at odds 1.53 (chance 61%), and it is the one we trust more. Both teams scored in three of Dresden's last five matches, and Dresden failed to score in only one of them. Fürth have failed to score in only one of their last five as well. Add an expected total of about 3 goals and a market chance of 61%, and the bet makes sense.

It wins on 1-1, 2-1, 1-2 and 2-2, and loses on 1-0 and 2-0. If the game ends 1-1, which is the most likely single score, our main tip loses and this one wins. That is why we like having both bets on the same match.

Other bets we would consider

If you want a different angle, these are the ones we would look at, all at the odds given:

• Dynamo Dresden or draw (1X) at odds 1.30 (chance 74%). This is a safer option here, and our pick if you want cover.
• Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.60 (chance 60%). It fits the expected total of about 3 goals and sits well with the second tip.
• Dynamo Dresden -0.25 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.65 (chance 58%). Half the stake on -0.5 and half on +0, so a narrow home win is not wasted.

Where we land on Dresden and Fürth

The table favours Fürth and the bookmakers favour Dresden, and we land somewhere between them. Dresden have the home edge and the market backs them, but their defence has been leaking goals. Our preference is Dresden to win by a goal and both sides to find the net, which is the scenario our two tips share. If you only back one, make it the second tip.