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Taça da Liga · quarter-final · 29 October 2026 · 18:45

SC Braga vs Famalicão: prediction, tip and odds, 29 October 2026, Taça da Liga

1SC Braga1.77
XDraw3.66
2Famalicão5.50

Best price · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 2–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

SC Braga play Famalicão at home on 29 October 2026 · 18:45 at Estádio Municipal de Braga (Braga); the referee is J. Gonçalves. For us, SC Braga (55%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

SC Braga vs Famalicão: tip and prediction
Goals
BTTS: no
1.85
Result
SC Braga to win
1.77
Combo
SC Braga + over 2.5 goals combined
3.31
30% · fair odds for the combo
54%Chance
1–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: SC Braga or draw (1X): 82% probability, best odds 1.17.

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SC Braga vs Famalicão: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Head to head. From 16 meetings: 6 wins for SC Braga, 2 wins for Famalicão and 8 draws, with the goals at 32–22.

What to expect

For us, SC Braga are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–0 (14.5%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 56%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 46% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 44% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 16; SC Braga 6 wins, 8 draws, Famalicão 2 wins.
  2. An average of 3.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 44%.
  4. Out: SC Braga 0, Famalicão 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – no

Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 54%, best price 1.85). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for SC Braga: no absences. Absent for Famalicão: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

SC Braga vs Famalicão: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.773.665.50
Market average1.683.485.09
Lowest odds1.623.264.37
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.421.3668.2%
Over 2.5 goals2.252.1543.7%
Under 2.5 goals1.751.6756.3%
Over 3.5 goals4.103.8724.1%
BTTS – yes2.102.0246.0%
BTTS – no1.851.7254.0%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.1%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: SC Braga 1–0 Famalicão, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 16 matches: SC Braga 6W 8D 2L, goals 32–22.
  • Absences: SC Braga 0, Famalicão 0.

Who will win SC Braga vs Famalicão?

SC Braga55%
Draw27%
Famalicão18%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

SC Braga vs Famalicão: more betting tips

SC Braga or draw (1X)81.7% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.17
Likely
Under 3.5 goals75.9% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.25
Likely
Over 1.5 goals68.2% · fair odds 1.47 · best 1.42
Likely
Under 2.5 goals56.3% · fair odds 1.78 · best 1.75
Possible
SC Braga to win55.1% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.77
Possible
BTTS – no54.0% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.85
Possible
BTTS – yes46.0% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.10
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals43.7% · fair odds 2.29 · best 2.25
Outsider
Draw26.6% · fair odds 3.76 · best 3.66
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals24.1% · fair odds 4.15 · best 4.10
Outsider
Famalicão to win18.3% · fair odds 5.48 · best 5.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.05 · Under 1.70
probability of over 45.4%

Correct score prediction

1 : 014.5%
2 : 011.6%
1 : 111.6%
2 : 19.3%
0 : 09.1%
0 : 17.3%

SC Braga vs Famalicão: team news and absences

SC Braga

  • No reported absences

Famalicão

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Team comparison

SC BragaFamalicão
75%Head to head25%
56%Goals44%
65.5%Overall34.5%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Head to head

All matches
6SC Braga
8Draws
2Famalicão
1/11/26 · SC Braga 3–0 Famalicão
29/10/26 · SC Braga 2–2 Famalicão
19/4/26 · SC Braga 2–2 Famalicão
6/12/25 · Famalicão 1–2 SC Braga
25/4/25 · Famalicão 1–1 SC Braga
16/12/24 · SC Braga 3–3 Famalicão

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.1%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for SC Braga vs Famalicão?

BTTS: no (1.85); SC Braga to win (1.77).

Who will win SC Braga vs Famalicão?

We estimate: SC Braga win 55%, draw 27%, Famalicão win 18%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 18:45, venue: Estádio Municipal de Braga, Braga. Referee: J. Gonçalves.

Who will be missing?

SC Braga: no absences. Famalicão: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 44% (odds 2.25); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 56% (odds 1.75).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 46% (odds 2.10).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–0 as most likely (14.5%), then 2–0 (11.6%) and 1–1 (11.6%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.