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Segunda División · Matchweek 11 · 25 October 2026 · 13:00

Sabadell vs Tenerife: prediction, tip and odds, 25 October 2026, Segunda División

1–1
1Sabadell2.02
XDraw3.34
2Tenerife4.79

Best price · Updated 25/10/26, 12:00

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Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Sabadell v Tenerife: 25 October 2026 · 13:00 at Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta (Sabadell), with S. Ais refereeing. We have Sabadell (49%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Sabadell vs Tenerife: tip and prediction
Goals
Over 1.5 goals
1.60
Result
Sabadell to win
2.02
62%Chance
1–0likely score
≈ 2 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Sabadell or draw (1X): 79% probability, best odds 1.24.

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Sabadell vs Tenerife: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Sabadell are 10th in the table, on 17 points after 12 matches (4W 5D 3L), and Tenerife are 14th, on 14 points (3W 5D 3L).
  2. Head to head. From 3 meetings: 1 win for Sabadell, 1 win for Tenerife and 1 draw, with the goals at 3–4.

What to expect

We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–0 (15.7%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.

In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.56), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 42% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 36% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 3; Sabadell 1 win, 1 draw, Tenerife 1 win.
  2. An average of 2.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 36%.
  4. Out: Sabadell 0, Tenerife 0.

Alternative tip: Over 1.5 goals

Alternative tip: Over 1.5 goals (probability 62%, best price 1.60). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Sabadell: no absences. Absent for Tenerife: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Sabadell vs Tenerife: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price2.023.344.79
Market average1.923.114.40
Lowest odds1.852.904.20
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.601.5162.1%
Over 2.5 goals2.802.6036.4%
Under 2.5 goals1.561.4863.6%
Over 3.5 goals5.685.2218.0%
BTTS – yes2.272.2042.2%
BTTS – no1.651.6157.8%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 12:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.0%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Sabadell 1–0 Tenerife, roughly 2 goals in total.
  • Table: Sabadell 10th (17 points), Tenerife 14th (14 points).
  • H2H: 3 matches: Sabadell 1W 1D 1L, goals 3–4.
  • Absences: Sabadell 0, Tenerife 0.

Who will win Sabadell vs Tenerife?

Sabadell49%
Draw30%
Tenerife21%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Sabadell vs Tenerife: more betting tips

Under 3.5 goals82.0% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.16
Likely
Sabadell or draw (1X)78.7% · fair odds 1.27 · best 1.24
Likely
Under 2.5 goals63.6% · fair odds 1.57 · best 1.56
Likely
Over 1.5 goals62.1% · fair odds 1.61 · best 1.60
Likely
BTTS – no57.8% · fair odds 1.73 · best 1.65
Possible
Sabadell to win48.6% · fair odds 2.06 · best 2.02
Outsider
BTTS – yes42.2% · fair odds 2.37 · best 2.27
Outsider
Over 2.5 goals36.4% · fair odds 2.75 · best 2.80
Outsider
Draw30.1% · fair odds 3.32 · best 3.34
Outsider
Tenerife to win21.3% · fair odds 4.70 · best 4.79
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals18.0% · fair odds 5.55 · best 5.68
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.82 · Under 1.94
probability of over 51.6%
Cardsline 4.5 cards
Over 1.65 · Under 2.16
probability of over 56.7%

Correct score prediction

1 : 015.7%
1 : 112.6%
0 : 011.6%
2 : 010.6%
0 : 19.3%
2 : 18.5%

Sabadell vs Tenerife: team news and absences

Sabadell

  • No reported absences

Tenerife

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Castellón128-3-123:527
2Almería128-2-223:1026
3Eibar127-2-321:1423
4Granada CF127-2-320:1423
5Mallorca126-4-215:722
6Sporting Gijón127-1-413:1322
7Girona126-3-322:1121
8Burgos126-3-317:1321
9Oviedo125-3-417:1518
10Sabadell124-5-312:1117
11Las Palmas125-2-517:2117
12Córdoba125-1-619:2216
13Valladolid124-3-520:1915
14Tenerife113-5-313:1514
15Eldense124-2-613:1714
16Celta de Vigo II123-4-518:2313
17Leganés123-3-610:2012
18Real Sociedad II123-2-715:2211
19Cádiz122-4-615:1610
20FC Andorra113-1-715:2010
21Albacete122-1-910:237
22AD Ceuta FC121-2-910:275

Recent matches

Sabadell

31 OctLAlbacete 2–1 Sabadell
25 OctDSabadell 1–1 Tenerife
18 OctLBurgos 1–0 Sabadell
10 OctWAD Ceuta FC 1–2 Sabadell
4 OctDSabadell 0–0 FC Andorra

Tenerife

2 NovDTenerife 2–2 FC Andorra
25 OctDSabadell 1–1 Tenerife
19 OctDCelta de Vigo II 1–1 Tenerife
12 OctDTenerife 1–1 Girona
5 OctLCórdoba 3–2 Tenerife

Home and away

Sabadell at home5 matches: 3W 2D 0L, goals 8–4
Tenerife away6 matches: 1W 3D 2L, goals 8–12

Head to head

All matches
1Sabadell
1Draws
1Tenerife
25/10/26 · Sabadell 1–1 Tenerife
16/5/21 · Sabadell 0–2 Tenerife
3/12/20 · Tenerife 1–2 Sabadell

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.0%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Sabadell vs Tenerife?

Over 1.5 goals (1.60); Sabadell to win (2.02).

Who will win Sabadell vs Tenerife?

We estimate: Sabadell win 49%, draw 30%, Tenerife win 21%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 13:00, venue: Estadi de la Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell. Referee: S. Ais.

Who will be missing?

Sabadell: no absences. Tenerife: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 36% (odds 2.80); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 64% (odds 1.56).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 42% (odds 2.27).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–0 as most likely (15.7%), then 1–1 (12.6%) and 0–0 (11.6%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Castellón vs Eibar 6 NovBurgos vs Celta de Vigo II 7 NovCádiz vs Oviedo 7 NovLeganés vs Albacete 7 NovCórdoba vs AD Ceuta FC 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.