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League of Ireland Premier Division · Matchweek 35 · 23 October 2026 · 19:45

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: prediction, tip and odds, 23 October 2026, League of Ireland Premier Division

0–1
1Bohemians1.65
XDraw4.11
2Shelbourne5.11

Best price · Updated 23/10/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisH2HFAQ

Played: final score 0–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Bohemians play Shelbourne at home on 23 October 2026 · 19:45 at Dalymount Park (Dublin); the referee is R. Harvey. For us, Bohemians (57%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: tip and prediction
Handicap
Bohemians -0.75 (Asian handicap)
1.85
Goals
Under 3.5 goals
1.48
Combo
Bohemians + over 2.5 goals combined
2.64
38% · fair odds for the combo
53%Chance
1–1likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Bohemians or draw (1X): 81% probability, best odds 1.19.

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Bohemians vs Shelbourne: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Bohemians are 2nd in the table, on 65 points after 36 matches (19W 8D 9L), and Shelbourne are 4th, on 49 points (12W 13D 11L).
  2. Head to head. From 28 meetings: 10 wins for Bohemians, 7 wins for Shelbourne and 11 draws, with the goals at 38–31.

What to expect

For us, Bohemians are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (10.4%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.48), and we rate it at 65%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 55% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 56% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 28; Bohemians 10 wins, 11 draws, Shelbourne 7 wins.
  2. An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 56%.
  4. Out: Bohemians 0, Shelbourne 0.

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals

Alternative tip: Over 2.5 goals (probability 56%, best price 1.70). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Bohemians: no absences. Absent for Shelbourne: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price1.654.115.11
Market average1.623.964.80
Lowest odds1.603.804.50
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.221.2077.2%
Over 2.5 goals1.701.6756.0%
Under 2.5 goals2.222.1244.0%
Over 3.5 goals2.752.6634.8%
BTTS – yes1.701.6855.2%
BTTS – no2.102.0644.8%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 23/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.8%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Bohemians 1–1 Shelbourne, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Bohemians 2nd (65 points), Shelbourne 4th (49 points).
  • H2H: 28 matches: Bohemians 10W 11D 7L, goals 38–31.
  • Absences: Bohemians 0, Shelbourne 0.

Who will win Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Bohemians57%
Draw23%
Shelbourne19%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: more betting tips

Bohemians or draw (1X)80.7% · fair odds 1.24 · best 1.19
Likely
Over 1.5 goals77.2% · fair odds 1.30 · best 1.22
Likely
Under 3.5 goals65.2% · fair odds 1.53 · best 1.48
Likely
Bohemians to win57.2% · fair odds 1.75 · best 1.65
Possible
Over 2.5 goals56.0% · fair odds 1.79 · best 1.70
Possible
BTTS – yes55.2% · fair odds 1.81 · best 1.70
Possible
BTTS – no44.8% · fair odds 2.23 · best 2.10
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals44.0% · fair odds 2.27 · best 2.22
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals34.8% · fair odds 2.87 · best 2.75
Outsider
Draw23.4% · fair odds 4.27 · best 4.11
Outsider
Shelbourne to win19.3% · fair odds 5.17 · best 5.11
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 9.5 corners
Over 1.83 · Under 1.89
probability of over 50.8%

Correct score prediction

1 : 110.4%
1 : 09.9%
2 : 19.9%
2 : 09.4%
3 : 16.3%
3 : 06.0%

Bohemians vs Shelbourne: team news and absences

Bohemians

  • No reported absences

Shelbourne

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Shamrock Rovers3620-8-859:3868
2Bohemians3619-8-963:4465
3St Patrick's Athletic3617-9-1055:3160
4Shelbourne3612-13-1152:5049
5Derry City3611-15-1050:4748
6Dundalk3611-12-1355:5945
7Waterford3610-13-1354:6143
8Galway United3610-12-1446:5342
9Drogheda United3610-10-1644:5740
10Sligo Rovers365-10-2128:6625

Recent matches

Bohemians

30 OctWSt Patrick's Athletic 2–3 Bohemians
23 OctLBohemians 0–1 Shelbourne
16 OctWBohemians 2–1 Waterford
12 OctLShamrock Rovers 2–1 Bohemians
2 OctWDundalk 1–2 Bohemians

Shelbourne

30 OctLShelbourne 2–3 Waterford
23 OctWBohemians 0–1 Shelbourne
16 OctWSt Patrick's Athletic 1–2 Shelbourne
9 OctWShelbourne 5–1 Sligo Rovers
25 SeptDGalway United 1–1 Shelbourne

Home and away

Bohemians at home18 matches: 8W 6D 4L, goals 29–21
Shelbourne away18 matches: 8W 8D 2L, goals 25–19

Head to head

All matches
10Bohemians
11Draws
7Shelbourne
23/10/26 · Bohemians 0–1 Shelbourne
22/6/26 · Shelbourne 0–3 Bohemians
4/5/26 · Bohemians 2–2 Shelbourne
16/3/26 · Shelbourne 0–0 Bohemians
24/1/26 · Bohemians 2–2 Shelbourne
26/10/25 · Bohemians 2–3 Shelbourne

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin7.8%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

Bohemians -0.75 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Under 3.5 goals (1.48).

Who will win Bohemians vs Shelbourne?

We estimate: Bohemians win 57%, draw 23%, Shelbourne win 19%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 23 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Dalymount Park, Dublin. Referee: R. Harvey.

Who will be missing?

Bohemians: no absences. Shelbourne: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 56% (odds 1.70); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 44% (odds 2.22).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 55% (odds 1.70).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 1–1 as most likely (10.4%), then 1–0 (9.9%) and 2–1 (9.9%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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