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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 27 October 2026 · 20:00

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: prediction, tip and odds, 27 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Tudelano
0–4
Zaragoza
1Tudelano7.00
XDraw4.33
2Zaragoza1.55

Best price · Updated 27/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisH2HFAQ

Played: final score 0–4. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Tudelano v Zaragoza: 27 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Municipal Ciudad de Tudela (Tudela). We have Zaragoza (61%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: tip and prediction
Handicap
Tudelano +1.25 (Asian handicap)
1.75
Goals
BTTS: no
1.80
Combo
Zaragoza + over 2.5 goals combined
2.80
36% · fair odds for the combo
57%Chance
0–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Zaragoza (X2): 84% probability, best odds 1.14.

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Tudelano vs Zaragoza: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Head to head. From 1 meetings: 0 wins for Tudelano, 1 win for Zaragoza and 0 draws, with the goals at 0–4.

What to expect

For us, Zaragoza are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–1 (13.4%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

In the goals market we pick BTTS: no (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 46% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 48% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 1; Tudelano 0 wins, 0 draws, Zaragoza 1 win.
  2. An average of 4.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 48%.
  4. Out: Tudelano 0, Zaragoza 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – no

Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 54%, best price 1.80). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Tudelano: no absences. Absent for Zaragoza: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price7.004.331.55
Market average5.973.901.52
Lowest odds5.323.561.45
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.341.3070.7%
Over 2.5 goals2.001.9547.8%
Under 2.5 goals1.821.7952.2%
Over 3.5 goals3.503.2928.0%
BTTS – yes2.202.0245.9%
BTTS – no1.801.7154.1%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.3%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Tudelano 0–1 Zaragoza, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 1 match: Tudelano 0W 0D 1L, goals 0–4.
  • Absences: Tudelano 0, Zaragoza 0.

Who will win Tudelano vs Zaragoza?

Tudelano16%
Draw24%
Zaragoza61%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: more betting tips

Draw or Zaragoza (X2)84.4% · fair odds 1.18 · best 1.14
Likely
Under 3.5 goals72.0% · fair odds 1.39 · best 1.30
Likely
Over 1.5 goals70.7% · fair odds 1.42 · best 1.34
Likely
Zaragoza to win60.7% · fair odds 1.65 · best 1.55
Likely
BTTS – no54.1% · fair odds 1.85 · best 1.80
Possible
Under 2.5 goals52.2% · fair odds 1.92 · best 1.82
Possible
Over 2.5 goals47.8% · fair odds 2.09 · best 2.00
Outsider
BTTS – yes45.9% · fair odds 2.18 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals28.0% · fair odds 3.58 · best 3.50
Outsider
Draw23.7% · fair odds 4.22 · best 4.33
Outsider
Tudelano to win15.6% · fair odds 6.43 · best 7.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.96 · Under 1.77
probability of over 47.4%

Correct score prediction

0 : 113.4%
0 : 212.0%
1 : 110.7%
1 : 29.6%
0 : 07.4%
0 : 37.2%

Tudelano vs Zaragoza: team news and absences

Tudelano

  • No reported absences

Zaragoza

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Head to head

0Tudelano
0Draws
1Zaragoza
27/10/26 · Tudelano 0–4 Zaragoza

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.3%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Tudelano vs Zaragoza?

Tudelano +1.25 (Asian handicap) (1.75); BTTS: no (1.80).

Who will win Tudelano vs Zaragoza?

We estimate: Tudelano win 16%, draw 24%, Zaragoza win 61%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Estadio Municipal Ciudad de Tudela, Tudela.

Who will be missing?

Tudelano: no absences. Zaragoza: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 48% (odds 2.00); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 52% (odds 1.82).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 46% (odds 2.20).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 0–1 as most likely (13.4%), then 0–2 (12.0%) and 1–1 (10.7%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.