Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Numancia v Oviedo: 29 October 2026 · 17:00 at Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos (Soria), with Daniel Palencia Caballero, Spain refereeing. We have Oviedo (50%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Numancia vs Oviedo: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Head to head. From 8 meetings: 2 wins for Numancia, 3 wins for Oviedo and 3 draws, with the goals at 10–10.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 0–1 (13.8%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.65), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 47% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 43% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 8; Numancia 2 wins, 3 draws, Oviedo 3 wins.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 43%.
- Out: Numancia 0, Oviedo 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 53%, best price 1.76). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Numancia: no absences. Absent for Oviedo: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Numancia vs Oviedo: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 4.50 | 3.60 | 1.93 |
| Market average | 4.05 | 3.38 | 1.87 |
| Lowest odds | 3.85 | 3.11 | 1.84 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.25 | 2.18 | 42.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.65 | 1.63 | 57.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.33 | 3.93 | 23.5% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.05 | 1.97 | 47.0% |
| BTTS – no | 1.76 | 1.75 | 53.0% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 13:30. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.9%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Numancia 0–1 Oviedo, roughly 2 goals in total.
- H2H: 8 matches: Numancia 2W 3D 3L, goals 10–10.
- Absences: Numancia 0, Oviedo 0.
Who will win Numancia vs Oviedo?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Numancia vs Oviedo: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Numancia vs Oviedo: team news and absences
Numancia
- No reported absences
Oviedo
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Numancia vs Oviedo?
Numancia or draw (1X) (1.91); Under 2.5 goals (1.65).
Who will win Numancia vs Oviedo?
We estimate: Numancia win 23%, draw 27%, Oviedo win 50%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Nuevo Estadio Los Pajaritos, Soria. Referee: Daniel Palencia Caballero, Spain.
Who will be missing?
Numancia: no absences. Oviedo: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.25); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 57% (odds 1.65).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 47% (odds 2.05).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–1 as most likely (13.8%), then 1–1 (12.4%) and 0–2 (10.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.