Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Oviedo play Las Palmas at home on 2 November 2026 · 15:15 at Nuevo Carlos Tartiere (Oviedo); the referee is Morilla Turrion, Alejandro. For us, Oviedo (56%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Oviedo are 9th in the table, on 18 points after 12 matches (5W 3D 4L), and Las Palmas are 11th, on 17 points (5W 2D 5L).
- Attack and defence. On average Oviedo score 1.4 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.1; for Las Palmas the figures are 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Oviedo: 5W 3D 3L, goals 15–12; Las Palmas: 4W 2D 5L, goals 14–19.
- Head to head. From 11 meetings: 3 wins for Oviedo, 3 wins for Las Palmas and 5 draws, with the goals at 11–12.
What to expect
For us, Oviedo are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–0 (11.8%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.85), and we rate it at 52%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 52% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 51% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 11; Oviedo 3 wins, 5 draws, Las Palmas 3 wins.
- An average of 2.1 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Oviedo 15–12, Las Palmas 14–19.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 51%.
- Out: Oviedo 0, Las Palmas 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 52%, best price 1.85). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Oviedo: no absences. Absent for Las Palmas: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.72 | 4.03 | 5.07 |
| Market average | 1.67 | 3.83 | 4.80 |
| Lowest odds | 1.60 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.26 | 74.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.85 | 51.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.03 | 1.94 | 48.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.29 | 3.12 | 30.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.85 | 1.79 | 51.7% |
| BTTS – no | 1.98 | 1.92 | 48.3% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 2/11/26, 12:53. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Oviedo 1–0 Las Palmas, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Oviedo 9th (18 points), Las Palmas 11th (17 points).
- Form in the competition: Oviedo 5W 3D 3L (15:12), Las Palmas 4W 2D 5L (14:19).
- H2H: 11 matches: Oviedo 3W 5D 3L, goals 11–12.
- Absences: Oviedo 0, Las Palmas 0.
Who will win Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Oviedo vs Las Palmas: team news and absences
Oviedo
- No reported absences
Las Palmas
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 | Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 | Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 |  Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Oviedo
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
OviedoLDWWLLas PalmasWWLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
Over 2.5 goals (1.95); Oviedo to win (1.72).
Who will win Oviedo vs Las Palmas?
We estimate: Oviedo win 56%, draw 24%, Las Palmas win 20%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 2 November 2026, kick-off: 15:15, venue: Nuevo Carlos Tartiere, Oviedo. Referee: Morilla Turrion, Alejandro.
Who will be missing?
Oviedo: no absences. Las Palmas: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.95); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 49% (odds 2.03).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 52% (odds 1.85).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–0 as most likely (11.8%), then 1–1 (11.2%) and 2–0 (10.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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