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Segunda División · Matchweek 12 · 31 October 2026 · 20:00

Albacete vs Sabadell: prediction, tip and odds, 31 October 2026, Segunda División

2–1
1Albacete2.40
XDraw3.15
2Sabadell3.54

Best price · Updated 31/10/26, 13:56

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Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is Albacete against Sabadell on 31 October 2026 · 20:00 at Estadio Carlos Belmonte (Albacete), and A. Fuentes will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Albacete vs Sabadell: tip and prediction
Handicap
Sabadell +0.25 (Asian handicap)
1.90
Goals
Under 2.5 goals
1.70
52%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match

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Albacete vs Sabadell: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Albacete are 21st in the table, on 7 points after 12 matches (2W 1D 9L), and Sabadell are 10th, on 17 points (4W 5D 3L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Albacete score 0.7 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.0; for Sabadell the figures are 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Albacete: 1W 1D 9L, goals 8–22; Sabadell: 4W 5D 2L, goals 11–9.
  4. Head to head. From 5 meetings: 2 wins for Albacete, 1 win for Sabadell and 2 draws, with the goals at 6–3.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (13.0%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

What stands out is that the table favours the Sabadell, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.

In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.70), and we rate it at 57%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 49% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 43% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 5; Albacete 2 wins, 2 draws, Sabadell 1 win.
  2. An average of 1.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Albacete 8–22, Sabadell 11–9.
  4. Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 43%.
  5. Out: Albacete 0, Sabadell 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – no

Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 51%, best price 1.86). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Albacete: no absences. Absent for Sabadell: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Albacete vs Sabadell: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.403.153.54
Market average2.303.043.22
Lowest odds2.202.882.57
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.441.3967.3%
Over 2.5 goals2.342.2242.5%
Under 2.5 goals1.701.6457.5%
Over 3.5 goals4.504.0723.1%
BTTS – yes1.911.8849.3%
BTTS – no1.861.8350.7%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 31/10/26, 13:56. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.6%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Albacete 1–1 Sabadell, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Albacete 21st (7 points), Sabadell 10th (17 points).
  • Form in the competition: Albacete 1W 1D 9L (8:22), Sabadell 4W 5D 2L (11:9).
  • H2H: 5 matches: Albacete 2W 2D 1L, goals 6–3.
  • Absences: Albacete 0, Sabadell 0.

Who will win Albacete vs Sabadell?

Albacete40%
Draw31%
Sabadell29%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Albacete vs Sabadell: more betting tips

Under 3.5 goals76.9% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.26
Likely
Albacete or draw (1X)71.0% · fair odds 1.41 · best 1.38
Likely
Over 1.5 goals67.3% · fair odds 1.48 · best 1.44
Likely
Under 2.5 goals57.5% · fair odds 1.74 · best 1.70
Possible
BTTS – no50.7% · fair odds 1.97 · best 1.86
Possible
BTTS – yes49.3% · fair odds 2.03 · best 1.91
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals42.5% · fair odds 2.35 · best 2.34
Outsider
Albacete to win40.4% · fair odds 2.48 · best 2.40
Outsider
Draw30.6% · fair odds 3.27 · best 3.15
Outsider
Sabadell to win29.0% · fair odds 3.45 · best 3.54
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals23.1% · fair odds 4.32 · best 4.50
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.97 · Under 1.78
probability of over 47.5%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.58 · Under 2.30
probability of over 59.4%

Correct score prediction

1 : 113.0%
1 : 012.4%
0 : 110.0%
0 : 09.5%
2 : 18.5%
2 : 08.1%

Albacete vs Sabadell: team news and absences

Albacete

  • No reported absences

Sabadell

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Mallorca126-4-215:722
6Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
7Girona126-3-322:1121
8Burgos126-3-317:1321
9Oviedo125-3-417:1518
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Las Palmas125-2-517:2117
12Córdoba125-1-619:2216
13Valladolid124-3-520:1915
14Tenerife113-5-313:1514
15Eldense124-2-613:1714
16Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
17Leganés123-3-610:2012
18Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
19Cádiz122-4-615:1610
20FC Andorra113-1-715:2010
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Albacete

31 OctWAlbacete 2–1 Sabadell
25 OctWAlbacete 2–0 Eldense
17 OctLSporting Gijón 2–1 Albacete
12 OctLValladolid 5–0 Albacete
3 OctLAlbacete 1–3 Eibar

Sabadell

31 OctLAlbacete 2–1 Sabadell
25 OctDSabadell 1–1 Tenerife
18 OctLBurgos 1–0 Sabadell
10 OctWAD Ceuta FC 1–2 Sabadell
4 OctDSabadell 0–0 FC Andorra

Home and away

Albacete at home6 matches: 2W 0D 4L, goals 7–9
Sabadell away7 matches: 1W 3D 3L, goals 4–7

Team comparison

AlbaceteSabadell
33%Form67%
50%Attack50%
25%Defence75%
50%Head to head50%
67%Goals33%
44.7%Overall55.3%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

AlbaceteWWLLL
SabadellLDLWD

Head to head

All matches
2Albacete
2Draws
1Sabadell
31/10/26 · Albacete 2–1 Sabadell
3/4/22 · Sabadell 1–0 Albacete
16/2/22 · Albacete 1–1 Sabadell
26/2/21 · Sabadell 0–0 Albacete
17/10/20 · Albacete 3–0 Sabadell

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.6%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Albacete vs Sabadell?

Sabadell +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.90); Under 2.5 goals (1.70).

Who will win Albacete vs Sabadell?

We estimate: Albacete win 40%, draw 31%, Sabadell win 29%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 31 October 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Estadio Carlos Belmonte, Albacete. Referee: A. Fuentes.

Who will be missing?

Albacete: no absences. Sabadell: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 43% (odds 2.34); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 57% (odds 1.70).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 49% (odds 1.91).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (13.0%), then 1–0 (12.4%) and 0–1 (10.0%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Castellón vs Eibar 6 NovBurgos vs Celta de Vigo II 7 NovCádiz vs Oviedo 7 NovLeganés vs Albacete 7 NovCórdoba vs AD Ceuta FC 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.