Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Israel vs Austria (UEFA Nations League, 17 November 2026, 19:45): Over 2.5 goals at odds of 1.63. Second tip: Austria to win at odds of 1.67. The bookmakers' odds give Israel 19%, the draw 23% and Austria 58%. The most likely score is 1–2.
Israel vs Austria betting prediction
Austria to win at odds 1.65, with a chance of 56%, is our main tip for this UEFA Nations League Matchweek 6 game, kick-off 17 November 2026 at 19:45. The visitors top the group and have the better head-to-head record, so the result looks like the safer side of this fixture. The goals question is less clear, and we have a second tip there.
At a glance
- Likely result: Israel 1–2 Austria, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Israel 4th (2 points), Austria 1st (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Israel 0W 2D 2L (2:7), Austria 2W 2D 0L (9:5).
- H2H: 5 matches: Israel 2W 0D 3L, goals 13–14.
- Absences: Israel 0, Austria 0.
Austria's grip on the table
In this competition only, Austria sit first on 8 points from 4 matches, with 2 wins, 2 draws and no defeats. They have scored 9 and conceded 5. Israel are fourth on 2 points from the same number of games, with 2 draws, 2 defeats, and 2 goals scored against 7 conceded. Per match, Israel have scored 0.5 and conceded 1.8 here, while Austria have scored 2.3 and conceded 1.3.
Israel's home record is the real problem. They have 0 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat at home in this competition, with goals 0:3. Austria have not lost away from home here, though they have not won on the road either, with 0 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats and goals 3:3. We do not read that as a side running away with the group. We read it as a side that is simply harder to beat.
Standings and form
League B – Group C
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Austria | 4 | 2-2-0 | 9:5 | 8 |
| 2 |  Kosovo | 4 | 1-2-1 | 3:4 | 5 |
| 3 |  Republic of Ireland | 4 | 1-2-1 | 6:4 | 5 |
| 4 |  Israel | 4 | 0-2-2 | 2:7 | 2 |
Recent matches
Israel
Home and away
Israel vs Austria: last matches of both teams
Israel
Austria
Four games that tell the story
These figures cover all competitions, not just this group, and they point the same way. Israel's last four matches brought no wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats, with 2 goals scored and 7 conceded. Both teams scored in two of those games, and Israel kept a clean sheet in one. Austria's last four brought 2 wins, 2 draws and no defeats, with 9 goals scored and 5 conceded. Both teams scored in all four of Austria's games, which tells us their matches are rarely one-sided, even when they win.
The most recent of Austria's games was a 1-1 draw away at Kosovo on 4/10/26. That is a useful reminder that their run is not unbeaten by accident, and they do drop points. Still, we would rather back the side with two wins and no losses in that run than the one with none.
Who will win Israel vs Austria?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Head-to-head leans Austria's way
In the last five meetings, Austria won 3 and Israel won 2, with no draws. Goals were 13 for Israel and 14 for Austria, so the games have been close on the scoreboard. The most recent one, Austria's 3-1 win on 24/9/26, was the latest reminder of who has had the upper hand. A 3-1 scoreline in the last meeting is a small sample, but it is the kind of result that sticks in the mind when pricing this game.
Head to head
All matchesTeam news: nothing to report
No absences have been reported for either side. That means no price adjustment is needed on team news, and the case rests on form, results and the table.
Israel vs Austria: team news and absences
Israel
- No reported absences
Austria
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
IsraelDDLLAustriaDDWWReading the bookmakers' numbers
The bookmakers give Austria a 56% chance to win at best odds of 1.65. Israel are at 22% with best odds of 4.26, and a draw is also at 22% with best odds of 4.11. The margin on the match result is 8.4%, so the prices are not generous, but the gap between Austria and the other outcomes is wide.
The bookmakers expect Israel to score about 1 goal and Austria about 2, which gives roughly 3 goals in total. The most likely exact scores are 1-1 at 10.4%, 1-2 at 9.9% and 0-1 at 9.5%. These are market expectations, not our forecast, but they show where the money is likely to sit.
Another tip: Austria to win
Austria to win at odds 1.65, with a chance of 56%, is our main tip. The price is short, so we are not chasing a long shot, and we think the visitors deserve to be favourites on the evidence in this competition and elsewhere.
- Austria have won 2 of their last 4 matches in all competitions.
- Austria have lost none of their last 4 matches in all competitions.
- Israel have won none of their last 4 matches in all competitions.
- Austria lead this competition's table with 8 points, while Israel have 2.
The tip wins on 1-2, 0-1, 0-2 or 1-3. It loses on 1-1 and 2-1.
Best bet for Israel vs Austria: Over 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, with a market chance of 58%, is our second tip. We think the goals side is more interesting than the result, and the recent matches support that view. Israel have had more than 2.5 goals in 2 of their last 4 matches, and Austria in 3 of their last 4, both counted in all competitions.
The expected total of about 3 goals sits right on the line, and the bookmakers' 58% at 1.57 is the price we are taking. The tip wins on 1-2, 1-3 and 2-1. It loses on 1-1, 0-1 and 0-2.
Israel vs Austria: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 5.20 | 4.40 | 1.67 |
| Market average | 4.88 | 4.08 | 1.60 |
| Lowest odds | 4.52 | 3.78 | 1.51 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.16 | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.63 | 1.57 | 59.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.40 | 2.34 | 40.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.44 | 2.38 | 39.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.60 | 1.60 | 58.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.30 | 2.22 | 41.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 13/11/26, 20:14. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.5%.
Israel vs Austria: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Other bets we are leaving alone
We have no other bets to recommend on this match. The bookmakers price over 3.5 goals at 2.56 and both teams to score at 1.59, but those are only what the market expects, and we are not backing them. We would rather keep the stake on the two tips above.
The reasons we keep coming back to
Austria are the better side on the evidence we have, with the top spot in this competition, a clean run of results and the edge in their meetings with Israel. Israel's home record of 0 wins in this competition is the figure we keep returning to. The goals angle is the one we trust a little more, because Austria have had more than 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 4 matches, and the expected total sits at about 3. Keep both stakes modest, since the margin on the result is 8.4%.
Returns calculator
Match events
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Israel vs Austria?
Over 2.5 goals (1.63); Austria to win (1.67).
Who will win Israel vs Austria?
We estimate: Israel win 19%, draw 23%, Austria win 58%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 17 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: to be confirmed.
Who will be missing?
Israel: no absences. Austria: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.63); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.40).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.60).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–2 as most likely (9.9%), then 1–1 (9.9%) and 0–2 (9.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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