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Copa del Rey · round 128 · 29 October 2026 · 20:00

Xerez vs Cádiz: prediction, tip and odds, 29 October 2026, Copa del Rey

Xerez
1–3
1Xerez4.00
XDraw3.80
2Cádiz2.10

Best price · Updated 29/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 1–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Xerez v Cádiz: 29 October 2026 · 20:00. We have Cádiz (47%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Xerez vs Cádiz: tip and prediction
Handicap
Xerez +1 (Asian handicap)
1.80
Goals
Both teams to score
1.65
64%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Cádiz (X2): 74% probability, best odds 1.29.

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Xerez vs Cádiz: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Head to head. From 2 meetings: 0 wins for Xerez, 1 win for Cádiz and 1 draw, with the goals at 1–3.

What to expect

For us, Cádiz are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.65), and we rate it at 58%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 58% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 55% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 2; Xerez 0 wins, 1 draw, Cádiz 1 win.
  2. An average of 2.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 55%.
  4. Out: Xerez 0, Cádiz 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 58%, best price 1.65). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Xerez: no absences. Absent for Cádiz: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Xerez vs Cádiz: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price4.003.802.10
Market average3.543.441.97
Lowest odds3.193.171.79
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2176.1%
Over 2.5 goals1.731.7054.7%
Under 2.5 goals2.152.0645.3%
Over 3.5 goals2.802.6634.6%
BTTS – yes1.651.6057.9%
BTTS – no2.302.2042.1%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 29/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.5%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Xerez 1–1 Cádiz, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • H2H: 2 matches: Xerez 0W 1D 1L, goals 1–3.
  • Absences: Xerez 0, Cádiz 0.

Who will win Xerez vs Cádiz?

Xerez26%
Draw27%
Cádiz47%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Xerez vs Cádiz: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals76.1% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.24
Likely
Draw or Cádiz (X2)73.8% · fair odds 1.35 · best 1.29
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.4% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.44
Likely
BTTS – yes57.9% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 2.5 goals54.7% · fair odds 1.83 · best 1.73
Possible
Cádiz to win47.0% · fair odds 2.13 · best 2.10
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals45.3% · fair odds 2.21 · best 2.15
Outsider
BTTS – no42.1% · fair odds 2.38 · best 2.30
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.6% · fair odds 2.89 · best 2.80
Outsider
Draw26.8% · fair odds 3.73 · best 3.80
Outsider
Xerez to win26.2% · fair odds 3.82 · best 4.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.67 · Under 2.04
probability of over 55.0%

Correct score prediction

1 : 111.5%
0 : 19.5%
1 : 29.4%
0 : 27.9%
1 : 06.9%
2 : 16.9%

Xerez vs Cádiz: team news and absences

Xerez

  • No reported absences

Cádiz

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Team comparison

XerezCádiz
50%Head to head50%
50.0%Overall50.0%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Head to head

All matches
0Xerez
1Draws
1Cádiz
29/10/26 · Xerez 1–3 Cádiz
30/11/22 · Xerez 0–0 Cádiz

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin8.5%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Xerez vs Cádiz?

Xerez +1 (Asian handicap) (1.80); Both teams to score (1.65).

Who will win Xerez vs Cádiz?

We estimate: Xerez win 26%, draw 27%, Cádiz win 47%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 29 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: to be confirmed.

Who will be missing?

Xerez: no absences. Cádiz: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 55% (odds 1.73); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 45% (odds 2.15).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 58% (odds 1.65).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.5%), then 0–1 (9.5%) and 1–2 (9.4%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.