Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 1–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Armenia against Cyprus on 12 November 2026 · 17:00 at Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium (Yerevan), and Orel Grinfeld will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Wins: Cyprus win. Half wins (half the stake back): a draw. Loses: Cyprus lose.
Armenia vs Cyprus: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Armenia are 3rd in the table, on 5 points after 5 matches (1W 2D 2L), and Cyprus are 2nd, on 8 points (2W 2D 1L).
- Attack and defence. On average Armenia score 1.0 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Cyprus the figures are 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Armenia: 1W 1D 2L, goals 4–5; Cyprus: 2W 1D 1L, goals 5–3.
- Head to head. From 4 meetings: 1 win for Armenia, 1 win for Cyprus and 2 draws, with the goals at 6–7.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 1–1 score estimate, roughly 2 goals in all, and 1–1 (13.2%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Under 2.5 goals (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 58%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 48% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 42% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 4; Armenia 1 win, 2 draws, Cyprus 1 win.
- An average of 3.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Armenia 4–5, Cyprus 5–3.
- Expected: roughly 2 goals; over 2.5 goals: 42%.
- Out: Armenia 0, Cyprus 0.
Alternative tip: Draw or Cyprus (X2)
Alternative tip: Draw or Cyprus (X2) (probability 68%, best price 1.52). With roughly 2 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Armenia: no absences. Absent for Cyprus: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Armenia vs Cyprus: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.26 | 3.15 | 2.88 |
| Market average | 2.99 | 3.04 | 2.49 |
| Lowest odds | 2.12 | 2.80 | 2.38 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.42 | 1.40 | 66.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 2.39 | 2.27 | 41.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.75 | 1.62 | 58.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 4.60 | 4.25 | 22.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 2.00 | 1.92 | 48.4% |
| BTTS – no | 1.91 | 1.80 | 51.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 12/11/26, 16:09. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.1%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Armenia 1–1 Cyprus, roughly 2 goals in total.
- Table: Armenia 3rd (5 points), Cyprus 2nd (8 points).
- Form in the competition: Armenia 1W 1D 2L (4:5), Cyprus 2W 1D 1L (5:3).
- H2H: 4 matches: Armenia 1W 2D 1L, goals 6–7.
- Absences: Armenia 0, Cyprus 0.
Who will win Armenia vs Cyprus?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Armenia vs Cyprus: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Armenia vs Cyprus: team news and absences
Armenia
- No reported absences
Cyprus
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
League C – Group B
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Montenegro | 5 | 4-1-0 | 9:5 | 13 |
| 2 | Cyprus | 5 | 2-2-1 | 6:4 | 8 |
| 3 | Armenia | 5 | 1-2-2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 4 |  Latvia | 5 | 0-1-4 | 3:8 | 1 |
Recent matches
Armenia
Home and away
Armenia vs Cyprus: last matches of both teams
Armenia
Cyprus
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
ArmeniaDDLLWCyprusDWWDLHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Armenia vs Cyprus?
Cyprus +0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.82); Under 2.5 goals (1.75).
Who will win Armenia vs Cyprus?
We estimate: Armenia win 32%, draw 31%, Cyprus win 38%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 12 November 2026, kick-off: 17:00, venue: Vazgen Sargsyan Republican Stadium, Yerevan. Referee: Orel Grinfeld.
Who will be missing?
Armenia: no absences. Cyprus: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 42% (odds 2.39); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 58% (odds 1.75).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 48% (odds 2.00).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (13.2%), then 0–1 (12.0%) and 1–0 (11.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.