Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Lommel United against Gent on 1 November 2026 · 17:30 at Soevereinstadion (Lommel), and K. van Damme will referee. Gent (52%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Lommel United vs Gent: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Lommel United are 7th in the table, on 15 points after 10 matches (4W 3D 3L), and Gent are 3rd, on 25 points (8W 1D 1L).
- Attack and defence. On average Lommel United score 1.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.2; for Gent the figures are 2.1 scored and 0.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Lommel United: 3W 3D 3L, goals 11–11; Gent: 8W 1D 0L, goals 19–4.
- Head to head. From 2 meetings: 1 win for Lommel United, 1 win for Gent and 0 draws, with the goals at 2–2.
What to expect
For us, Gent are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 2; Lommel United 1 win, 0 draws, Gent 1 win.
- An average of 2.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Lommel United 11–11, Gent 19–4.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
- Out: Lommel United 0, Gent 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 56%, best price 1.70). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Lommel United: no absences. Absent for Gent: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Lommel United vs Gent: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 4.50 | 3.85 | 1.87 |
| Market average | 4.18 | 3.71 | 1.78 |
| Lowest odds | 3.90 | 3.48 | 1.67 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.22 | 76.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.79 | 1.75 | 54.0% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.06 | 46.0% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.96 | 2.82 | 33.2% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.8% |
| BTTS – no | 2.20 | 2.10 | 44.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 16:51. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Lommel United 1–1 Gent, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Lommel United 7th (15 points), Gent 3rd (25 points).
- Form in the competition: Lommel United 3W 3D 3L (11:11), Gent 8W 1D 0L (19:4).
- H2H: 2 matches: Lommel United 1W 0D 1L, goals 2–2.
- Absences: Lommel United 0, Gent 0.
Who will win Lommel United vs Gent?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Lommel United vs Gent: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Lommel United vs Gent: team news and absences
Lommel United
- No reported absences
Gent
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 9-0-1 | 26:8 | 27 | |
| 2 | 10 | 8-2-0 | 29:7 | 26 | |
| 3 | 10 | 8-1-1 | 19:6 | 25 | |
| 4 | 10 | 8-0-2 | 21:12 | 24 | |
| 5 | 10 | 6-1-3 | 13:11 | 19 | |
| 6 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 18:14 | 15 | |
| 7 | 10 | 4-3-3 | 13:11 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4-2-4 | 25:25 | 14 | |
| 9 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 15:16 | 12 | |
| 10 | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:18 | 12 | |
| 11 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 12:16 | 11 | |
| 12 | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:22 | 10 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3-1-6 | 13:20 | 10 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 10:17 | 9 | |
| 15 | 10 | 2-2-6 | 18:21 | 8 | |
| 16 | 10 | 2-1-7 | 13:23 | 7 | |
| 17 | 10 | 1-3-6 | 13:22 | 6 | |
| 18 | 10 | 1-1-8 | 4:22 | 4 |
Recent matches
Lommel United
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Lommel United vs Gent?
Lommel United +0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.93); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Lommel United vs Gent?
We estimate: Lommel United win 22%, draw 25%, Gent win 52%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: Soevereinstadion, Lommel. Referee: K. van Damme.
Who will be missing?
Lommel United: no absences. Gent: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.79); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.1%), then 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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