Bet with Freshbet →Our tip for Switzerland vs Scotland (UEFA Nations League, 16 November 2026, 19:45): BTTS: no at odds of 1.87. Second tip: Switzerland to win at odds of 1.55. The bookmakers' odds give Switzerland 62%, the draw 23% and Scotland 15%. The most likely score is 1–0.
Switzerland vs Scotland betting prediction
Our pick is Switzerland to beat Scotland, kicking off at 19:45 on 16 November 2026 in Matchweek 6 of the UEFA Nations League. Our main tip is a Switzerland win priced at 1.87, which the market puts at a 52% chance. Because the odds are so short, we suggest keeping stakes small on this one. Our second tip centres on the goals, and we unpack it further down.
At a glance
- Likely result: Switzerland 1–0 Scotland, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Switzerland 1st (12 points), Scotland 3rd (4 points).
- Form in the competition: Switzerland 4W 0D 0L (11:1), Scotland 1W 1D 2L (3:5).
- H2H: 2 matches: Switzerland 1W 1D 0L, goals 4–1.
- Absences: Switzerland 0, Scotland 0.
Two sides heading in different directions
Switzerland have collected four wins from their last four outings across every competition, netting 11 goals and letting in just 1. Scotland, by contrast, have managed a single victory in that same stretch, alongside a draw and two losses, with 3 scored and 5 conceded. Within this tournament alone, the table tells the same story: Switzerland lead the group with 12 points from four matches, whereas Scotland sit third with 4. Scotland's form, however, is drawn from all competitions, so the two sources do not measure exactly the same thing. Even so, they point in the same direction, and we are happy to go along with that.
Who will win Switzerland vs Scotland?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Switzerland vs Scotland: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.55 | 4.40 | 6.60 |
| Market average | 1.49 | 4.09 | 6.23 |
| Lowest odds | 1.42 | 3.74 | 5.70 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.29 | 1.27 | 73.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.88 | 50.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.89 | 49.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.40 | 3.29 | 28.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.96 | 1.94 | 47.8% |
| BTTS – no | 1.87 | 1.78 | 52.2% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 13/11/26, 16:11. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.8%.
Why we trust the home attack
In this competition Switzerland are scoring 2.8 goals per match and conceding 0.3. Scotland score 0.8 and concede 1.3. That gap is the heart of our view, and it is why we have more faith in the hosts' attack than in the visitors' back line.
- Switzerland have won all 4 of their last 4 matches.
- Scotland have won only 1 of their last 4.
- Switzerland sit at the summit of the standings on 12 points.
- Both of Switzerland's home games in this competition have ended in victories.
Market pricing points to Switzerland netting around 2 and Scotland around 1, roughly three goals overall. The scorelines the odds rate most probable are 1-0 at 13.1%, 2-0 at 12.8% and 1-1 at 9.8%. These figures reflect what the market anticipates for this fixture, not a record of past meetings between the two sides.
Our main tip wins on 1-0, 2-0, 2-1 and 3-0. It loses on 1-1 and 0-0. A draw is the real danger, and the market puts that at 21%.
Switzerland vs Scotland: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Correct score prediction
Standings and form
League B – Group A
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 4 | 4-0-0 | 11:1 | 12 |
| 2 |  Slovenia | 4 | 2-1-1 | 5:3 | 7 |
| 3 |  Scotland | 4 | 1-1-2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 4 |  North Macedonia | 4 | 0-0-4 | 0:10 | 0 |
Recent matches
Switzerland
Home and away
The last two meetings lean one way
Head-to-head history is limited to a pair of fixtures. Switzerland collected a win and a draw, and Scotland failed to win either. Goals total 4:1 in Switzerland's favour. Most recently, Scotland 0-3 Switzerland took place on 29/9/26, while the first encounter finished Scotland 1-1 Switzerland on 19/6/24. A sample of two is thin, but it backs the hosts over the visitors.
Switzerland vs Scotland: last matches of both teams
Switzerland
Scotland
Head to head
All matchesNo absentees on either side
Neither Switzerland nor Scotland has any injury or suspension news to report, so this pick rests on recent results, league standing and their meetings with each other.
Switzerland vs Scotland: team news and absences
Switzerland
- No reported absences
Scotland
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
SwitzerlandWWWWScotlandLWLDGoals tip: at least one side fails to score
We like Both teams to score: no here, priced at 1.67, which the market puts at a 55% chance. In their last four outings Switzerland have posted three shutouts and have never failed to find the net. Scotland, meanwhile, have recorded two clean sheets and two matches in which they did not score. A Swiss victory without a Scottish goal would match both of those trends. For the yes side, bookmakers offer 2.03 at best, which reflects only the market's expectation at 45%.
Backing this selection lands on 1-0, 2-0, 3-0 and 0-0, but goes down on 1-1 and 2-1. It suits a reader who sees Switzerland dominating proceedings while Scotland fail to produce a goal late on.
Our verdict on the Swiss home side
Switzerland are the side we expect to come out on top, and the reason is their home record together with how dangerous they look going forward. Because the price is low, a modest stake makes more sense here. For punters who prefer to wager on how the match unfolds rather than on the final outcome, our second choice is the Both teams to score: No selection.
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Match events
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Switzerland vs Scotland?
BTTS: no (1.87); Switzerland to win (1.55).
Who will win Switzerland vs Scotland?
We estimate: Switzerland win 62%, draw 23%, Scotland win 15%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 16 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: to be confirmed.
Who will be missing?
Switzerland: no absences. Scotland: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.94); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 50% (odds 1.94).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 48% (odds 1.96).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–0 as most likely (13.1%), then 2–0 (12.1%) and 1–1 (10.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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