Premier League
Home › Predictions › Sporting CP vs Lask Linz
UEFA Champions League · league phase, matchday 3 · 21 October 2026 · 20:00

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: prediction, tip and odds, 21 October 2026, UEFA Champions League

1Sporting CP1.37
XDraw6.00
2Lask Linz8.76

Best price · Updated 21/10/26, 18:00

FreshbetBet with Freshbet →
TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisH2HFAQ

Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Sporting CP v Lask Linz: 21 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estádio José Alvalade (Lisbon), with Nick Walsh refereeing. We have Sporting CP (71%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: tip and prediction
Goals
Both teams to score
1.67
Result
Sporting CP to win
1.37
Combo
Sporting CP + over 2.5 goals combined
1.78
56% · fair odds for the combo
61%Chance
2–1likely score
≈ 4 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Sporting CP or draw (1X): 88% probability, best odds 1.10.

Bet now →

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Sporting CP are 10th in the table, on 9 points after 4 matches (3W 0D 1L), and Lask Linz are 16th, on 6 points (2W 0D 2L).
  2. Head to head. From 4 meetings: 1 win for Sporting CP, 3 wins for Lask Linz and 0 draws, with the goals at 5–11.

What to expect

For us, Sporting CP are the more likely winners. We estimate a 3–1 score, roughly 4 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.67), and we rate it at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 73% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 4; Sporting CP 1 win, 0 draws, Lask Linz 3 wins.
  2. An average of 4.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 73%.
  4. Out: Sporting CP 0, Lask Linz 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.67). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Sporting CP: no absences. Absent for Lask Linz: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.376.008.76
Market average1.345.618.12
Lowest odds1.325.007.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.081.0588.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.331.2972.5%
Under 2.5 goals3.593.4127.5%
Over 3.5 goals1.861.8053.0%
BTTS – yes1.671.5360.7%
BTTS – no2.452.3739.3%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 21/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 4.8%.

All bookmakers →

At a glance

  • Likely result: Sporting CP 2–1 Lask Linz, roughly 4 goals in total.
  • Table: Sporting CP 10th (9 points), Lask Linz 16th (6 points).
  • H2H: 4 matches: Sporting CP 1W 0D 3L, goals 5–11.
  • Absences: Sporting CP 0, Lask Linz 0.

Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

Sporting CP71%
Draw17%
Lask Linz12%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: more betting tips

Sporting CP or draw (1X)88.2% · fair odds 1.13 · best 1.10
Likely
Over 1.5 goals88.0% · fair odds 1.14 · best 1.08
Likely
Over 2.5 goals72.5% · fair odds 1.38 · best 1.33
Likely
Sporting CP to win71.2% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.37
Likely
BTTS – yes60.7% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.67
Likely
Over 3.5 goals53.0% · fair odds 1.89 · best 1.86
Possible
Under 3.5 goals47.0% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.10
Outsider
BTTS – no39.3% · fair odds 2.54 · best 2.45
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals27.5% · fair odds 3.64 · best 3.59
Outsider
Draw17.1% · fair odds 5.86 · best 6.00
Outsider
Lask Linz to win11.8% · fair odds 8.49 · best 8.76
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.72 · Under 2.03
probability of over 54.1%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.79 · Under 1.96
probability of over 52.2%

Correct score prediction

2 : 19.1%
2 : 08.7%
3 : 18.1%
3 : 07.7%
1 : 16.9%
1 : 06.6%

Sporting CP vs Lask Linz: team news and absences

Sporting CP

  • No reported absences

Lask Linz

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Paris Saint Germain44-0-020:512
2Real Madrid44-0-013:712
3Arsenal43-1-08:310
4Como43-0-119:69
5Barcelona43-0-114:69
6Aston Villa43-0-112:69
7Manchester City43-0-112:79
8Liverpool43-0-114:109
9Club Brugge KV43-0-111:79
10Sporting CP43-0-18:49
11Real Betis43-0-18:69
12Borussia Dortmund43-0-17:59
13Bayern München42-2-012:58
14VfB Stuttgart42-1-17:47
15Inter42-0-28:66
16Lask Linz42-0-210:96
17Manchester United42-0-28:86
18Galatasaray42-0-28:96
19Fenerbahçe41-2-16:115
20AS Roma41-1-210:84
21Shakhtar Donetsk41-1-24:44
22Viking41-1-29:104
23Atlético Madrid41-1-24:54
24PSV Eindhoven41-1-23:44
25Bodø/Glimt41-1-24:94
26FC Porto41-0-36:73
27Napoli41-0-36:113
28Villarreal41-0-38:143
29AEK Athens FC41-0-35:113
30RB Leipzig41-0-35:113
31Sabah FA41-0-34:103
32Feyenoord41-0-34:113
33Lens41-0-34:163
34Slavia Praha40-1-35:91
35Lille40-1-34:101
36Slovan Bratislava40-0-41:170

Recent matches

Sporting CP

3 NovWShakhtar Donetsk 0–1 Sporting CP
30 OctWCasa Pia 0–2 Sporting CP
25 OctLSporting CP 1–2 Académico Viseu
21 OctLSporting CP 2–3 Lask Linz
13 OctWLens 0–2 Sporting CP

Lask Linz

3 NovWLask Linz 4–0 Slovan Bratislava
21 OctWSporting CP 2–3 Lask Linz
14 OctLLask Linz 3–6 Liverpool
8 SeptLAEK Athens FC 1–0 Lask Linz
25 AugWLask Linz 5–1 Celtic

Home and away

Sporting CP at home2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 5–4
Lask Linz away2 matches: 1W 0D 1L, goals 3–3

Head to head

All matches
1Sporting CP
0Draws
3Lask Linz
21/10/26 · Sporting CP 2–3 Lask Linz
1/10/20 · Sporting CP 1–4 Lask Linz
12/12/19 · Lask Linz 3–0 Sporting CP
3/10/19 · Sporting CP 2–1 Lask Linz

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin4.8%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

Both teams to score (1.67); Sporting CP to win (1.37).

Who will win Sporting CP vs Lask Linz?

We estimate: Sporting CP win 71%, draw 17%, Lask Linz win 12%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 21 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Estádio José Alvalade, Lisbon. Referee: Nick Walsh.

Who will be missing?

Sporting CP: no absences. Lask Linz: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 73% (odds 1.33); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 27% (odds 3.59).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.67).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.1%), then 2–0 (8.7%) and 3–1 (8.1%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.