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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 18:00

Lebrijana vs Getafe: prediction, tip and odds, 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Lebrijana
WW
2–3
1Lebrijana41.00
XDraw16.00
2Getafe1.06

Best price · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is Lebrijana against Getafe on 29 October 2026 · 18:00 at Municipal de Lebrija. Getafe (90%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Lebrijana vs Getafe: tip and prediction
Goals
Over 3.5 goals
1.58
Result
Getafe to win
1.06
Combo
Getafe + over 2.5 goals combined
1.35
74% · fair odds for the combo
60%Chance
0–3likely score
≈ 5 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Getafe (X2): 97% probability, best odds 1.01. With short odds on the result, a goals tip alongside it is our suggestion.

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Lebrijana vs Getafe: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

    What to expect

    For us, Getafe are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–4 score, roughly 5 goals in all, with 0–3 (11.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

    Odds of 1.06 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: BTTS: no (odds 1.45), which we rate at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 36% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 79% chance.

    Prediction summary

    1. Expected: roughly 5 goals; over 2.5 goals: 79%.
    2. Out: Lebrijana 0, Getafe 0.

    Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals

    Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals (probability 60%, best price 1.58). With roughly 5 goals expected, it fits the picture.

    Absences

    Absent for Lebrijana: no absences. Absent for Getafe: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

    Lebrijana vs Getafe: compare the odds

    Match result1X2
    Best price41.0016.001.06
    Market average33.6913.221.04
    Lowest odds18.509.501.03
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.031.0391.6%
    Over 2.5 goals1.221.1978.5%
    Under 2.5 goals5.004.3821.5%
    Over 3.5 goals1.581.5460.2%
    BTTS – yes2.702.5835.8%
    BTTS – no1.451.4364.2%

    Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.0%.

    All bookmakers →

    At a glance

    • Likely result: Lebrijana 0–3 Getafe, roughly 5 goals in total.
    • Absences: Lebrijana 0, Getafe 0.

    Who will win Lebrijana vs Getafe?

    Lebrijana3%
    Draw7%
    Getafe90%

    Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

    Lebrijana vs Getafe: more betting tips

    Draw or Getafe (X2)97.0% · fair odds 1.03 · best 1.01
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals91.6% · fair odds 1.09 · best 1.03
    Likely
    Getafe to win89.7% · fair odds 1.11 · best 1.06
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.22
    Likely
    BTTS – no64.2% · fair odds 1.56 · best 1.45
    Likely
    Over 3.5 goals60.2% · fair odds 1.66 · best 1.58
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals39.8% · fair odds 2.51 · best 2.50
    Outsider
    BTTS – yes35.8% · fair odds 2.80 · best 2.70
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals21.5% · fair odds 4.66 · best 5.00
    Outsider
    Draw7.3% · fair odds 13.73 · best 16.00
    Outsider
    Lebrijana to win3.0% · fair odds 33.45 · best 41.00
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

    Tips on corners and cards

    Cornersline 10.5 corners
    Over 1.93 · Under 1.80
    probability of over 48.3%

    Correct score prediction

    0 : 311.8%
    0 : 410.4%
    0 : 29.9%
    0 : 57.4%
    1 : 37.1%
    1 : 46.3%

    Lebrijana vs Getafe: team news and absences

    Lebrijana

    • No reported absences

    Getafe

    • No reported absences

    Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Team comparison

    LebrijanaGetafe
    100%Form0%
    100%Attack0%
    0%Defence100%

    Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

    Form in the competition

    LebrijanaWW
    Getafe

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin7.0%

    Questions and answers

    What do we tip for Lebrijana vs Getafe?

    Over 3.5 goals (1.58); Getafe to win (1.06).

    Who will win Lebrijana vs Getafe?

    We estimate: Lebrijana win 3%, draw 7%, Getafe win 90%.

    Where and when is the game being played?

    Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 18:00, venue: Municipal de Lebrija.

    Who will be missing?

    Lebrijana: no absences. Getafe: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

    We estimate over 2.5 goals at 79% (odds 1.22); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 21% (odds 5.00).

    Will both teams score?

    By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 36% (odds 2.70).

    Which correct score is the likeliest?

    We rate 0–3 as most likely (11.8%), then 0–4 (10.4%) and 0–2 (9.9%).

    What are your predictions based on?

    We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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    18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.