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UEFA Nations League · Matchweek 5 · 12 November 2026 · 19:45

Czech Republic vs Spain: prediction, tip and odds, 12 November 2026, UEFA Nations League

Czech Republic
LLLLL
0–2
Spain
WWWWW
1Czech Republic13.00
XDraw7.02
2Spain1.27

Best price · Updated 12/11/26, 18:00

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TipOddsProbabilityMore tipsAbsencesTableAnalysisComparisonH2HFAQ

Played: final score 0–2. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.

Czech Republic v Spain: 12 November 2026 · 19:45 at Stadion Letná (Prague), with Nikola Dabanović refereeing. We have Spain (77%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.

Czech Republic vs Spain: tip and prediction
Main tip · Handicap
Czech Republic +2 (Asian handicap)
1.83
Chance 56% · confidence medium
Second tip · Goals
Over 2.5 goals
1.55
Chance 62% · confidence medium
Combo
Spain + over 2.5 goals combined
1.86
54% · fair odds for the combo
0–2likely score
≈ 3 goalstotal in the match
Safer option: Draw or Spain (X2): 92% probability, best odds 1.06. With short odds on the result, a goals tip alongside it is our suggestion.
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Czech Republic vs Spain: analysis of the match

What our tip is based on

  1. Table. Czech Republic are 4th in the table, on 0 points after 5 matches (0W 0D 5L), and Spain are 1st, on 15 points (5W 0D 0L).
  2. Attack and defence. On average Czech Republic score 0.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 2.5; for Spain the figures are 3.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
  3. Form in the competition. Czech Republic: 0W 0D 4L, goals 2–10; Spain: 4W 0D 0L, goals 12–5.
  4. Head to head. From 5 meetings: 0 wins for Czech Republic, 4 wins for Spain and 1 draw, with the goals at 3–10.

What to expect

For us, Spain are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 0–2 (12.7%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.

Odds of 1.27 on the result do not offer much, so it is worth turning to the goals markets: Over 2.5 goals (odds 1.55), which we rate at 62%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 46% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 62% chance.

Prediction summary

  1. Meetings: 5; Czech Republic 0 wins, 1 draw, Spain 4 wins.
  2. An average of 2.6 goals per meeting between these teams.
  3. In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Czech Republic 2–10, Spain 12–5.
  4. Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 62%.
  5. Out: Czech Republic 0, Spain 0.

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals

Alternative tip: Under 3.5 goals (probability 59%, best price 1.65). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.

Absences

Absent for Czech Republic: no absences. Absent for Spain: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.

Czech Republic vs Spain: compare the odds

Match result1X2
Best price13.007.021.27
Market average11.606.541.22
Lowest odds8.875.611.18
GoalsBestAverageChance
Over 1.5 goals1.181.1482.0%
Over 2.5 goals1.551.5261.9%
Under 2.5 goals2.552.4638.1%
Over 3.5 goals2.412.3140.9%
BTTS – yes2.202.0445.6%
BTTS – no1.751.7154.4%

Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 12/11/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 5.9%.

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At a glance

  • Likely result: Czech Republic 0–2 Spain, roughly 3 goals in total.
  • Table: Czech Republic 4th (0 points), Spain 1st (15 points).
  • Form in the competition: Czech Republic 0W 0D 4L (2:10), Spain 4W 0D 0L (12:5).
  • H2H: 5 matches: Czech Republic 0W 1D 4L, goals 3–10.
  • Absences: Czech Republic 0, Spain 0.

Who will win Czech Republic vs Spain?

Czech Republic8%
Draw15%
Spain77%

Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.

