Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
RSD Alcalá v Las Palmas: 27 October 2026 · 19:00 at Estadio Municipal El Val (Alcalá de Henares). We have Las Palmas (61%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
What to expect
For us, Las Palmas are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–1 (11.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.76), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 51% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
- Out: RSD Alcalá 0, Las Palmas 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 51%, best price 1.91). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for RSD Alcalá: no absences. Absent for Las Palmas: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 5.80 | 4.50 | 1.57 |
| Market average | 5.45 | 4.17 | 1.52 |
| Lowest odds | 4.90 | 3.71 | 1.46 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.25 | 1.22 | 75.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.76 | 1.73 | 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.10 | 2.03 | 45.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.92 | 2.75 | 33.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.91 | 1.81 | 51.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.00 | 1.91 | 48.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: RSD Alcalá 0–1 Las Palmas, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Absences: RSD Alcalá 0, Las Palmas 0.
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas: team news and absences
RSD Alcalá
- No reported absences
Las Palmas
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas?
RSD Alcalá +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.65); Over 2.5 goals (1.76).
Who will win RSD Alcalá vs Las Palmas?
We estimate: RSD Alcalá win 17%, draw 22%, Las Palmas win 61%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:00, venue: Estadio Municipal El Val, Alcalá de Henares.
Who will be missing?
RSD Alcalá: no absences. Las Palmas: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.76); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.10).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 51% (odds 1.91).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 0–1 as most likely (11.6%), then 0–2 (11.0%) and 1–1 (10.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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