Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Barnet play York at home on 27 October 2026 · 19:45 at The Hive Stadium (London); the referee is B. Toner. For us, Barnet (46%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Barnet vs York: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Barnet are 2nd in the table, on 26 points after 13 matches (7W 5D 1L), and York are 7th, on 20 points (5W 5D 4L).
- Attack and defence. On average Barnet score 2.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.5; for York the figures are 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Barnet: 6W 4D 1L, goals 24–16; York: 5W 5D 2L, goals 21–13.
- Head to head. From 11 meetings: 6 wins for Barnet, 4 wins for York and 1 draw, with the goals at 20–19.
What to expect
For us, Barnet are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.3%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.50), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 64% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 11; Barnet 6 wins, 1 draw, York 4 wins.
- An average of 3.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Barnet 24–16, York 21–13.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
- Out: Barnet 0, York 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 64%, best price 1.50). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Barnet: no absences. Absent for York: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Barnet vs York: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.13 | 3.86 | 3.30 |
| Market average | 2.04 | 3.72 | 3.17 |
| Lowest odds | 1.90 | 3.47 | 2.99 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.55 | 1.49 | 62.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.46 | 37.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.37 | 2.25 | 41.6% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.50 | 1.44 | 64.4% |
| BTTS – no | 2.88 | 2.61 | 35.6% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 27/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.7%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Barnet 1–1 York, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Barnet 2nd (26 points), York 7th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: Barnet 6W 4D 1L (24:16), York 5W 5D 2L (21:13).
- H2H: 11 matches: Barnet 6W 1D 4L, goals 20–19.
- Absences: Barnet 0, York 0.
Who will win Barnet vs York?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Barnet vs York: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Barnet vs York: team news and absences
Barnet
- No reported absences
York
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Salford City | 14 | 10-1-3 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7-5-1 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 |  Walsall | 13 | 5-7-1 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 |  Crewe | 14 | 5-7-2 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 |  Cheltenham | 14 | 6-3-5 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 |  Grimsby | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 5-5-4 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5-5-4 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 |  Accrington ST | 14 | 4-7-3 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 |  Chesterfield | 14 | 5-4-5 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4-7-3 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 |  Exeter City | 14 | 5-4-5 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5-4-5 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4-6-4 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 |  Shrewsbury | 14 | 5-3-6 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4-5-5 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5-1-8 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 |  Oldham | 14 | 4-3-7 | 15:19 | 15 |
| 19 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4-3-5 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 20 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4-3-7 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 21 |  Northampton | 13 | 3-5-5 | 9:10 | 14 |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2-6-6 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 |  Colchester | 13 | 2-6-5 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 |  Crawley Town | 12 | 2-3-7 | 13:21 | 9 |
Recent matches
Barnet
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
BarnetDWDLWYorkLLWDDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Barnet vs York?
Barnet -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Both teams to score (1.50).
Who will win Barnet vs York?
We estimate: Barnet win 46%, draw 25%, York win 29%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 27 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: The Hive Stadium, London. Referee: B. Toner.
Who will be missing?
Barnet: no absences. York: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.55); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.63).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 64% (odds 1.50).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.3%), then 2–1 (9.2%) and 1–0 (7.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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