Czech Republic vs Spain: more betting tips

Draw or Spain (X2)91.8% · fair odds 1.09 · best 1.06
Likely
Over 1.5 goals82.0% · fair odds 1.22 · best 1.18
Likely
Spain to win77.3% · fair odds 1.29 · best 1.27
Likely
Over 2.5 goals61.9% · fair odds 1.62 · best 1.55
Likely
Under 3.5 goals59.1% · fair odds 1.69 · best 1.65
Possible
BTTS – no54.4% · fair odds 1.84 · best 1.75
Possible
BTTS – yes45.6% · fair odds 2.19 · best 2.20
Outsider
Over 3.5 goals40.9% · fair odds 2.44 · best 2.41
Outsider
Under 2.5 goals38.1% · fair odds 2.62 · best 2.55
Outsider
Draw14.5% · fair odds 6.89 · best 7.02
Outsider
Czech Republic to win8.2% · fair odds 12.17 · best 13.00
Outsider

Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.

Tips on corners and cards

Cornersline 8.5 corners
Over 1.69 · Under 2.06
probability of over 54.9%
Cardsline 3.5 cards
Over 1.93 · Under 1.83
probability of over 48.7%

Correct score prediction

0 : 212.7%
0 : 310.6%
0 : 110.2%
1 : 28.9%
1 : 37.4%
1 : 17.1%

Czech Republic vs Spain: team news and absences

Czech Republic

  • No reported absences

Spain

  • No reported absences

Changes are possible before kick-off.

Standings and form

League A – Group C

#TeamPW-D-LGoalsPts
1Spain55-0-014:515
2England54-0-116:412
3Croatia51-0-45:163
4Czechia50-0-52:120

Recent matches

Czech Republic

12 NovLCzech Republic 0–2 Spain
6 OctLEngland 3–0 Czech Republic
3 OctLSpain 3–1 Czech Republic
29 SeptLCzech Republic 0–2 England
26 SeptLCzech Republic 1–2 Croatia

Spain

12 NovWCzech Republic 0–2 Spain
6 OctWCroatia 1–2 Spain
3 OctWSpain 3–1 Czech Republic
29 SeptWSpain 4–1 Croatia
26 SeptWEngland 2–3 Spain

Home and away

Czech Republic at home3 matches: 0W 0D 3L, goals 1–6
Spain away3 matches: 3W 0D 0L, goals 7–3

Czech Republic vs Spain: last matches of both teams

Czech Republic

L 6/10/26 · England 3–0 Czech Republic
L 3/10/26 · Spain 3–1 Czech Republic
L 29/9/26 · Czech Republic 0–2 England
L 26/9/26 · Czech Republic 1–2 Croatia

Spain

W 6/10/26 · Croatia 1–2 Spain
W 3/10/26 · Spain 3–1 Czech Republic
W 29/9/26 · Spain 4–1 Croatia
W 26/9/26 · England 2–3 Spain

Team comparison

Czech RepublicSpain
0%Form100%
14%Attack86%
33%Defence67%
9%Head to head91%
27%Goals73%
19.2%Overall80.8%

Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.

Form in the competition

Czech RepublicLLLLL
SpainWWWWW

Head to head

All matches
0Czech Republic
1Draws
4Spain
12/11/26 · Czech Republic 0–2 Spain
3/10/26 · Spain 3–1 Czech Republic
12/6/22 · Spain 2–0 Czech Republic
5/6/22 · Czech Republic 2–2 Spain
13/6/16 · Spain 1–0 Czech Republic

Returns calculator

Potential return0 £
Net profit0 £
Implied probability0%
Market margin5.9%

Questions and answers

What do we tip for Czech Republic vs Spain?

Czech Republic +2 (Asian handicap) (1.83); Over 2.5 goals (1.55).

Who will win Czech Republic vs Spain?

We estimate: Czech Republic win 8%, draw 15%, Spain win 77%.

Where and when is the game being played?

Date: 12 November 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Stadion Letná, Prague. Referee: Nikola Dabanović.

Who will be missing?

Czech Republic: no absences. Spain: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.

Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?

We estimate over 2.5 goals at 62% (odds 1.55); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 38% (odds 2.55).

Will both teams score?

By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 46% (odds 2.20).

Which correct score is the likeliest?

We rate 0–2 as most likely (12.7%), then 0–3 (10.6%) and 0–1 (10.2%).

What are your predictions based on?

We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.

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18+ · Any bet can be lost. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome. Bet responsibly.