Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 4–0. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
BK Häcken play Degerfors IF at home on 24 October 2026 · 14:00 at Nordic Wellness Arena (Gothenburg); the referee is Joakim Östling, Sweden. For us, BK Häcken (69%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. BK Häcken are 4th in the table, on 49 points after 27 matches (13W 10D 4L), and Degerfors IF are 14th, on 20 points (5W 5D 17L).
- Attack and defence. On average BK Häcken score 1.8 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.3; for Degerfors IF the figures are 0.9 scored and 1.5 conceded.
- Form in the competition. BK Häcken: 11W 9D 4L, goals 43–30; Degerfors IF: 5W 5D 14L, goals 21–37.
- Head to head. From 10 meetings: 4 wins for BK Häcken, 3 wins for Degerfors IF and 3 draws, with the goals at 20–13.
What to expect
For us, BK Häcken are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 2–0 (10.8%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.52), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 63% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 10; BK Häcken 4 wins, 3 draws, Degerfors IF 3 wins.
- An average of 3.3 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: BK Häcken 43–30, Degerfors IF 21–37.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 63%.
- Out: BK Häcken 2, Degerfors IF 1.
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals
Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 58%, best price 1.66). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for BK Häcken: B. Engdahl, F. Ohman. Absent for Degerfors IF: J. Pikkarainen. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.40 | 5.51 | 7.85 |
| Market average | 1.36 | 5.09 | 7.18 |
| Lowest odds | 1.33 | 4.75 | 6.40 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.17 | 1.13 | 82.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.52 | 1.48 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.64 | 2.50 | 37.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.27 | 2.23 | 42.0% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.72 | 53.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.05 | 2.01 | 46.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 24/10/26, 12:03. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: BK Häcken 2–0 Degerfors IF, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: BK Häcken 4th (49 points), Degerfors IF 14th (20 points).
- Form in the competition: BK Häcken 11W 9D 4L (43:30), Degerfors IF 5W 5D 14L (21:37).
- H2H: 10 matches: BK Häcken 4W 3D 3L, goals 20–13.
- Absences: BK Häcken 2, Degerfors IF 1.
Who will win BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF: team news and absences
BK Häcken
- B. Engdahlabsence · will miss the match
- F. Ohmanshoulder injury · will miss the match
Degerfors IF
- J. Pikkarainenknee injury · will miss the match
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 2 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 | BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 |  Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 | Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
Recent matches
BK Häcken
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
BK HäckenWDWWWDegerfors IFLLLLDHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF?
Degerfors IF +1.5 (Asian handicap) (1.87); Over 2.5 goals (1.52).
Who will win BK Häcken vs Degerfors IF?
We estimate: BK Häcken win 69%, draw 18%, Degerfors IF win 13%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 24 October 2026, kick-off: 14:00, venue: Nordic Wellness Arena, Gothenburg. Referee: Joakim Östling, Sweden.
Who will be missing?
BK Häcken: B. Engdahl, F. Ohman. Degerfors IF: J. Pikkarainen. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 63% (odds 1.52); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 37% (odds 2.64).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 2–0 as most likely (10.8%), then 2–1 (9.7%) and 1–0 (9.4%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.