Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Utrecht v PEC Zwolle: 24 October 2026 · 15:30 at Stadion Galgenwaard (Utrecht), with Martijn Vos refereeing. We have Utrecht (57%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Utrecht are 12th in the table, on 12 points after 11 matches (3W 3D 5L), and PEC Zwolle are 14th, on 11 points (3W 2D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Utrecht score 1.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.9; for PEC Zwolle the figures are 1.1 scored and 2.4 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Utrecht: 3W 2D 4L, goals 16–26; PEC Zwolle: 2W 1D 6L, goals 10–22.
- Head to head. From 31 meetings: 14 wins for Utrecht, 5 wins for PEC Zwolle and 12 draws, with the goals at 58–38.
What to expect
For us, Utrecht are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.57), and we rate it at 61%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 60% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 31; Utrecht 14 wins, 12 draws, PEC Zwolle 5 wins.
- An average of 3.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Utrecht 16–26, PEC Zwolle 10–22.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
- Out: Utrecht 8, PEC Zwolle 3.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 60%, best price 1.57). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Utrecht: A. Engwanda, V. Jensen, M. Jonathans, N. Ohio, K. Paredes, V. Barkas, M. Broholm, A. Stepanov. Absent for PEC Zwolle: S. Floranus, F. Krastev, Y. Namli. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.70 | 4.40 | 5.20 |
| Market average | 1.65 | 4.14 | 4.77 |
| Lowest odds | 1.62 | 3.90 | 4.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.19 | 1.16 | 81.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.57 | 1.54 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.41 | 38.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.34 | 40.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.57 | 1.55 | 59.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.45 | 2.30 | 40.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Utrecht 2–1 PEC Zwolle, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Utrecht 12th (12 points), PEC Zwolle 14th (11 points).
- Form in the competition: Utrecht 3W 2D 4L (16:26), PEC Zwolle 2W 1D 6L (10:22).
- H2H: 31 matches: Utrecht 14W 12D 5L, goals 58–38.
- Absences: Utrecht 8, PEC Zwolle 3.
Who will win Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle: team news and absences
Utrecht
- A. Engwandahamstring injury · will miss the match
- V. Jensenknee injury · will miss the match
- M. Jonathansknee injury · will miss the match
- N. Ohioknee injury · will miss the match
- K. Paredesknee injury · will miss the match
- V. Barkasnot in the squad · doubtful
- M. Broholmnot in the squad · doubtful
- A. Stepanovankle injury · doubtful
PEC Zwolle
- S. Floranusinjury · will miss the match
- F. KrastevAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- Y. Namliknee injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Feyenoord | 11 | 7-4-0 | 33:12 | 25 |
| 2 |  Ajax | 11 | 7-3-1 | 30:13 | 24 |
| 3 |  PSV Eindhoven | 11 | 7-2-2 | 35:13 | 23 |
| 4 |  Twente | 11 | 7-2-2 | 28:10 | 23 |
| 5 |  AZ Alkmaar | 11 | 6-2-3 | 20:13 | 20 |
| 6 |  Fortuna Sittard | 11 | 5-4-2 | 18:18 | 19 |
| 7 |  Heerenveen | 11 | 5-3-3 | 19:13 | 18 |
| 8 |  Groningen | 11 | 4-3-4 | 26:24 | 15 |
| 9 |  Cambuur | 11 | 4-3-4 | 23:22 | 15 |
| 10 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | 3-5-3 | 23:27 | 14 |
| 11 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | 3-3-5 | 20:26 | 12 |
| 12 | Utrecht | 11 | 3-3-5 | 19:31 | 12 |
| 13 |  NEC Nijmegen | 11 | 2-5-4 | 17:19 | 11 |
| 14 | PEC Zwolle | 11 | 3-2-6 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 15 |  Excelsior | 11 | 3-2-6 | 16:28 | 11 |
| 16 |  Telstar | 11 | 2-3-6 | 16:23 | 9 |
| 17 |  ADO Den Haag | 11 | 1-3-7 | 13:24 | 6 |
| 18 |  Willem II | 11 | 0-2-9 | 10:39 | 2 |
Recent matches
Utrecht
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
UtrechtLDWWLPEC ZwolleWDWLLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
PEC Zwolle +1 (Asian handicap) (1.79); Over 2.5 goals (1.57).
Who will win Utrecht vs PEC Zwolle?
We estimate: Utrecht win 57%, draw 23%, PEC Zwolle win 20%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 15:30, venue: Stadion Galgenwaard, Utrecht. Referee: Martijn Vos.
Who will be missing?
Utrecht: A. Engwanda, V. Jensen, M. Jonathans, N. Ohio, K. Paredes, V. Barkas, M. Broholm, A. Stepanov. PEC Zwolle: S. Floranus, F. Krastev, Y. Namli. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.57); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 60% (odds 1.57).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.9%), then 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (8.6%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.