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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 17:00

Peña Sport vs Huesca: prediction, tip and odds, 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Peña Sport
1–5
Huesca
1Peña Sport5.25
XDraw3.80
2Huesca1.76

Best price · Updated 29/10/26, 13:30

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Played: final score 1–5. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is Peña Sport against Huesca on 29 October 2026 · 17:00 at Estadio San Francisco (Tafalla), and Francisco José Ortega Herrera, Spain will referee. Huesca (54%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Peña Sport vs Huesca: tip and prediction
Goals
Both teams to score
1.91
Result
Huesca to win
1.76
Combo
Huesca + over 2.5 goals combined
3.05
33% · fair odds for the combo
51%Chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Huesca (X2): 80% probability, best odds 1.20.

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Peña Sport vs Huesca: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Peña Sport, 1 win for Huesca and 0 draws, with the goals at 1–5.

What to expect

For us, Huesca are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–1 (12.0%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.91), and we rate it at 51%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 50% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 1; Peña Sport 0 wins, 0 draws, Huesca 1 win.
  2. An average of 6.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 50%.
  4. Out: Peña Sport 0, Huesca 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.91). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Peña Sport: no absences. Absent for Huesca: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Peña Sport vs Huesca: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price5.253.801.76
Market average4.593.591.70
Lowest odds4.143.331.65
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.291.2772.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.901.8750.0%
Under 2.5 goals1.901.8750.0%
Over 3.5 goals3.253.0830.0%
BTTS – yes1.911.8450.7%
BTTS – no1.911.8949.3%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 13:30. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.6%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Peña Sport 0–1 Huesca, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Peña Sport 0W 0D 1L, goals 1–5.
  • Absences: Peña Sport 0, Huesca 0.

Who will win Peña Sport vs Huesca?

Peña Sport20%
Draw26%
Huesca54%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Peña Sport vs Huesca: more betting tips

Draw or Huesca (X2)79.9% · fair odds 1.25 · best 1.20
Likely
Over 1.5 goals72.5% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.29
Likely
Under 3.5 goals70.0% · fair odds 1.43 · best 1.34
Likely
Huesca to win54.2% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.76
Possible
BTTS – yes50.7% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.91
Possible
Under 2.5 goals50.0% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.90
Possible
Over 2.5 goals50.0% · fair odds 2.00 · best 1.90
Outsider
BTTS – no49.3% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.91
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals30.0% · fair odds 3.33 · best 3.25
Outsider
Draw25.7% · fair odds 3.89 · best 3.80
Outsider
Peña Sport to win20.1% · fair odds 4.96 · best 5.25
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.95 · Under 1.75
probability of over 47.3%

Correct score prediction

0 : 112.0%
1 : 111.4%
0 : 210.2%
1 : 29.7%
0 : 07.1%
1 : 06.7%

Peña Sport vs Huesca: team news and absences

Peña Sport

  • No reported absences

Huesca

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Head to head

0Peña Sport
0Draws
1Huesca
29/10/26 · Peña Sport 1–5 Huesca

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.6%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Peña Sport vs Huesca?

Both teams to score (1.91); Huesca to win (1.76).

Who will win Peña Sport vs Huesca?

We estimate: Peña Sport win 20%, draw 26%, Huesca win 54%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Estadio San Francisco, Tafalla. Referee: Francisco José Ortega Herrera, Spain.

Who will be missing?

Peña Sport: no absences. Huesca: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.90); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 50% (odds 1.90).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.91).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 0–1 as most likely (12.0%), then 1–1 (11.4%) and 0–2 (10.2%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.