Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
VfL Bochum play VfL Wolfsburg at home on 23 October 2026 · 17:30 at Vonovia Ruhrstadion (Bochum); the referee is Eric-Dominic Weisbach, Germany. For us, VfL Wolfsburg (45%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. VfL Bochum are 11th in the table, on 11 points after 10 matches (3W 2D 5L), and VfL Wolfsburg are 3rd, on 19 points (5W 4D 1L).
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (9.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 68% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 67% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 67%.
- Out: VfL Bochum 0, VfL Wolfsburg 0.
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 3.5 goals (probability 46%, best price 2.09). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for VfL Bochum: no absences. Absent for VfL Wolfsburg: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.37 | 4.21 | 2.13 |
| Market average | 3.08 | 3.88 | 2.07 |
| Lowest odds | 3.00 | 3.70 | 2.00 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.14 | 1.10 | 85.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.44 | 1.39 | 66.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.89 | 2.80 | 33.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.09 | 2.02 | 46.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.40 | 1.37 | 67.5% |
| BTTS – no | 3.00 | 2.86 | 32.5% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 23/10/26, 14:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: VfL Bochum 1–1 VfL Wolfsburg, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: VfL Bochum 11th (11 points), VfL Wolfsburg 3rd (19 points).
- Absences: VfL Bochum 0, VfL Wolfsburg 0.
Who will win VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg: team news and absences
VfL Bochum
- No reported absences
VfL Wolfsburg
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Hertha BSC | 10 | 9-1-0 | 23:8 | 28 |
| 2 |  1. FC Nürnberg | 10 | 6-3-1 | 24:13 | 21 |
| 3 | VfL Wolfsburg | 10 | 5-4-1 | 25:14 | 19 |
| 4 |  1. FC Kaiserslautern | 10 | 5-3-2 | 9:7 | 18 |
| 5 |  1. FC Magdeburg | 10 | 5-2-3 | 21:13 | 17 |
| 6 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 10 | 4-3-3 | 17:18 | 15 |
| 7 |  Arminia Bielefeld | 10 | 4-2-4 | 16:15 | 14 |
| 8 |  FC St. Pauli | 10 | 2-6-2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 9 |  SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 10 | 3-3-4 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 10 |  VfL Osnabrück | 10 | 3-2-5 | 14:17 | 11 |
| 11 | VfL Bochum | 10 | 3-2-5 | 8:11 | 11 |
| 12 |  Hannover 96 | 10 | 3-2-5 | 10:16 | 11 |
| 13 |  Karlsruher SC | 10 | 3-2-5 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 14 |  Energie Cottbus | 10 | 2-4-4 | 18:20 | 10 |
| 15 |  Eintracht Braunschweig | 10 | 3-1-6 | 16:18 | 10 |
| 16 |  SV Darmstadt 98 | 10 | 2-3-5 | 9:19 | 9 |
| 17 |  Holstein Kiel | 10 | 1-5-4 | 10:12 | 8 |
| 18 |  Dynamo Dresden | 10 | 2-2-6 | 12:20 | 8 |
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VfL Bochum
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg?
VfL Bochum +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.89); Under 3.5 goals (1.80).
Who will win VfL Bochum vs VfL Wolfsburg?
We estimate: VfL Bochum win 30%, draw 24%, VfL Wolfsburg win 45%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 23 October 2026, kick-off: 17:30, venue: Vonovia Ruhrstadion, Bochum. Referee: Eric-Dominic Weisbach, Germany.
Who will be missing?
VfL Bochum: no absences. VfL Wolfsburg: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 67% (odds 1.44); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 33% (odds 2.89).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 68% (odds 1.40).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (9.3%), then 1–2 (8.9%) and 2–1 (7.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
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