Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is FC Copenhagen against Aarhus on 18 October 2026 · 17:00 at Parken Stadium (Copenhagen), and Lasse Kirk Graagaard will referee. FC Copenhagen (59%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. FC Copenhagen are 2nd in the table, on 29 points after 13 matches (9W 2D 2L), and Aarhus are 8th, on 12 points (2W 6D 5L).
What to expect
For us, FC Copenhagen are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–1 (9.9%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 56% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: FC Copenhagen 0, Aarhus 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 58%, best price 1.68). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for FC Copenhagen: no absences. Absent for Aarhus: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.59 | 4.48 | 5.46 |
| Market average | 1.57 | 4.16 | 5.11 |
| Lowest odds | 1.55 | 4.00 | 4.93 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.22 | 1.17 | 79.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.68 | 1.59 | 58.1% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.21 | 41.9% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.69 | 2.55 | 36.9% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.70 | 1.65 | 56.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.17 | 2.11 | 43.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 12:52. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: FC Copenhagen 2–1 Aarhus, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: FC Copenhagen 2nd (29 points), Aarhus 8th (12 points).
- Absences: FC Copenhagen 0, Aarhus 0.
Who will win FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus: team news and absences
FC Copenhagen
- No reported absences
Aarhus
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 |
| 2 | FC Copenhagen | 13 | 9-2-2 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 3 |  Viborg | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 4 |  Brøndby | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 5 |  FC Nordsjælland | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Odense | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 |  AC Horsens | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 |
| 8 | Aarhus | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 9 |  Silkeborg | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 13 | 2-5-6 | 19:28 | 11 |
| 12 |  Sønderjyske | 13 | 2-2-9 | 17:31 | 8 |
Recent matches
FC Copenhagen
Home and away
Returns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus?
Aarhus +1 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 3.5 goals (1.50).
Who will win FC Copenhagen vs Aarhus?
We estimate: FC Copenhagen win 59%, draw 22%, Aarhus win 18%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Parken Stadium, Copenhagen. Referee: Lasse Kirk Graagaard.
Who will be missing?
FC Copenhagen: no absences. Aarhus: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.68); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.27).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 56% (odds 1.70).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–1 as most likely (9.9%), then 1–1 (9.9%) and 2–0 (9.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.