Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Kalmar FF against Gais on 29 October 2026 · 18:00 at Guldfågeln Arena (Kalmar), and Fredrik Klitte will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Kalmar FF vs Gais: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Kalmar FF are 13th in the table, on 23 points after 27 matches (6W 5D 16L), and Gais are 10th, on 37 points (10W 7D 10L).
- Attack and defence. On average Kalmar FF score 0.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.6; for Gais the figures are 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Kalmar FF: 6W 4D 15L, goals 23–41; Gais: 8W 7D 10L, goals 31–26.
- Head to head. From 4 meetings: 0 wins for Kalmar FF, 3 wins for Gais and 1 draw, with the goals at 3–8.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (12.5%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
What stands out is that the table favours the Gais, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 55%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 50% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 4; Kalmar FF 0 wins, 1 draw, Gais 3 wins.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Kalmar FF 23–41, Gais 31–26.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 50%.
- Out: Kalmar FF 1, Gais 5.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 55%, best price 1.75). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Kalmar FF: A. Magashy. Absent for Gais: K. Holmen, R. Thorkelsson, B. Asumang, D. Collander, L. Hedlund. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Kalmar FF vs Gais: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.41 | 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Market average | 2.28 | 3.30 | 3.01 |
| Lowest odds | 2.20 | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.26 | 73.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.99 | 1.90 | 49.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.92 | 1.87 | 50.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.37 | 3.23 | 29.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.69 | 54.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.06 | 45.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.6%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Kalmar FF 1–1 Gais, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Kalmar FF 13th (23 points), Gais 10th (37 points).
- Form in the competition: Kalmar FF 6W 4D 15L (23:41), Gais 8W 7D 10L (31:26).
- H2H: 4 matches: Kalmar FF 0W 1D 3L, goals 3–8.
- Absences: Kalmar FF 1, Gais 5.
Who will win Kalmar FF vs Gais?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Kalmar FF vs Gais: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Kalmar FF vs Gais: team news and absences
Kalmar FF
- A. Magashyinjury · doubtful
Gais
- K. Holmenknee injury · will miss the match
- R. Thorkelssonknee injury · will miss the match
- B. Asumangillness · doubtful
- D. Collandernot in the squad · doubtful
- L. Hedlundnot in the squad · doubtful
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 2 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 | Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 | Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Kalmar FF
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Kalmar FFDLLWLGaisWWDLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Kalmar FF vs Gais?
Draw or Gais (X2) (1.65); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Kalmar FF vs Gais?
We estimate: Kalmar FF win 41%, draw 28%, Gais win 31%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 18:00, venue: Guldfågeln Arena, Kalmar. Referee: Fredrik Klitte.
Who will be missing?
Kalmar FF: A. Magashy. Gais: K. Holmen, R. Thorkelsson, B. Asumang, D. Collander, L. Hedlund. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.99); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 50% (odds 1.92).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.5%), then 1–0 (10.4%) and 0–1 (8.9%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.