Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Hortaleza against Sevilla on 29 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Municipal El Val (Alcalá de Henares). Sevilla (92%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Hortaleza vs Sevilla: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Hortaleza, 1 win for Sevilla and 0 draws, with the goals at 0–3.
What to expect
For us, Sevilla are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–4 score, roughly 5 goals in all, with 0–3 (10.2%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
Odds of 1.04 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Under 3.5 goals (odds 3.70), which we rate at 28%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 28% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 85% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 1; Hortaleza 0 wins, 0 draws, Sevilla 1 win.
- An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 5 goals; over 2.5 goals: 85%.
- Out: Hortaleza 0, Sevilla 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 28%, best price 3.50). With roughly 5 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Hortaleza: no absences. Absent for Sevilla: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Hortaleza vs Sevilla: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 61.00 | 29.00 | 1.04 |
| Market average | 44.57 | 19.64 | 1.03 |
| Lowest odds | 25.00 | 11.00 | 1.01 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.03 | 1.02 | 93.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.11 | 1.08 | 85.4% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 7.00 | 6.38 | 14.6% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.27 | 72.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 3.50 | 3.36 | 27.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.29 | 1.28 | 72.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Hortaleza 0–3 Sevilla, roughly 5 goals in total.
- H2H: 1 match: Hortaleza 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–3.
- Absences: Hortaleza 0, Sevilla 0.
Who will win Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Hortaleza vs Sevilla: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Hortaleza vs Sevilla: team news and absences
Hortaleza
- No reported absences
Sevilla
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
HortalezaWDSevillaHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
Sevilla to win (1.04); Under 3.5 goals (3.70).
Who will win Hortaleza vs Sevilla?
We estimate: Hortaleza win 2%, draw 5%, Sevilla win 92%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Estadio Municipal El Val, Alcalá de Henares.
Who will be missing?
Hortaleza: no absences. Sevilla: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 85% (odds 1.11); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 15% (odds 7.00).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 28% (odds 3.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–3 as most likely (10.2%), then 0–4 (10.2%) and 0–5 (8.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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