Premier League
Home › Predictions › Longford Town vs UCD
League of Ireland First Division · semi-final · 24 October 2026 · 19:30

Longford Town vs UCD: prediction, tip and odds, 24 October 2026, League of Ireland First Division

0–2
WWWWD
1Longford Town3.20
XDraw3.40
2UCD2.31

Best price · Updated 24/10/26, 18:00

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisH2HFAQ

Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Longford Town v UCD: 24 October 2026 · 19:30 at Bishopsgate (Longford). We see little between the teams. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Longford Town vs UCD: tip and prediction
Result
Longford Town or draw (1X)
1.65
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
59%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match

Bet now →

Longford Town vs UCD: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Longford Town are 5th in the table, on 52 points after 36 matches (14W 10D 12L), and UCD are 2nd, on 56 points (16W 8D 12L).
  2. Head to head. From 18 meetings: 3 wins for Longford Town, 10 wins for UCD and 5 draws, with the goals at 16–26.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–2 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 59% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 55% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 18; Longford Town 3 wins, 5 draws, UCD 10 wins.
  2. An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 55%.
  4. Out: Longford Town 0, UCD 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 59%, best price 1.62). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Longford Town: no absences. Absent for UCD: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Longford Town vs UCD: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price3.203.402.31
Market average2.903.262.22
Lowest odds2.393.002.05
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2075.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.741.6754.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.112.0145.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.882.6534.6%
BTTS – yes1.621.5558.7%
BTTS – no2.322.2141.3%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 10.5%.

All bookmakers →

At a glance

  • Likely result: Longford Town 1–1 UCD, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Longford Town 5th (52 points), UCD 2nd (56 points).
  • H2H: 18 matches: Longford Town 3W 5D 10L, goals 16–26.
  • Absences: Longford Town 0, UCD 0.

Who will win Longford Town vs UCD?

Longford Town31%
Draw28%
UCD41%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Longford Town vs UCD: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals75.8% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.24
Likely
Draw or UCD (X2)68.6% · fair odds 1.46 · best 1.39
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.4% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.47
Likely
BTTS – yes58.7% · fair odds 1.70 · best 1.62
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.6% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.74
Possible
Under 2.5 goals45.4% · fair odds 2.20 · best 2.11
Outsider
BTTS – no41.3% · fair odds 2.42 · best 2.32
Outsider
UCD to win40.8% · fair odds 2.45 · best 2.31
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.6% · fair odds 2.89 · best 2.88
Outsider
Longford Town to win31.4% · fair odds 3.19 · best 3.20
Outsider
Draw27.8% · fair odds 3.60 · best 3.40
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.95 · Under 1.77
probability of over 47.5%

Correct score prediction

1 : 111.9%
0 : 19.1%
1 : 28.9%
1 : 07.9%
2 : 17.7%
0 : 26.8%

Longford Town vs UCD: team news and absences

Longford Town

  • No reported absences

UCD

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Cork City3623-6-774:3575
2UCD3616-8-1267:5156
3Bray Wanderers3615-9-1267:5354
4Kerry FC3614-10-1245:4152
5Longford Town3614-10-1249:4652
6Cobh Ramblers3614-7-1546:5449
7Athlone Town3613-9-1442:4348
8Wexford3611-9-1644:5842
9Treaty United3611-9-1637:5342
10Finn Harps367-7-2233:7028

Recent matches

Longford Town

27 OctLUCD 2–0 Longford Town
24 OctLLongford Town 0–2 UCD
16 OctWLongford Town 1–0 Athlone Town
9 OctDUCD 1–1 Longford Town
2 OctDWexford 3–3 Longford Town

UCD

1 NovWBray Wanderers 1–3 UCD
27 OctWUCD 2–0 Longford Town
24 OctWLongford Town 0–2 UCD
16 OctWWexford 2–5 UCD
9 OctDUCD 1–1 Longford Town

Home and away

Longford Town at home18 matches: 10W 2D 6L, goals 26–17
UCD away18 matches: 6W 5D 7L, goals 30–28

Head to head

All matches
3Longford Town
5Draws
10UCD
27/10/26 · UCD 2–0 Longford Town
24/10/26 · Longford Town 0–2 UCD
9/10/26 · UCD 1–1 Longford Town
4/7/26 · Longford Town 2–1 UCD
1/5/26 · UCD 2–0 Longford Town
7/3/26 · Longford Town 0–0 UCD

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin10.5%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Longford Town vs UCD?

Longford Town or draw (1X) (1.65); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).

Who will win Longford Town vs UCD?

We estimate: Longford Town win 31%, draw 28%, UCD win 41%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 19:30, venue: Bishopsgate, Longford.

Who will be missing?

Longford Town: no absences. UCD: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.74); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 45% (odds 2.11).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 59% (odds 1.62).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.9%), then 0–1 (9.1%) and 1–2 (8.9%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.