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Eredivisie · Matchweek 11 · 1 November 2026 · 13:30

Telstar vs Utrecht: prediction, tip and odds, 1 November 2026, Eredivisie

WLLDL
4–2
LDWWL
1Telstar3.44
XDraw3.90
2Utrecht2.17

Best price · Updated 1/11/26, 13:02

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Played: final score 4–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Telstar v Utrecht: 1 November 2026 · 13:30 at Sportpark Schoonenberg (Felsen), with Richard Martens refereeing. We have Utrecht (46%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Telstar vs Utrecht: tip and prediction
Handicap
Telstar +0.5 (Asian handicap)
1.83
Goals
Both teams to score
1.50
54%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Utrecht (X2): 71% probability, best odds 1.36.

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Telstar vs Utrecht: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Telstar are 16th in the table, on 9 points after 11 matches (2W 3D 6L), and Utrecht are 12th, on 12 points (3W 3D 5L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Telstar score 1.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.1; for Utrecht the figures are 1.7 scored and 2.7 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Telstar: 1W 3D 6L, goals 12–21; Utrecht: 3W 3D 4L, goals 17–27.
  4. Head to head. From 3 meetings: 1 win for Telstar, 1 win for Utrecht and 1 draw, with the goals at 6–7.

What to expect

For us, Utrecht are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 62% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 60% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 3; Telstar 1 win, 1 draw, Utrecht 1 win.
  2. An average of 4.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Telstar 12–21, Utrecht 17–27.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 60%.
  5. Out: Telstar 0, Utrecht 6.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 62%, best price 1.50). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Telstar: no absences. Absent for Utrecht: A. Engwanda, V. Jensen, M. Jonathans, N. Ohio, K. Paredes, V. Barkas. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Telstar vs Utrecht: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price3.443.902.17
Market average3.243.732.07
Lowest odds2.823.332.00
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.191.1680.8%
Over 2.5 goals1.621.5760.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.422.3540.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.562.4238.9%
BTTS – yes1.501.4962.4%
BTTS – no2.552.4737.6%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 1/11/26, 13:02. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.3%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Telstar 1–1 Utrecht, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Telstar 16th (9 points), Utrecht 12th (12 points).
  • Form in the competition: Telstar 1W 3D 6L (12:21), Utrecht 3W 3D 4L (17:27).
  • H2H: 3 matches: Telstar 1W 1D 1L, goals 6–7.
  • Absences: Telstar 0, Utrecht 6.

Who will win Telstar vs Utrecht?

Telstar29%
Draw25%
Utrecht46%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Telstar vs Utrecht: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals80.8% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Draw or Utrecht (X2)70.9% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.36
Likely
BTTS – yes62.4% · fair odds 1.60 · best 1.50
Likely
Under 3.5 goals61.1% · fair odds 1.64 · best 1.60
Likely
Over 2.5 goals60.0% · fair odds 1.67 · best 1.62
Likely
Utrecht to win45.6% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.17
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals40.0% · fair odds 2.50 · best 2.42
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals38.9% · fair odds 2.57 · best 2.56
Outsider
BTTS – no37.6% · fair odds 2.66 · best 2.55
Outsider
Telstar to win29.1% · fair odds 3.43 · best 3.44
Outsider
Draw25.3% · fair odds 3.96 · best 3.90
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 10.5 corners
Over 2.01 · Under 1.72
probability of over 46.2%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.6%
1 : 29.3%
0 : 17.9%
2 : 17.2%
0 : 26.9%
2 : 26.3%

Telstar vs Utrecht: team news and absences

Telstar

  • No reported absences

Utrecht

  • A. Engwandahamstring injury · will miss the match
  • V. Jensenknee injury · will miss the match
  • M. Jonathansknee injury · will miss the match
  • N. Ohioknee injury · will miss the match
  • K. Paredesknee injury · will miss the match
  • V. Barkasnot in the squad · doubtful

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Feyenoord117-4-033:1225
2Ajax117-3-130:1324
3PSV Eindhoven117-2-235:1323
4Twente117-2-228:1023
5AZ Alkmaar116-2-320:1320
6Fortuna Sittard115-4-218:1819
7Heerenveen115-3-319:1318
8Groningen114-3-426:2415
9Cambuur114-3-423:2215
10GO Ahead Eagles113-5-323:2714
11Sparta Rotterdam113-3-520:2612
12Utrecht113-3-519:3112
13NEC Nijmegen112-5-417:1911
14PEC Zwolle113-2-612:2311
15Excelsior113-2-616:2811
16Telstar112-3-616:239
17ADO Den Haag111-3-713:246
18Willem II110-2-910:392

Recent matches

Telstar

1 NovWTelstar 4–2 Utrecht
23 OctLGO Ahead Eagles 3–2 Telstar
17 OctLTelstar 3–4 Feyenoord
11 OctDTelstar 2–2 ADO Den Haag
20 SeptLAZ Alkmaar 1–0 Telstar

Utrecht

1 NovLTelstar 4–2 Utrecht
24 OctDUtrecht 1–1 PEC Zwolle
18 OctWTwente 1–2 Utrecht
11 OctWUtrecht 3–1 Willem II
20 SeptLFeyenoord 5–0 Utrecht

Home and away

Telstar at home6 matches: 1W 2D 3L, goals 12–17
Utrecht away6 matches: 2W 1D 3L, goals 10–16

Team comparison

TelstarUtrecht
17%Form83%
47%Attack53%
47%Defence53%
20%Head to head80%
29%Goals71%
34.5%Overall65.5%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

TelstarWLLDL
UtrechtLDWWL

Head to head

All matches
1Telstar
1Draws
1Utrecht
1/11/26 · Telstar 4–2 Utrecht
11/4/26 · Utrecht 4–1 Telstar
23/11/25 · Telstar 1–1 Utrecht

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.3%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Telstar vs Utrecht?

Telstar +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Both teams to score (1.50).

Who will win Telstar vs Utrecht?

We estimate: Telstar win 29%, draw 25%, Utrecht win 46%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 1 November 2026, kick-off: 13:30, venue: Sportpark Schoonenberg, Felsen. Referee: Richard Martens.

Who will be missing?

Telstar: no absences. Utrecht: A. Engwanda, V. Jensen, M. Jonathans, N. Ohio, K. Paredes, V. Barkas. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.62); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.42).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 62% (odds 1.50).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.6%), then 1–2 (9.3%) and 0–1 (7.9%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Willem II vs PEC Zwolle 6 NovFortuna Sittard vs Telstar 7 NovADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam 7 NovExcelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles 7 NovHeerenveen vs Feyenoord 8 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.