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UEFA Nations League · Matchweek 5 · 13 November 2026 · 19:45

Slovakia vs Faroe Islands: prediction, tip and odds, 13 November 2026, UEFA Nations League

Slovakia
WDWW
VS
Faroe Islands
DDDD
1Slovakia1.37
XDraw5.21
2Faroe Islands10.00

Best price · Updated 13/11/26, 18:00

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Our tip for Slovakia vs Faroe Islands (UEFA Nations League, 13 November 2026, 19:45): Faroe Islands +1.5 (Asian handicap) at odds of 1.85. Second tip: BTTS: no at odds of 1.67. The bookmakers' odds give Slovakia 71%, the draw 19% and Faroe Islands 10%. The most likely score is 2–0.

Slovakia vs Faroe Islands: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Faroe Islands +1.5 (Asian handicap)
1.85
Chance 53% · confidence medium

Wins: Faroe Islands win, a draw, Faroe Islands lose by 1. Loses: Faroe Islands lose by 2 or more.

Second tip · Goals
BTTS: no
1.67
Chance 57% · confidence medium
Combo
Slovakia + over 2.5 goals combined
2.29
44% · fair odds for the combo
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Slovakia or draw (1X): 90% probability, best odds 1.08.
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Slovakia vs Faroe Islands betting prediction

Slovakia are the bookmakers' favourites, with a 70% chance of the win and best odds of 1.37, and we are not going to argue with that. Our interest sits in the Faroe Islands and in how many goals this game is likely to produce. The market expects Slovakia 2 and the Faroe Islands 1, about 3 goals in total. The UEFA Nations League Matchweek 5 meeting kicks off on 13 November 2026 at 19:45.

At a glance

  • Likely result: Slovakia 2–0 Faroe Islands, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Slovakia 1st (10 points), Faroe Islands 3rd (4 points).
  • Form in the competition: Slovakia 3W 1D 0L (9:2), Faroe Islands 0W 4D 0L (5:5).
  • H2H: 1 match: Slovakia 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1.
  • Absences: Slovakia 0, Faroe Islands 0.

How are the two sides arriving at this stage?

In this competition Slovakia have won 3 and drawn 1 from 4 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 2. Both home games have been wins, with 4 goals scored and 1 conceded at home. They sit first in the table for this competition on 10 points, so the record backs up the price.

The Faroe Islands are a more awkward case. They are second on 4 points in the same table, yet they have not won a match, drawing all 4 with 5 goals for and 5 against. Away from home they have drawn 2 and lost none, which is the figure we keep coming back to. They are hard to beat, even if they rarely beat anyone.

Who will win Slovakia vs Faroe Islands?

Slovakia71%
Draw19%
Faroe Islands10%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Do the goals point to a low or a high scoring game?

Slovakia average 2.3 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match in this competition, which is a strong profile. Across all competitions their last four matches brought 3 wins, 1 draw and no defeat, with 9 scored and 2 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those four games, and Slovakia kept a clean sheet in 2 of them.

The Faroese produce a different kind of tally. They score 1.3 and concede 1.3 per match in this competition, and their last four in all competitions were all draws, 5 goals each way. Both teams scored in every one of those four. We do not read those numbers as a sign of a wide-open match, but they do tell us the Faroe Islands are not a side that disappears at the back.

What does the one previous meeting add?

Not much, to be honest. The only previous meeting was the 2 October 2026 game, which Slovakia drew 1-1 with the Faroe Islands. One game is a thin base for any conclusion. Still, it sits neatly with the pattern in the other data: a Slovakia side that scores, against a Faroese side that refuses to lose.

Is anyone missing from either squad?

No absences have been reported for either side. We will assume the strongest line-ups take the field, and there is nothing in the team news that moves the prices in either direction.

Best bet for Slovakia vs Faroe Islands: Faroe Islands +1.5

Yes, that is Faroe Islands +1.5 on the Asian handicap at odds of 1.83, with a market chance of 53%. At +1.5 the bet wins unless the Faroe Islands lose by 2 or more. Our reasons are these:

  • The Faroe Islands have lost none of their last 4 matches in all competitions.
  • Away from home they have drawn 2 of their games and lost none.
  • The bookmakers put their chance at 53% at the best odds of 1.83.

The tip wins on 1-0, 2-1 and 1-1, and loses on 2-0, 3-0 and 3-1. So a single-goal Slovakia win or a draw keeps us happy, while a two-goal margin is what sinks it. We would not back the Faroese to win outright, and we would not stake heavily on this either, but as a price-based bet it makes sense to us.

Our second tip is Both teams to score: no at odds of 1.70, a market chance of 57%. Slovakia have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 4 matches and have not gone a match without scoring in that run, which is why we lean towards no. This bet wins on 2-0, 1-0 and 3-0, and loses on 2-1, 1-1 and 3-1.

