Bet with Freshbet →It is Örgryte IS against Västerås SK FK on 7 November 2026 · 16:30 at Gamla Ullevi (Gothenburg), and Oscar Johnson will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK FK betting prediction
The numbers tell a clear story before a ball is kicked. Västerås SK FK sit sixth with 44 points, Örgryte IS fifteenth with 19, and the bookmakers' expected goals put the visitors at 2 and the hosts at 1, about 3 in total. This is Matchweek 28 of Allsvenskan at Gamla Ullevi, kick-off 16:30 on 7 November 2026. We like Västerås on paper, but the prices leave Orgryte a clear route to at least a point.
Västerås score, Orgryte concede
In this competition, Västerås average 1.5 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per match. Orgryte average 1.2 scored and 2.2 conceded. That gap in defending is the number that worries us most about the home side. Orgryte have scored 33 and conceded 60 in their 27 matches, so the problem is not only finishing but keeping anything out at all.
Their home record is not much better. Orgryte have won 2 and drawn 6 of their home matches in this competition, with 22 goals scored and 24 conceded. Västerås, away, have won 7 and drawn 1 with 20 scored and 23 conceded. Those away figures are close to even, which is exactly why a draw stays on our list.
Recent form points the other way
Across all competitions, Orgryte's last five matches brought 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats, with 8 goals scored and 11 conceded. The shape of those results is what we notice. Four of those five matches had both teams scoring, and every one of them had more than 2.5 goals. Orgryte have been open, and open is rarely comfortable for a side that concedes this often.
Västerås have won 3 of their last five across all competitions, losing 2, with 6 scored and 3 conceded. Three of those five ended without a goal conceded, which is a sharper defensive run than anything Orgryte have shown lately. Those are all-competition figures, so they do not match the league table exactly, and a team can top a table and still drop points in a cup or in Europe. Here we are reading them as a guide to current sharpness, not as the league picture.
Meetings lean narrowly toward Västerås
Across the last 13 meetings, Orgryte have won 3, drawn 6 and Västerås have won 4. The goals split 12 to 15 in the visitors' favour. Draws are frequent in this fixture. The results we can see include a 2-0 Västerås win, a 0-2 Västerås win in Gothenburg, a 1-1 draw, a 1-0 Orgryte win, and a goalless draw. That pattern is a reminder that this rivalry often ends level, which is why we would not write off the draw.
No injury news to shift the picture
Neither side has any reported absences, so the team sheets should look close to their strongest. There is no fitness story here to tilt the price, and we are not going to invent one. The decision rests on the form, the scoring numbers and the odds.
Where we would put our money
Best bet for Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK FK: Örgryte IS or draw
Our main tip is Örgryte IS or draw (1X) at odds 1.67 (chance 58%). We like it because the market gives it 58% at best odds 1.67. The line wins on 1-1, 2-1 and 1-0, and loses on 1-2, 0-1 and 0-2. It is a bet on Orgryte not losing, and the hosts only need to avoid defeat to collect.
Another tip: Both teams to score
Our second tip is both teams to score at odds 1.62 (chance 59%). The arguments are straightforward. Both teams scored in 4 of Orgryte's last 5 matches. Orgryte failed to score in only 1 of their last 5, and Västerås failed to score in only 1 of theirs. The expected total is about 3 goals, and the market gives it 59% at best odds 1.62. This tip wins on 1-1, 1-2 and 2-1, and loses on 0-1, 1-0 and 0-2, so a single-goal home win ruins it.
Alternatives worth a look
- Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.23 (chance 77%). The bookmakers expect at least two goals, and it sits comfortably beside both of our tips.
- Örgryte IS +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.23 (chance 78%). At +1.5 the bet wins unless Örgryte IS lose by 2 or more.
- Örgryte IS +0.5 (Asian handicap) at odds 1.66 (chance 57%). At +0.5 the bet wins unless Örgryte IS lose by 1 or more, so it lines up with the main tip.
Our pick for the scoreline
The most likely exact score is 1-1 at 11.5%, ahead of 1-2 at 8.9% and 0-1 at 8.5%. A draw fits both of our tips: it wins the main tip and the second tip at once, which is why we are comfortable with it. The bookmaker margin on the match result is 8.4%, so the prices are not generous, and we would stake accordingly. Our most likely score is 1-1.
Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK FK: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.95 | 3.81 | 2.28 |
| Market average | 2.86 | 3.55 | 2.22 |
| Lowest odds | 2.73 | 3.17 | 2.13 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.20 | 77.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.70 | 1.68 | 55.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.12 | 44.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.75 | 2.66 | 34.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.62 | 1.58 | 58.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.28 | 2.24 | 41.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 02:07. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Örgryte IS 1–1 Västerås SK FK, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Örgryte IS 15th (19 points), Västerås SK FK 6th (44 points).
- Form in the competition: Örgryte IS 4W 7D 16L (33:60), Västerås SK FK 13W 5D 9L (40:38).
- H2H: 13 matches: Örgryte IS 3W 6D 4L, goals 12–15.
- Absences: Örgryte IS 0, Västerås SK FK 0.
Who will win Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK FK?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK FK: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK FK: team news and absences
Örgryte IS
- No reported absences
Västerås SK FK
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 2 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 |  BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 | Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 | Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
Örgryte IS
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Örgryte ISLLDWLVästerås SK FKWWLWLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK FK?
Örgryte IS or draw (1X) (1.67); Both teams to score (1.62).
Who will win Örgryte IS vs Västerås SK FK?
We estimate: Örgryte IS win 32%, draw 26%, Västerås SK FK win 42%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 7 November 2026, kick-off: 16:30, venue: Gamla Ullevi, Gothenburg. Referee: Oscar Johnson.
Who will be missing?
Örgryte IS: no absences. Västerås SK FK: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.70); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 44% (odds 2.16).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.62).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.5%), then 1–2 (8.9%) and 0–1 (8.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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