Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Malmö FF against BK Häcken on 18 October 2026 · 15:30 at Eleda Stadion (Malmö), and Glenn Nyberg, Sweden will referee. This one looks too close to call. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Malmö FF are 7th in the table, on 40 points after 27 matches (12W 4D 11L), and BK Häcken are 4th, on 49 points (13W 10D 4L).
- Head to head. From 23 meetings: 8 wins for Malmö FF, 6 wins for BK Häcken and 9 draws, with the goals at 40–28.
What to expect
We see an evenly matched game, with a 2–2 score estimate, roughly 4 goals in all, and 1–1 (10.6%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.46), and we rate it at 64%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 64% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 61% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 23; Malmö FF 8 wins, 9 draws, BK Häcken 6 wins.
- An average of 3.0 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 4 goals; over 2.5 goals: 61%.
- Out: Malmö FF 0, BK Häcken 0.
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals
Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 61%, best price 1.56). With roughly 4 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Malmö FF: no absences. Absent for BK Häcken: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.71 | 3.76 | 2.46 |
| Market average | 2.61 | 3.60 | 2.43 |
| Lowest odds | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.38 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.16 | 1.14 | 81.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.56 | 1.54 | 60.8% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.55 | 2.39 | 39.2% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.29 | 2.25 | 41.1% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.46 | 1.45 | 63.9% |
| BTTS – no | 2.62 | 2.57 | 36.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 18/10/26, 12:05. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Malmö FF 1–1 BK Häcken, roughly 4 goals in total.
- Table: Malmö FF 7th (40 points), BK Häcken 4th (49 points).
- H2H: 23 matches: Malmö FF 8W 9D 6L, goals 40–28.
- Absences: Malmö FF 0, BK Häcken 0.
Who will win Malmö FF vs BK Häcken?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Malmö FF vs BK Häcken: team news and absences
Malmö FF
- No reported absences
BK Häcken
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sirius | 27 | 18-4-5 | 58:34 | 58 |
| 2 |  Hammarby FF | 27 | 17-4-6 | 56:22 | 55 |
| 3 |  Djurgårdens IF | 27 | 16-4-7 | 55:25 | 52 |
| 4 | BK Häcken | 27 | 13-10-4 | 48:30 | 49 |
| 5 |  IF Elfsborg | 27 | 12-10-5 | 41:27 | 46 |
| 6 |  Västerås SK FK | 27 | 13-5-9 | 40:38 | 44 |
| 7 | Malmö FF | 27 | 12-4-11 | 42:36 | 40 |
| 8 |  AIK Stockholm | 27 | 10-8-9 | 43:47 | 38 |
| 9 |  IFK Göteborg | 27 | 10-8-9 | 36:46 | 38 |
| 10 |  Gais | 27 | 10-7-10 | 34:27 | 37 |
| 11 |  IF Brommapojkarna | 27 | 9-7-11 | 39:44 | 34 |
| 12 |  Mjällby AIF | 27 | 6-9-12 | 30:43 | 27 |
| 13 |  Kalmar FF | 27 | 6-5-16 | 23:42 | 23 |
| 14 |  Degerfors IF | 27 | 5-5-17 | 22:46 | 20 |
| 15 |  Örgryte IS | 27 | 4-7-16 | 33:60 | 19 |
| 16 |  Halmstad | 27 | 4-5-18 | 18:51 | 17 |
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Malmö FF vs BK Häcken?
Under 3.5 goals (1.65); Draw or BK Häcken (X2) (1.45).
Who will win Malmö FF vs BK Häcken?
We estimate: Malmö FF win 36%, draw 26%, BK Häcken win 38%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 18 October 2026, kick-off: 15:30, venue: Eleda Stadion, Malmö. Referee: Glenn Nyberg, Sweden.
Who will be missing?
Malmö FF: no absences. BK Häcken: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 61% (odds 1.56); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 39% (odds 2.55).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 64% (odds 1.46).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.6%), then 1–2 (8.5%) and 2–1 (8.2%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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