If you want to add something else, these are the bets we would consider at the odds shown:

  • Over 1.5 goals at 1.27, a market chance of 75%, as a low-stakes ticket.
  • Slovakia to win at 1.37, a market chance of 70%, if you prefer the straight result.
  • Under 3.5 goals at 1.39, a market chance of 69%, which suits a home win without a flood of goals.
  • Under 10.5 corners at 1.50, a market chance of 63%, for those who follow the corners.

None of these runs against our two tips, and we would keep stakes modest across the board.

Slovakia vs Faroe Islands: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.375.2110.00
Market average1.334.939.13
Lowest odds1.254.467.72
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.251.2475.6%
Over 2.5 goals1.841.7853.2%
Under 2.5 goals2.082.0346.8%
Over 3.5 goals3.002.8832.4%
BTTS – yes2.252.1443.3%
BTTS – no1.671.6356.7%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 13/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.5%.

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Slovakia vs Faroe Islands: more betting tips

Slovakia or draw (1X)89.7% · fair odds 1.12 · best 1.08
Likely
Over 1.5 goals75.6% · fair odds 1.32 · best 1.25
Likely
Slovakia to win70.6% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.37
Likely
Under 3.5 goals67.6% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.40
Likely
BTTS – no56.7% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals53.2% · fair odds 1.88 · best 1.84
Possible
Under 2.5 goals46.8% · fair odds 2.14 · best 2.08
Outsider
BTTS – yes43.3% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.25
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals32.4% · fair odds 3.08 · best 3.00
Outsider
Draw19.1% · fair odds 5.24 · best 5.21
Outsider
Faroe Islands to win10.3% · fair odds 9.67 · best 10.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.91 · Under 1.82
probability of over 48.9%

Correct score prediction

2 : 013.4%
1 : 012.8%
3 : 09.4%
2 : 19.4%
1 : 18.9%
3 : 16.6%

Where do the likeliest scores leave us?

The most likely exact score is 2-0 at 13.4%, ahead of 1-0 at 12.8% and 3-0 at 9.4%. That is the bookmakers' picture, and it fits the expected-goals split. For our own money, we would hope for 1-0 or 1-1, because those keep the main tip alive while the Faroe Islands do what their record says they can do.

Standings and form

League C – Group C

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Slovakia43-1-09:210
2Moldova52-1-25:97
3Faroe Islands40-4-05:54
4Kazakhstan50-2-36:92

Recent matches

Slovakia

6 OctWMoldova 0–4 Slovakia
2 OctDFaroe Islands 1–1 Slovakia
29 SeptWSlovakia 2–1 Kazakhstan
26 SeptWSlovakia 2–0 Moldova

Faroe Islands

6 OctDKazakhstan 2–2 Faroe Islands
2 OctDFaroe Islands 1–1 Slovakia
29 SeptDMoldova 1–1 Faroe Islands
26 SeptDFaroe Islands 1–1 Kazakhstan

Home and away

Slovakia at home2 matches: 2W 0D 0L, goals 4–1
Faroe Islands away2 matches: 0W 2D 0L, goals 3–3

Slovakia vs Faroe Islands: last matches of both teams

Slovakia

W 6/10/26 · Moldova 0–4 Slovakia
D 2/10/26 · Faroe Islands 1–1 Slovakia
W 29/9/26 · Slovakia 2–1 Kazakhstan
W 26/9/26 · Slovakia 2–0 Moldova

Faroe Islands

D 6/10/26 · Kazakhstan 2–2 Faroe Islands
D 2/10/26 · Faroe Islands 1–1 Slovakia
D 29/9/26 · Moldova 1–1 Faroe Islands
D 26/9/26 · Faroe Islands 1–1 Kazakhstan

Slovakia vs Faroe Islands: team news and absences

Slovakia

  • No reported absences

Faroe Islands

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Team comparison

SlovakiaFaroe Islands
71%Form29%
64%Attack36%
71%Defence29%
50%Head to head50%
50%Goals50%
64.3%Overall35.7%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

SlovakiaWDWW
Faroe IslandsDDDD

Head to head

All matches
0Slovakia
1Draws
0Faroe Islands
2/10/26 · Faroe Islands 1–1 Slovakia

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.5%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Slovakia vs Faroe Islands?

Faroe Islands +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.85); BTTS: no (1.67).

Who will win Slovakia vs Faroe Islands?

We estimate: Slovakia win 71%, draw 19%, Faroe Islands win 10%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 13 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Kosicka futbalova arena, Kosice. Referee: Mohammad Al-Emara.

Who will be missing?

Slovakia: no absences. Faroe Islands: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.84); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.08).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 43% (odds 2.25).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 2–0 as most likely (13.4%), then 1–0 (12.8%) and 3–0 (9.4%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.

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