Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Poblense play AD Ceuta FC at home on 29 October 2026 · 18:00 at Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla (Sa Pobla). For us, AD Ceuta FC (53%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
What to expect
For us, AD Ceuta FC are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.70), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 55% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 55%.
- Out: Poblense 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 56%, best price 1.70). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Poblense: no absences. Absent for AD Ceuta FC: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 4.75 | 3.95 | 1.82 |
| Market average | 4.13 | 3.74 | 1.74 |
| Lowest odds | 3.80 | 3.42 | 1.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.23 | 1.21 | 76.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.74 | 1.70 | 55.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.16 | 2.08 | 44.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.83 | 2.66 | 34.7% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.66 | 55.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.09 | 44.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Poblense 1–1 AD Ceuta FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: Poblense 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Who will win Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC: team news and absences
Poblense
- No reported absences
AD Ceuta FC
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
AD Ceuta FC -0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Both teams to score (1.70).
Who will win Poblense vs AD Ceuta FC?
We estimate: Poblense win 22%, draw 25%, AD Ceuta FC win 53%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 18:00, venue: Estadio Municipal de Sa Pobla, Sa Pobla.
Who will be missing?
Poblense: no absences. AD Ceuta FC: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.74); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 45% (odds 2.16).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.9%), then 0–1 (9.9%) and 1–2 (9.8%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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