Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is UCD against Longford Town on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at UCD Bowl (Dublin). UCD (48%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
UCD vs Longford Town: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. UCD are 2nd in the table, on 56 points after 36 matches (16W 8D 12L), and Longford Town are 5th, on 52 points (14W 10D 12L).
- Attack and defence. On average UCD score 1.9 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.4; for Longford Town the figures are 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. UCD: 17W 8D 12L, goals 69–51; Longford Town: 14W 10D 13L, goals 49–48.
- Head to head. From 18 meetings: 10 wins for UCD, 3 wins for Longford Town and 5 draws, with the goals at 26–16.
What to expect
For us, UCD are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.53), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 18; UCD 10 wins, 5 draws, Longford Town 3 wins.
- An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: UCD 69–51, Longford Town 49–48.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: UCD 0, Longford Town 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for UCD: no absences. Absent for Longford Town: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
UCD vs Longford Town: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.97 | 3.80 | 3.68 |
| Market average | 1.90 | 3.56 | 3.42 |
| Lowest odds | 1.75 | 3.20 | 3.01 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 78.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.58 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.30 | 2.20 | 41.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.60 | 2.40 | 37.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.52 | 59.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.38 | 2.27 | 40.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 10.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: UCD 1–1 Longford Town, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: UCD 2nd (56 points), Longford Town 5th (52 points).
- Form in the competition: UCD 17W 8D 12L (69:51), Longford Town 14W 10D 13L (49:48).
- H2H: 18 matches: UCD 10W 5D 3L, goals 26–16.
- Absences: UCD 0, Longford Town 0.
Who will win UCD vs Longford Town?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
UCD vs Longford Town: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
UCD vs Longford Town: team news and absences
UCD
- No reported absences
Longford Town
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cork City | 36 | 23-6-7 | 74:35 | 75 |
| 2 | UCD | 36 | 16-8-12 | 67:51 | 56 |
| 3 |  Bray Wanderers | 36 | 15-9-12 | 67:53 | 54 |
| 4 |  Kerry FC | 36 | 14-10-12 | 45:41 | 52 |
| 5 | Longford Town | 36 | 14-10-12 | 49:46 | 52 |
| 6 |  Cobh Ramblers | 36 | 14-7-15 | 46:54 | 49 |
| 7 |  Athlone Town | 36 | 13-9-14 | 42:43 | 48 |
| 8 |  Wexford | 36 | 11-9-16 | 44:58 | 42 |
| 9 |  Treaty United | 36 | 11-9-16 | 37:53 | 42 |
| 10 |  Finn Harps | 36 | 7-7-22 | 33:70 | 28 |
Recent matches
UCD
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
UCDWWWWDLongford TownLLWDDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for UCD vs Longford Town?
Longford Town +1 (Asian handicap) (1.68); Under 3.5 goals (1.53).
Who will win UCD vs Longford Town?
We estimate: UCD win 48%, draw 26%, Longford Town win 27%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: UCD Bowl, Dublin.
Who will be missing?
UCD: no absences. Longford Town: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.65); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.30).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.9%), then 2–1 (9.5%) and 1–0 (8.7%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.