Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Aarhus against Viborg on 25 October 2026 · 17:00 at Vejlby Stadion (Aarhus), and Mikkel Redder will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Aarhus vs Viborg: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Aarhus are 8th in the table, on 12 points after 13 matches (2W 6D 5L), and Viborg are 3rd, on 23 points (7W 2D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Aarhus score 1.4 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.6; for Viborg the figures are 1.6 scored and 0.9 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Aarhus: 1W 6D 4L, goals 15–18; Viborg: 6W 2D 3L, goals 18–10.
- Head to head. From 36 meetings: 15 wins for Aarhus, 11 wins for Viborg and 10 draws, with the goals at 49–41.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–1 score estimate, roughly 3 goals in all, and 1–1 (11.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
What stands out is that the table favours the Viborg, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 63% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 60% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 36; Aarhus 15 wins, 10 draws, Viborg 11 wins.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Aarhus 15–18, Viborg 18–10.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 60%.
- Out: Aarhus 6, Viborg 5.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 63%, best price 1.50). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Aarhus: M. Anderson, M. Camara, T. Kristjansson, G. Links, N. Poulsen, K. Yakob. Absent for Viborg: L. Coulibaly, T. Freriks, R. Mitchell, Y. Njoh, M. Riahi. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Aarhus vs Viborg: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.48 | 3.70 | 2.81 |
| Market average | 2.36 | 3.55 | 2.73 |
| Lowest odds | 2.27 | 3.30 | 2.63 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.16 | 80.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.61 | 1.58 | 59.5% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.42 | 2.32 | 40.5% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.41 | 38.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.48 | 62.7% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.49 | 37.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 16:38. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.2%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Aarhus 1–1 Viborg, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Aarhus 8th (12 points), Viborg 3rd (23 points).
- Form in the competition: Aarhus 1W 6D 4L (15:18), Viborg 6W 2D 3L (18:10).
- H2H: 36 matches: Aarhus 15W 10D 11L, goals 49–41.
- Absences: Aarhus 6, Viborg 5.
Who will win Aarhus vs Viborg?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Aarhus vs Viborg: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Aarhus vs Viborg: team news and absences
Aarhus
- M. Andersoninjury · will miss the match
- M. Camaranot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Kristjanssonbroken hand · will miss the match
- G. Linksknock · will miss the match
- N. PoulsenAchilles tendon injury · will miss the match
- K. Yakobknee injury · will miss the match
Viborg
- L. Coulibalynot in the squad · will miss the match
- T. Freriksknock · will miss the match
- R. Mitchellinjury · will miss the match
- Y. Njohinjury · will miss the match
- M. Riahiknee injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Midtjylland | 13 | 9-4-0 | 27:15 | 31 |
| 2 |  FC Copenhagen | 13 | 9-2-2 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 3 | Viborg | 13 | 7-2-4 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 4 |  Brøndby | 13 | 7-1-5 | 23:20 | 22 |
| 5 |  FC Nordsjælland | 13 | 5-5-3 | 20:17 | 20 |
| 6 |  Odense | 13 | 4-5-4 | 15:17 | 17 |
| 7 |  AC Horsens | 13 | 4-4-5 | 23:21 | 16 |
| 8 | Aarhus | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:21 | 12 |
| 9 |  Silkeborg | 13 | 2-6-5 | 17:24 | 12 |
| 10 |  Randers FC | 13 | 3-2-8 | 13:21 | 11 |
| 11 |  Lyngby | 13 | 2-5-6 | 19:28 | 11 |
| 12 |  Sønderjyske | 13 | 2-2-9 | 17:31 | 8 |
Recent matches
Aarhus
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
AarhusLWDWDViborgWLLWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Aarhus vs Viborg?
Aarhus +0 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Aarhus vs Viborg?
We estimate: Aarhus win 39%, draw 26%, Viborg win 34%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Vejlby Stadion, Aarhus. Referee: Mikkel Redder.
Who will be missing?
Aarhus: M. Anderson, M. Camara, T. Kristjansson, G. Links, N. Poulsen, K. Yakob. Viborg: L. Coulibaly, T. Freriks, R. Mitchell, Y. Njoh, M. Riahi. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 60% (odds 1.61); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 40% (odds 2.42).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 63% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.0%), then 2–1 (8.8%) and 1–2 (8.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.