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UEFA Conference League · league phase, matchday 2 · 22 October 2026 · 20:00

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: prediction, tip and odds, 22 October 2026, UEFA Conference League

1Aarhus1.52
XDraw4.74
2Egnatia Rrogozhinë7.11

Best price · Updated 22/10/26, 18:00

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Aarhus v Egnatia Rrogozhinë: 22 October 2026 · 20:00 at Cepheus Park (Randers), with A. Culina refereeing. We have Aarhus (65%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: tip and prediction
Handicap
Aarhus -0.75 (Asian handicap)
1.68
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.48
Combo
Aarhus + over 2.5 goals combined
2.29
44% · fair odds for the combo
60%Chance
2–0likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Aarhus or draw (1X): 86% probability, best odds 1.14.

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Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Aarhus are 26th in the table, on 1 point after 2 matches (0W 1D 1L), and Egnatia Rrogozhinë are 20th, on 2 points (0W 2D 0L).

What to expect

For us, Aarhus are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (11.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 57% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 57%.
  2. Out: Aarhus 0, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 57%, best price 1.71). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Aarhus: no absences. Absent for Egnatia Rrogozhinë: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.524.747.11
Market average1.444.516.60
Lowest odds1.404.105.90
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.231.1978.5%
Over 2.5 goals1.711.6656.8%
Under 2.5 goals2.242.1843.2%
Over 3.5 goals2.752.6435.4%
BTTS – yes1.821.7951.8%
BTTS – no2.001.9348.2%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 22/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.7%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Aarhus 2–0 Egnatia Rrogozhinë, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Aarhus 26th (1 point), Egnatia Rrogozhinë 20th (2 points).
  • Absences: Aarhus 0, Egnatia Rrogozhinë 0.

Who will win Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Aarhus65%
Draw21%
Egnatia Rrogozhinë14%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: more betting tips

Aarhus or draw (1X)85.8% · fair odds 1.17 · best 1.14
Likely
Over 1.5 goals78.5% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.23
Likely
Aarhus to win64.9% · fair odds 1.54 · best 1.52
Likely
Under 3.5 goals64.6% · fair odds 1.55 · best 1.48
Likely
Over 2.5 goals56.8% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.71
Possible
BTTS – yes51.8% · fair odds 1.93 · best 1.82
Possible
BTTS – no48.2% · fair odds 2.08 · best 2.00
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals43.2% · fair odds 2.31 · best 2.24
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals35.4% · fair odds 2.82 · best 2.75
Outsider
Draw20.8% · fair odds 4.81 · best 4.74
Outsider
Egnatia Rrogozhinë to win14.2% · fair odds 7.02 · best 7.11
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 2.03 · Under 1.71
probability of over 45.8%

Correct score prediction

2 : 011.0%
1 : 010.5%
2 : 19.9%
1 : 19.4%
3 : 07.7%
3 : 16.9%

Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë: team news and absences

Aarhus

  • No reported absences

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Panathinaikos22-0-07:26
2FC Lugano22-0-08:46
3Brann22-0-06:26
4Trabzonspor22-0-06:26
5Twente22-0-05:16
6Monaco22-0-05:16
7St. Truiden22-0-03:06
8HNK Hajduk Split22-0-03:16
9Brighton21-1-04:04
10FC Copenhagen21-1-05:24
11Universitatea Craiova21-1-04:24
12Mjällby AIF21-1-03:14
13Ajax21-0-13:23
14Borac Banja Luka21-0-13:23
15Atalanta21-0-13:33
16SC Braga21-0-12:33
17Gent21-0-11:23
18SC Freiburg21-0-13:53
19FC Nordsjælland20-2-03:32
20Egnatia Rrogozhinë20-2-02:22
21Riga20-2-02:22
22FK Crvena Zvezda20-1-14:51
23CSKA Sofia20-1-13:41
24FK Jablonec20-1-12:31
25FC Midtjylland20-1-11:21
26Aarhus20-1-11:21
27Pafos20-1-12:41
28Heart Of Midlothian20-1-11:31
29FC Iberia 199920-1-11:31
30Getafe20-1-13:61
31Kairat Almaty20-1-12:61
32FC Thun20-0-20:20
33Lincoln Red Imps FC20-0-22:60
34KuPS20-0-22:60
35Inter Club d'Escaldes20-0-21:50
36Kauno Žalgiris20-0-21:80

Recent matches

Aarhus

1 NovLBrøndby 2–0 Aarhus
25 OctWAarhus 2–1 Viborg
22 OctDAarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
18 OctDFC Copenhagen 1–1 Aarhus
15 OctLGent 1–0 Aarhus

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

22 OctDAarhus 1–1 Egnatia Rrogozhinë
15 OctDEgnatia Rrogozhinë 1–1 FC Midtjylland

Home and away

Aarhus at home1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë away1 match: 0W 1D 0L, goals 1–1

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.7%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

Aarhus -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.68); Under 3.5 goals (1.48).

Who will win Aarhus vs Egnatia Rrogozhinë?

We estimate: Aarhus win 65%, draw 21%, Egnatia Rrogozhinë win 14%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 22 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Cepheus Park, Randers. Referee: A. Culina.

Who will be missing?

Aarhus: no absences. Egnatia Rrogozhinë: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 57% (odds 1.71); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 43% (odds 2.24).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.82).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 2–0 as most likely (11.0%), then 1–0 (10.5%) and 2–1 (9.9%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

FC Midtjylland vs Ajax 5 NovAarhus vs SC Braga 5 NovAtalanta vs Kairat Almaty 5 NovFK Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club d'Escaldes 5 NovLincoln Red Imps FC vs HNK Hajduk Split 5 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.