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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 19:00

Laredo vs Burgos: prediction, tip and odds, 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Laredo
2–4
1Laredo6.60
XDraw4.40
2Burgos1.60

Best price · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Laredo v Burgos: 29 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio San Lorenzo. We have Burgos (61%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Laredo vs Burgos: tip and prediction
Handicap
Burgos -1 (Asian handicap)
2.00
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.85
Combo
Burgos + over 2.5 goals combined
2.70
37% · fair odds for the combo
50%Chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Burgos (X2): 84% probability, best odds 1.13.

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Laredo vs Burgos: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Laredo, 1 win for Burgos and 0 draws, with the goals at 2–4.

What to expect

For us, Burgos are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–1 (12.4%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.85), and we rate it at 51%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 49% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 51% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 1; Laredo 0 wins, 0 draws, Burgos 1 win.
  2. An average of 6.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 51%.
  4. Out: Laredo 0, Burgos 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – no

Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 51%, best price 1.85). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Laredo: no absences. Absent for Burgos: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Laredo vs Burgos: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price6.604.401.60
Market average5.933.981.52
Lowest odds5.503.701.40
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.281.2573.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.851.8251.3%
Under 2.5 goals1.971.9248.7%
Over 3.5 goals3.102.9331.4%
BTTS – yes1.951.8949.0%
BTTS – no1.851.8151.0%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.0%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Laredo 0–1 Burgos, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Laredo 0W 0D 1L, goals 2–4.
  • Absences: Laredo 0, Burgos 0.

Who will win Laredo vs Burgos?

Laredo16%
Draw23%
Burgos61%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Laredo vs Burgos: more betting tips

Draw or Burgos (X2)84.3% · fair odds 1.19 · best 1.13
Likely
Over 1.5 goals73.5% · fair odds 1.36 · best 1.28
Likely
Under 3.5 goals68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.36
Likely
Burgos to win61.0% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals51.3% · fair odds 1.95 · best 1.85
Possible
BTTS – no51.0% · fair odds 1.96 · best 1.85
Possible
BTTS – yes49.0% · fair odds 2.04 · best 1.95
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals48.7% · fair odds 2.05 · best 1.97
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals31.4% · fair odds 3.19 · best 3.10
Outsider
Draw23.3% · fair odds 4.29 · best 4.40
Outsider
Laredo to win15.7% · fair odds 6.38 · best 6.60
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Correct score prediction

0 : 112.4%
0 : 211.5%
1 : 110.6%
1 : 29.8%
0 : 37.1%
0 : 06.7%

Laredo vs Burgos: team news and absences

Laredo

  • No reported absences

Burgos

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Head to head

All matches
0Laredo
0Draws
1Burgos
29/10/26 · Laredo 2–4 Burgos

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.0%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Laredo vs Burgos?

Burgos -1 (Asian handicap) (2.00); Over 2.5 goals (1.85).

Who will win Laredo vs Burgos?

We estimate: Laredo win 16%, draw 23%, Burgos win 61%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Estadio San Lorenzo.

Who will be missing?

Laredo: no absences. Burgos: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.85); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 49% (odds 1.97).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 49% (odds 1.95).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 0–1 as most likely (12.4%), then 0–2 (11.5%) and 1–1 (10.6%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.