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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 18:00

Sestao River vs Espanyol: prediction, tip and odds, 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Sestao River
4–3
1Sestao River7.50
XDraw4.63
2Espanyol1.48

Best price · Updated 27/10/26, 17:43

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Played: final score 4–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is Sestao River against Espanyol on 27 October 2026 · 18:00 at Estadio Las Llanas (Sestao). Espanyol (64%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Sestao River vs Espanyol: tip and prediction
Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.80
Result
Espanyol to win
1.48
Combo
Espanyol + over 2.5 goals combined
2.43
41% · fair odds for the combo
54%Chance
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Espanyol (X2): 86% probability, best odds 1.11.

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Sestao River vs Espanyol: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

    What to expect

    For us, Espanyol are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–2 (11.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

    In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 49% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 54% chance.

    Prediction summary

    1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 54%.
    2. Out: Sestao River 0, Espanyol 0.

    Alternative tip: BTTS – no

    Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 51%, best price 1.87). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

    Absences

    Absent for Sestao River: no absences. Absent for Espanyol: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

    Sestao River vs Espanyol: compare the odds

    Match result1X2
    Best price7.504.631.48
    Market average6.454.381.43
    Lowest odds5.613.861.40
    GoalsBestAverageChance
    Over 1.5 goals1.231.2175.9%
    Over 2.5 goals1.801.7254.4%
    Under 2.5 goals2.152.0545.6%
    Over 3.5 goals2.952.7233.9%
    BTTS – yes1.951.8749.4%
    BTTS – no1.871.8350.6%

    Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 17:43. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.3%.

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    At a glance

    • Likely result: Sestao River 0–2 Espanyol, roughly 3 goals in total.
    • Absences: Sestao River 0, Espanyol 0.

    Who will win Sestao River vs Espanyol?

    Sestao River14%
    Draw21%
    Espanyol64%

    Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

    Sestao River vs Espanyol: more betting tips

    Draw or Espanyol (X2)85.6% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.11
    Likely
    Over 1.5 goals75.9% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.23
    Likely
    Under 3.5 goals66.1% · fair odds 1.51 · best 1.42
    Likely
    Espanyol to win64.5% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.48
    Likely
    Over 2.5 goals54.4% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.80
    Possible
    BTTS – no50.6% · fair odds 1.98 · best 1.87
    Possible
    BTTS – yes49.4% · fair odds 2.02 · best 1.95
    Outsider
    Under 2.5 goals45.6% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.15
    Outsider
    Over 3.5 goals33.9% · fair odds 2.95 · best 2.95
    Outsider
    Draw21.1% · fair odds 4.73 · best 4.63
    Outsider
    Sestao River to win14.4% · fair odds 6.95 · best 7.50
    Outsider

    Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

    Tips on corners and cards

    Cornersline 9.5 corners
    Over 1.78 · Under 1.95
    probability of over 52.3%

    Correct score prediction

    0 : 211.6%
    0 : 111.6%
    1 : 29.8%
    1 : 19.8%
    0 : 37.7%
    1 : 36.6%

    Sestao River vs Espanyol: team news and absences

    Sestao River

    • No reported absences

    Espanyol

    • No reported absences

    Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Returns calculator

    Potential return0 £
    Net profit0 £
    Implied probability0%
    Market margin8.3%

    Questions and answers

    What do we tip for Sestao River vs Espanyol?

    Over 2.5 goals (1.80); Espanyol to win (1.48).

    Who will win Sestao River vs Espanyol?

    We estimate: Sestao River win 14%, draw 21%, Espanyol win 64%.

    Where and when is the game being played?

    Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 18:00, venue: Estadio Las Llanas, Sestao.

    Who will be missing?

    Sestao River: no absences. Espanyol: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

    Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

    We estimate over 2.5 goals at 54% (odds 1.80); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 46% (odds 2.15).

    Will both teams score?

    By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 49% (odds 1.95).

    Which correct score is the likeliest?

    We rate 0–2 as most likely (11.6%), then 0–1 (11.6%) and 1–2 (9.8%).

    What are your predictions based on?

    We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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    18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.