Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Cádiz play AD Ceuta FC at home on 25 October 2026 · 15:15 at JP Financial Estadio (Cádiz); the referee is A. Fuentes. For us, Cádiz (46%) are favourites. Our tip, estimated probabilities, absences and a match analysis are below.
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Cádiz are 19th in the table, on 10 points after 12 matches (2W 4D 6L), and AD Ceuta FC are 22nd, on 5 points (1W 2D 9L).
- Head to head. From 5 meetings: 1 win for Cádiz, 3 wins for AD Ceuta FC and 1 draw, with the goals at 5–9.
What to expect
For us, Cádiz are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (12.0%) the most probable single result. Not much should separate the teams.
In the goals market we pick Both teams to score (odds 1.75), and we rate it at 54%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 54% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 50% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 5; Cádiz 1 win, 1 draw, AD Ceuta FC 3 wins.
- An average of 2.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 50%.
- Out: Cádiz 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 54%, best price 1.75). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Cádiz: no absences. Absent for AD Ceuta FC: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 2.13 | 3.48 | 3.75 |
| Market average | 2.05 | 3.39 | 3.53 |
| Lowest odds | 1.85 | 3.20 | 3.30 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.31 | 1.26 | 74.0% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.95 | 1.88 | 50.2% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 1.96 | 1.90 | 49.8% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.33 | 3.19 | 29.4% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.75 | 1.71 | 54.2% |
| BTTS – no | 2.06 | 2.02 | 45.8% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 25/10/26, 13:29. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 6.8%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Cádiz 1–1 AD Ceuta FC, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Cádiz 19th (10 points), AD Ceuta FC 22nd (5 points).
- H2H: 5 matches: Cádiz 1W 1D 3L, goals 5–9.
- Absences: Cádiz 0, AD Ceuta FC 0.
Who will win Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC: team news and absences
Cádiz
- No reported absences
AD Ceuta FC
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 |  Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 | Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 | AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Cádiz
Home and away
Head to head
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Questions and answers
What do we tip for Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
Draw or AD Ceuta FC (X2) (1.83); Both teams to score (1.75).
Who will win Cádiz vs AD Ceuta FC?
We estimate: Cádiz win 46%, draw 28%, AD Ceuta FC win 27%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 25 October 2026, kick-off: 15:15, venue: JP Financial Estadio, Cádiz. Referee: A. Fuentes.
Who will be missing?
Cádiz: no absences. AD Ceuta FC: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 50% (odds 1.95); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 50% (odds 1.96).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 54% (odds 1.75).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (12.0%), then 1–0 (10.4%) and 2–1 (9.3%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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