Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Scotland vs North Macedonia (UEFA Nations League, 13 November 2026, 19:45): Scotland -1.75 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.71. Second tip: Under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.62. The bookmakers' odds give Scotland 81%, the draw 13% and North Macedonia 6%. The most likely score is 2–0.
Scotland vs North Macedonia betting prediction
Scotland host North Macedonia on 13 November 2026 at 19:45 in Matchweek 5 of the UEFA Nations League. The bookmakers make the home side heavy favourites, and we agree with the direction. What we do not like is paying the short price on the match result, so our money goes on the Asian handicap.
At a glance
- Likely result: Scotland 2–0 North Macedonia, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Scotland 3rd (4 points), North Macedonia 4th (0 points).
- Form in the competition: Scotland 1W 1D 2L (3:5), North Macedonia 0W 0D 4L (0:10).
- H2H: 1 match: Scotland 1W 0D 0L, goals 2–0.
- Absences: Scotland 0, North Macedonia 0.
Scotland look for a first home win
Scotland sit third in the competition table with 4 points from 4 matches, one win, one draw and two defeats, and they have scored 3 and conceded 5 so far. The home figures are the problem. In this competition Scotland have not won at home yet, they have lost both home games and have scored only once in them, while conceding 5. That is the weak spot we keep coming back to.
Their recent form is mixed. In all competitions, Scotland's last four matches brought one win, one draw and two defeats. The draw came away at Slovenia, and the win came away at North Macedonia by 2-0. The two defeats were both at home, 0-3 to Switzerland and 1-2 to Slovenia. Scotland have not looked dominant at home, but they have been comfortable enough on the road, and that is the form we want to back.
Who will win Scotland vs North Macedonia?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
North Macedonia still searching for a goal
North Macedonia are fourth in the competition table with 0 points from 4 matches, and they have not won, drawn or scored a single goal in the competition. They have lost all four games, conceding 10 goals along the way. Away from home they have lost both games, 0:5 on goals.
Their last four matches in all competitions are a list of defeats: 0-3 at home to Switzerland, 0-2 away at Slovenia, 0-2 at home to Scotland, and 0-3 away at Switzerland. None of them ended with a goal scored by North Macedonia in the last four. We would not expect much change in this picture just because the venue changes.
Standings and form
League B – Group A
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:1 | 12 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 |  North Macedonia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Recent matches
Scotland
Home and away
One meeting, a Scottish win, and no absences
The head-to-head record is short. Scotland have won the only meeting in our data, 2-0, and that match was played on 3 October 2026 in North Macedonia. It tells us Scotland were good enough in the last meeting, but one game is not a trend, and we would not lean on it alone.
No absences have been reported for either side, so the teams are expected to be close to full strength. That removes one of the usual doubts, and it means the tip rests on the form and the market rather than on injuries.
Scotland vs North Macedonia: team news and absences
Scotland
- No reported absences
North Macedonia
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
ScotlandLWLDNorth MacedoniaLLLLOur tip is Scotland -1.75, and we back it
Our main tip is Scotland -1.75 on the Asian handicap at odds 1.86, which the bookmakers rate at a 54% chance. The stake is split: half on Scotland -2 and half on Scotland -1.5. At -2 Scotland must win by 3 or more, and a win by exactly 2 returns the stake, while at -1.5 Scotland must win by 2 or more. The bet pays best if Scotland win well, but it still gives us a chance on a narrower win.
The main reasons are straightforward:
- North Macedonia have won none of their last four matches.
- Scotland sit third in the table on 4 points, while North Macedonia are fourth on 0.
- Scotland won their only meeting on record, the last one in our data.
- The market gives the handicap a 54% chance at the best odds of 1.86.
On the likeliest scores the bet works like this. A 2-0 win for Scotland returns half the stake, a 3-0 or 4-0 win takes the full bet, while a 1-0, 2-1 or 1-1 result loses. That is why we would not treat it as a simple win bet: the margin matters, and a narrow home win would be a bad outcome for us.
Our second tip is Under 3.5 goals at odds 1.62, a 60% chance in the market. Scotland have had more than 2.5 goals in only 2 of their last 4 matches, and they have kept a clean sheet in 2 of those 4. North Macedonia have had more than 2.5 goals in only 2 of their last 4 as well. The bet wins on 2-0, 1-0, 3-0, 2-1 and 1-1, and loses only on 4-0. We think it is a sensible second option, though we prefer the handicap as the main play.
Scotland vs North Macedonia: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.20 | 7.80 | 18.00 |
| Market average | 1.17 | 7.20 | 16.41 |
| Lowest odds | 1.14 | 6.50 | 13.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.18 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 60.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.47 | 2.39 | 39.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.45 | 2.36 | 39.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.60 | 2.40 | 38.5% |
| BTTS – no | 1.55 | 1.51 | 61.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 13/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.5%.
Scotland vs North Macedonia: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Other bets we like on this match
Our first pick from the rest of the market is Scotland -1 on the Asian handicap at odds 1.27, which is a 74% chance. At -1 Scotland must win by 2 or more, and a win by exactly 1 returns the stake. It is a cleaner version of the main idea with a shorter price.
- Over 1.5 goals at odds 1.23, a 77% chance in the market.
- BTTS: no at odds 1.50, a 60% chance in the market.
- Under 10.5 corners at odds 1.47, a 63% chance in the market.
The BTTS: no price fits the picture of a home side that is expected to score and an away side that has scored nothing in the competition so far. We would take it in a single bet or as part of a small accumulator, but not in a large stake.
Scotland should win this game, and we expect them to take the handicap if they do so by a clear margin. The main risk is a narrow home win, which is why the stake is split. We would not be surprised by a 2-0 or 3-0 finish.
Scotland vs North Macedonia: last matches of both teams
Scotland
North Macedonia
Head to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Match events
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Scotland vs North Macedonia?
Scotland -1.75 (Asian handicap) (1.71); Under 3.5 goals (1.62).
Who will win Scotland vs North Macedonia?
We estimate: Scotland win 81%, draw 13%, North Macedonia win 6%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 13 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Hampden Park Stadium, Glasgow. Referee: Michal Očenáš.
Who will be missing?
Scotland: no absences. North Macedonia: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.47).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 39% (odds 2.60).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (14.5%), then 3–0 (12.6%) and 1–0 (11.1%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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