Bet with Freshbet →KuPS play Gent at home on 5 November 2026 · 17:45 at Tammelan Stadion (Tampere); the referee is R. Harvey. For us, Gent (57%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
KuPS vs Gent betting prediction
KuPS travel to Tampere having failed to collect any points from their two opening games, while Gent sit low in the table in 17th place with three points from one win and one loss. Both sides have been busy in recent weeks – KuPS lost 2‑0 away to Borac Banja Luka and then went down 4‑2 at home to Trabzonspor, whereas Gent have been mixed, losing 2‑0 to Lommel United, then thumping Anderlecht 4‑0, beating Zulte Waregem 2‑0 and then dropping a narrow 2‑0 defeat to SC Braga. With no head‑to‑head history to lean on, the numbers give us a clear picture of what to expect at Tammelan Stadion on 5 November.
How have KuPS performed at home?
KuPS have played just one home match in the Conference League so far and it ended in a 2‑4 loss. Overall they have scored two goals while conceding six, averaging 1.0 goal for and 1.8 against per game. The home record mirrors the away one – no points, one defeat, and a goal deficit that reflects their broader struggles.
What does Gent’s away form suggest?
Gent’s sole away fixture in the competition ended in a 0‑2 loss to SC Braga, leaving them with zero points away from home. Yet their overall defensive record is impressive: they have conceded just 0.6 goals per match, the best among the two sides. Offensively they average 0.9 goals per game, slightly lower than KuPS but backed by a solid defensive foundation.
Which recent results are most telling?
KuPS’ recent 2‑0 defeat away at Borac Banja Luka and the 4‑2 loss to Trabzonspor highlight a porous defence that has let in six goals in the last two outings. Gent, meanwhile, have shown a stark contrast: a 2‑0 loss to Lommel United, a dominant 4‑0 victory against Anderlecht and a 2‑0 win over Zulte Waregem, before the 2‑0 setback at Braga. Their ability to keep clean sheets in three of the last five matches underlines the low‑scoring trend we see in the odds.
Are there any absences we should worry about?
Both clubs have reported no absences for this fixture, meaning we can expect the usual line‑ups to take the field.
What does the betting market say?
The bookmakers give Gent a 57 % chance of winning, KuPS 19 % and a draw 24 %. The Asian handicap market leans heavily toward Gent – the -0.75 line carries a 52 % implied probability at odds of 1.88, making it the main tip of the page. The draw or Gent (X2) option is priced at 1.20 with an 81 % implied chance, marking it as the safest play.
Which bet do we recommend?
Main tip: Gent -0.75 at odds 1.88 (chance 52 %). This split‑handicap means a half‑stake on Gent -1 and a half‑stake on Gent -0.5; a 2‑0 or 3‑0 win returns the full stake, while a 1‑0 win refunds the half on -1.
Second tip: Under 2.5 goals at odds 1.91 (chance 51 %). The expected total of about three goals is split almost evenly, but the defensive solidity of Gent and KuPS’ tendency to concede more than they score make a low‑scoring affair plausible.
Other betting ideas to consider
- KuPS +0.75 (Asian handicap) – odds 2.00, chance 48 %
- Gent -0.5 – odds 1.67, chance 58 %
- Both teams to score – No at odds 1.87, chance 50 %
- Over 1.5 goals – odds 1.32, chance 73 %
- Draw or Gent (X2) – odds 1.20, chance 81 %
All things considered, Gent’s defensive record and the odds on the -0.75 handicap give us confidence in backing them to keep a clean sheet and win by at least one goal. The under 2.5 goals market aligns with the low‑scoring expectations, making it a solid secondary play.
KuPS vs Gent: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 5.30 | 4.21 | 1.70 |
| Market average | 5.04 | 3.92 | 1.64 |
| Lowest odds | 4.60 | 3.65 | 1.58 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.32 | 1.29 | 72.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.97 | 1.93 | 49.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.91 | 1.87 | 50.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.30 | 28.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.93 | 1.87 | 49.6% |
| BTTS – no | 1.87 | 1.84 | 50.4% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 5/11/26, 08:12. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: KuPS 0–1 Gent, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: KuPS 34th (0 points), Gent 17th (3 points).
- Form in the competition: KuPS 1W 1D 2L (4:7), Gent 4W 3D 1L (7:5).
- Absences: KuPS 0, Gent 0.
Who will win KuPS vs Gent?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
KuPS vs Gent: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
KuPS vs Gent: team news and absences
KuPS
- No reported absences
Gent
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Panathinaikos | 2 | 2-0-0 | 7:2 | 6 |
| 2 |  FC Lugano | 2 | 2-0-0 | 8:4 | 6 |
| 3 |  Brann | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 4 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 2-0-0 | 6:2 | 6 |
| 5 |  Twente | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Monaco | 2 | 2-0-0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 7 |  St. Truiden | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 8 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 2 | 2-0-0 | 3:1 | 6 |
| 9 |  Brighton | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:0 | 4 |
| 10 |  FC Copenhagen | 2 | 1-1-0 | 5:2 | 4 |
| 11 |  Universitatea Craiova | 2 | 1-1-0 | 4:2 | 4 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 2 | 1-1-0 | 3:1 | 4 |
| 13 |  Ajax | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 14 |  Borac Banja Luka | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Atalanta | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:3 | 3 |
| 16 |  SC Braga | 2 | 1-0-1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 17 | Gent | 2 | 1-0-1 | 1:2 | 3 |
| 18 |  SC Freiburg | 2 | 1-0-1 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 19 |  FC Nordsjælland | 2 | 0-2-0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 20 |  Egnatia Rrogozhinë | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 21 |  Riga | 2 | 0-2-0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 22 |  FK Crvena Zvezda | 2 | 0-1-1 | 4:5 | 1 |
| 23 |  CSKA Sofia | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:4 | 1 |
| 24 |  FK Jablonec | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:3 | 1 |
| 25 |  FC Midtjylland | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 26 |  Aarhus | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 27 |  Pafos | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:4 | 1 |
| 28 |  Heart Of Midlothian | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 29 |  FC Iberia 1999 | 2 | 0-1-1 | 1:3 | 1 |
| 30 |  Getafe | 2 | 0-1-1 | 3:6 | 1 |
| 31 |  Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0-1-1 | 2:6 | 1 |
| 32 |  FC Thun | 2 | 0-0-2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 33 |  Lincoln Red Imps FC | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 34 | KuPS | 2 | 0-0-2 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 35 |  Inter Club d'Escaldes | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:5 | 0 |
| 36 |  Kauno Žalgiris | 2 | 0-0-2 | 1:8 | 0 |
Recent matches
KuPS
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
KuPSLLGentLWReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for KuPS vs Gent?
Gent -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.88); Under 2.5 goals (1.91).
Who will win KuPS vs Gent?
We estimate: KuPS win 19%, draw 24%, Gent win 57%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 5 November 2026, kick-off: 17:45, venue: Tammelan Stadion, Tampere. Referee: R. Harvey.
Who will be missing?
KuPS: no absences. Gent: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 49% (odds 1.97); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 51% (odds 1.91).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 50% (odds 1.93).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–1 as most likely (12.4%), then 1–1 (11.1%) and 0–2 (10.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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