Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–3. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
St Patrick's Athletic v Bohemians: 30 October 2026 · 19:45 at Richmond Park (Dublin), with R. Hennessy refereeing. We have St Patrick's Athletic (47%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. St Patrick's Athletic are 3rd in the table, on 60 points after 36 matches (17W 9D 10L), and Bohemians are 2nd, on 65 points (19W 8D 9L).
- Attack and defence. On average St Patrick's Athletic score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.8; for Bohemians the figures are 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
- Form in the competition. St Patrick's Athletic: 17W 9D 9L, goals 53–28; Bohemians: 18W 8D 9L, goals 60–42.
- Head to head. From 35 meetings: 12 wins for St Patrick's Athletic, 11 wins for Bohemians and 12 draws, with the goals at 46–40.
What to expect
For us, St Patrick's Athletic are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.0%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
What stands out is that the table favours the Bohemians, whereas the betting market leans slightly towards the home side. When the indicators disagree like this, the match is difficult to read, and a more careful bet is the sensible choice.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.80), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 51% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 35; St Patrick's Athletic 12 wins, 12 draws, Bohemians 11 wins.
- An average of 2.5 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: St Patrick's Athletic 53–28, Bohemians 60–42.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 51%.
- Out: St Patrick's Athletic 0, Bohemians 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.80). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for St Patrick's Athletic: no absences. Absent for Bohemians: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.02 | 3.58 | 3.87 |
| Market average | 1.95 | 3.44 | 3.59 |
| Lowest odds | 1.91 | 3.13 | 3.11 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.25 | 74.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.93 | 1.86 | 50.6% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.94 | 1.91 | 49.4% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.25 | 3.13 | 29.8% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.80 | 1.71 | 54.3% |
| BTTS – no | 2.15 | 2.04 | 45.7% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 30/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.3%.
At a glance
- Likely result: St Patrick's Athletic 1–1 Bohemians, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: St Patrick's Athletic 3rd (60 points), Bohemians 2nd (65 points).
- Form in the competition: St Patrick's Athletic 17W 9D 9L (53:28), Bohemians 18W 8D 9L (60:42).
- H2H: 35 matches: St Patrick's Athletic 12W 12D 11L, goals 46–40.
- Absences: St Patrick's Athletic 0, Bohemians 0.
Who will win St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians: team news and absences
St Patrick's Athletic
- No reported absences
Bohemians
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 | Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 | St Patrick's Athletic | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 |  Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 |  Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Recent matches
St Patrick's Athletic
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
St Patrick's AthleticLDLLWBohemiansWLWLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians?
St Patrick's Athletic -0.25 (Asian handicap) (1.81); Both teams to score (1.80).
Who will win St Patrick's Athletic vs Bohemians?
We estimate: St Patrick's Athletic win 47%, draw 27%, Bohemians win 26%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 30 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Richmond Park, Dublin. Referee: R. Hennessy.
Who will be missing?
St Patrick's Athletic: no absences. Bohemians: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 51% (odds 1.93); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 49% (odds 1.94).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.80).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.0%), then 1–0 (11.0%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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