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Jupiler Pro League · Matchweek 9 · 24 October 2026 · 15:00

Antwerp vs Charleroi: prediction, tip and odds, 24 October 2026, Jupiler Pro League

LWLLL
3–0
1Antwerp4.25
XDraw4.15
2Charleroi1.86

Best price · Updated 24/10/26, 12:03

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Played: final score 3–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

It is Antwerp against Charleroi on 24 October 2026 · 15:00 at Bosuilstadion (Deurne), and Wim Smet, Belgium will referee. Charleroi (52%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.

Antwerp vs Charleroi: tip and prediction
Handicap
Antwerp +1 (Asian handicap)
1.62
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.47
Combo
Charleroi + over 2.5 goals combined
2.98
34% · fair odds for the combo
61%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Charleroi (X2): 76% probability, best odds 1.26.

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Antwerp vs Charleroi: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Antwerp are 12th in the table, on 10 points after 10 matches (3W 1D 6L), and Charleroi are 4th, on 24 points (8W 0D 2L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Antwerp score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.5; for Charleroi the figures are 2.0 scored and 0.9 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Antwerp: 2W 1D 5L, goals 12–20; Charleroi: 7W 0D 1L, goals 16–7.
  4. Head to head. From 24 meetings: 8 wins for Antwerp, 12 wins for Charleroi and 4 draws, with the goals at 34–34.

What to expect

For us, Charleroi are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.1%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.47), and we rate it at 66%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 57% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 56% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 24; Antwerp 8 wins, 4 draws, Charleroi 12 wins.
  2. An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Antwerp 12–20, Charleroi 16–7.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 56%.
  5. Out: Antwerp 0, Charleroi 0.

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes

Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 57%, best price 1.67). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Antwerp: no absences. Absent for Charleroi: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Antwerp vs Charleroi: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price4.254.151.86
Market average4.003.881.80
Lowest odds3.823.701.73
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.241.2177.3%
Over 2.5 goals1.741.7055.6%
Under 2.5 goals2.182.1244.4%
Over 3.5 goals2.892.7334.4%
BTTS – yes1.671.6356.9%
BTTS – no2.202.1543.1%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.6%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Antwerp 1–1 Charleroi, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Antwerp 12th (10 points), Charleroi 4th (24 points).
  • Form in the competition: Antwerp 2W 1D 5L (12:20), Charleroi 7W 0D 1L (16:7).
  • H2H: 24 matches: Antwerp 8W 4D 12L, goals 34–34.
  • Absences: Antwerp 0, Charleroi 0.

Who will win Antwerp vs Charleroi?

Antwerp24%
Draw24%
Charleroi52%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Antwerp vs Charleroi: more betting tips

Over 1.5 goals77.3% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.24
Likely
Draw or Charleroi (X2)76.5% · fair odds 1.31 · best 1.26
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.6% · fair odds 1.52 · best 1.47
Likely
BTTS – yes56.9% · fair odds 1.76 · best 1.67
Possible
Over 2.5 goals55.6% · fair odds 1.80 · best 1.74
Possible
Charleroi to win52.3% · fair odds 1.91 · best 1.86
Possible
Under 2.5 goals44.4% · fair odds 2.25 · best 2.18
Outsider
BTTS – no43.1% · fair odds 2.32 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.4% · fair odds 2.91 · best 2.89
Outsider
Draw24.2% · fair odds 4.13 · best 4.15
Outsider
Antwerp to win23.5% · fair odds 4.26 · best 4.25
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.76 · Under 1.96
probability of over 52.6%

Correct score prediction

1 : 111.1%
0 : 110.1%
1 : 29.7%
0 : 28.9%
1 : 06.4%
2 : 16.1%

Antwerp vs Charleroi: team news and absences

Antwerp

  • No reported absences

Charleroi

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Club Brugge KV109-0-126:827
2Union Saint-Gilloise108-2-029:726
3Gent108-1-119:625
4Charleroi108-0-221:1224
5Anderlecht106-1-313:1119
6Genk104-3-318:1415
7Lommel United104-3-313:1115
8KVC Westerlo104-2-425:2514
9Standard Liège103-3-415:1612
10KV Mechelen103-3-413:1812
11Zulte Waregem103-2-512:1611
12Antwerp103-1-616:2210
13SK Beveren103-1-613:2010
14OH Leuven102-3-510:179
15St. Truiden102-2-618:218
16RAAL La Louvière102-1-713:237
17Cercle Brugge101-3-613:226
18Kortrijk101-1-84:224

Recent matches

Antwerp

1 NovLCercle Brugge 2–1 Antwerp
24 OctWAntwerp 3–0 Charleroi
11 OctLKVC Westerlo 5–1 Antwerp
20 SeptLAntwerp 0–2 Union Saint-Gilloise
13 SeptLClub Brugge KV 3–1 Antwerp

Charleroi

1 NovWCharleroi 5–2 RAAL La Louvière
24 OctLAntwerp 3–0 Charleroi
11 OctWStandard Liège 0–1 Charleroi
19 SeptWCharleroi 3–2 Cercle Brugge
13 SeptWZulte Waregem 0–1 Charleroi

Home and away

Antwerp at home5 matches: 2W 1D 2L, goals 10–11
Charleroi away5 matches: 4W 0D 1L, goals 6–4

Team comparison

AntwerpCharleroi
0%Form100%
23%Attack77%
29%Defence71%
7%Head to head93%
27%Goals73%
18.8%Overall81.2%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

AntwerpLWLLL
CharleroiWLWWW

Head to head

All matches
8Antwerp
4Draws
12Charleroi
24/10/26 · Antwerp 3–0 Charleroi
10/5/26 · Antwerp 0–1 Charleroi
10/4/26 · Charleroi 2–1 Antwerp
25/1/26 · Antwerp 0–2 Charleroi
17/8/25 · Charleroi 1–1 Antwerp
29/5/25 · Antwerp 1–2 Charleroi

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin6.6%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Antwerp vs Charleroi?

Antwerp +1 (Asian handicap) (1.62); Under 3.5 goals (1.47).

Who will win Antwerp vs Charleroi?

We estimate: Antwerp win 24%, draw 24%, Charleroi win 52%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 15:00, venue: Bosuilstadion, Deurne. Referee: Wim Smet, Belgium.

Who will be missing?

Antwerp: no absences. Charleroi: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.74); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 44% (odds 2.18).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 57% (odds 1.67).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.1%), then 0–1 (10.1%) and 1–2 (9.7%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

More predictions

Standard Liège vs SK Beveren 6 NovKVC Westerlo vs Charleroi 7 NovOH Leuven vs KV Mechelen 7 NovAntwerp vs Lommel United 7 NovRAAL La Louvière vs Cercle Brugge 7 Nov

18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.