Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 2–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
It is Mallorca against Cádiz on 2 November 2026 · 20:00 at Estadi Mallorca Son Moix (Parma), and Gonzalo Romero Freixas will referee. Mallorca (64%) start as favourites in our view. Below you can read our tip, the result probabilities, team news and analysis.
Mallorca vs Cádiz: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Mallorca are 5th in the table, on 22 points after 12 matches (6W 4D 2L), and Cádiz are 19th, on 10 points (2W 4D 6L).
- Attack and defence. On average Mallorca score 1.2 goals a match in the competition and concede 0.5; for Cádiz the figures are 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Mallorca: 5W 4D 2L, goals 13–6; Cádiz: 2W 4D 5L, goals 14–14.
- Head to head. From 11 meetings: 4 wins for Mallorca, 1 win for Cádiz and 6 draws, with the goals at 11–9.
What to expect
For us, Mallorca are the more likely winners. We estimate a 2–1 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–0 (12.5%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.85), and we rate it at 53%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 49% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 53% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 11; Mallorca 4 wins, 6 draws, Cádiz 1 win.
- An average of 1.8 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Mallorca 13–6, Cádiz 14–14.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 53%.
- Out: Mallorca 0, Cádiz 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – no
Alternative tip: BTTS – no (probability 51%, best price 1.85). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Mallorca: no absences. Absent for Cádiz: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Mallorca vs Cádiz: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 1.50 | 4.50 | 7.24 |
| Market average | 1.46 | 4.27 | 6.68 |
| Lowest odds | 1.40 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.28 | 1.24 | 75.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.85 | 1.80 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.06 | 2.00 | 47.3% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 3.17 | 3.00 | 31.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.95 | 1.89 | 48.9% |
| BTTS – no | 1.85 | 1.81 | 51.1% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 2/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 7.0%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Mallorca 1–0 Cádiz, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Mallorca 5th (22 points), Cádiz 19th (10 points).
- Form in the competition: Mallorca 5W 4D 2L (13:6), Cádiz 2W 4D 5L (14:14).
- H2H: 11 matches: Mallorca 4W 6D 1L, goals 11–9.
- Absences: Mallorca 0, Cádiz 0.
Who will win Mallorca vs Cádiz?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Mallorca vs Cádiz: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Mallorca vs Cádiz: team news and absences
Mallorca
- No reported absences
Cádiz
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Castellón | 12 | 8-3-1 | 23:5 | 27 |
| 2 |  Almería | 12 | 8-2-2 | 23:10 | 26 |
| 3 |  Eibar | 12 | 7-2-3 | 21:14 | 23 |
| 4 |  Granada CF | 12 | 7-2-3 | 20:14 | 23 |
| 5 | Mallorca | 12 | 6-4-2 | 15:7 | 22 |
| 6 |  Sporting Gijón | 12 | 7-1-4 | 13:13 | 22 |
| 7 |  Girona | 12 | 6-3-3 | 22:11 | 21 |
| 8 |  Burgos | 12 | 6-3-3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 9 |  Oviedo | 12 | 5-3-4 | 17:15 | 18 |
| 10 |  Sabadell | 12 | 4-5-3 | 12:11 | 17 |
| 11 |  Las Palmas | 12 | 5-2-5 | 17:21 | 17 |
| 12 |  Córdoba | 12 | 5-1-6 | 19:22 | 16 |
| 13 |  Valladolid | 12 | 4-3-5 | 20:19 | 15 |
| 14 |  Tenerife | 11 | 3-5-3 | 13:15 | 14 |
| 15 |  Eldense | 12 | 4-2-6 | 13:17 | 14 |
| 16 |  Celta de Vigo II | 12 | 3-4-5 | 18:23 | 13 |
| 17 |  Leganés | 12 | 3-3-6 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 18 |  Real Sociedad II | 12 | 3-2-7 | 15:22 | 11 |
| 19 | Cádiz | 12 | 2-4-6 | 15:16 | 10 |
| 20 |  FC Andorra | 11 | 3-1-7 | 15:20 | 10 |
| 21 |  Albacete | 12 | 2-1-9 | 10:23 | 7 |
| 22 |  AD Ceuta FC | 12 | 1-2-9 | 10:27 | 5 |
Recent matches
Mallorca
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
MallorcaWDDWDCádizLWLLWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Mallorca vs Cádiz?
Mallorca -1 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Over 2.5 goals (1.85).
Who will win Mallorca vs Cádiz?
We estimate: Mallorca win 64%, draw 22%, Cádiz win 14%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 2 November 2026, kick-off: 20:00, venue: Estadi Mallorca Son Moix, Parma. Referee: Gonzalo Romero Freixas.
Who will be missing?
Mallorca: no absences. Cádiz: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 53% (odds 1.85); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 47% (odds 2.06).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 49% (odds 1.95).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–0 as most likely (12.5%), then 2–0 (12.2%) and 1–1 (10.0%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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