Bet with Freshbet →Played: final score 3–1. The tip and analysis below are as they were before kick-off.
Dundalk v Shamrock Rovers: 30 October 2026 · 19:45 at Oriel Park (Dundalk), with P. McLaughlin refereeing. We have Shamrock Rovers (46%) down as favourites. Scroll down for the tip, the chances of each outcome, absences and our breakdown of the game.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: analysis of the match
What our tip is based on
- Table. Dundalk are 6th in the table, on 45 points after 36 matches (11W 12D 13L), and Shamrock Rovers are 1st, on 68 points (20W 8D 8L).
- Attack and defence. On average Dundalk score 1.5 goals a match in the competition and concede 1.7; for Shamrock Rovers the figures are 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
- Form in the competition. Dundalk: 10W 12D 13L, goals 52–58; Shamrock Rovers: 20W 8D 7L, goals 58–35.
- Head to head. From 30 meetings: 12 wins for Dundalk, 12 wins for Shamrock Rovers and 6 draws, with the goals at 33–40.
What to expect
For us, Shamrock Rovers are the more likely winners. We estimate a 1–2 score, roughly 3 goals in all, with 1–1 (11.0%) the most probable single result. Goals at both ends are likely in an open game.
In the goals market we pick Under 3.5 goals (odds 1.54), and we rate it at 63%. Our numbers give both teams scoring a 61% chance and more than 2.5 goals a 58% chance.
Prediction summary
- Meetings: 30; Dundalk 12 wins, 6 draws, Shamrock Rovers 12 wins.
- An average of 2.4 goals per meeting between these teams.
- In the competition, goals scored–conceded: Dundalk 52–58, Shamrock Rovers 58–35.
- Expected: roughly 3 goals; over 2.5 goals: 58%.
- Out: Dundalk 0, Shamrock Rovers 0.
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes
Alternative tip: BTTS – yes (probability 61%, best price 1.53). With roughly 3 goals expected, it fits the picture.
Absences
Absent for Dundalk: no absences. Absent for Shamrock Rovers: no absences. Team news may change, so check it again before kick-off.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: compare the odds
| Match result | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Best price | 3.52 | 3.82 | 2.05 |
| Market average | 3.29 | 3.59 | 2.00 |
| Lowest odds | 3.02 | 3.28 | 1.94 |
| Goals | Best | Average | Chance |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 goals | 1.20 | 1.17 | 79.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 1.62 | 1.61 | 58.3% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 2.35 | 2.25 | 41.7% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 2.63 | 2.49 | 37.3% |
| BTTS – yes | 1.53 | 1.52 | 61.1% |
| BTTS – no | 2.55 | 2.39 | 38.9% |
Prices from several bookmakers, combined and updated 30/10/26, 18:00. They are for guidance and can differ at any one operator. Margin, on average: 8.4%.
At a glance
- Likely result: Dundalk 1–1 Shamrock Rovers, roughly 3 goals in total.
- Table: Dundalk 6th (45 points), Shamrock Rovers 1st (68 points).
- Form in the competition: Dundalk 10W 12D 13L (52:58), Shamrock Rovers 20W 8D 7L (58:35).
- H2H: 30 matches: Dundalk 12W 6D 12L, goals 33–40.
- Absences: Dundalk 0, Shamrock Rovers 0.
Who will win Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
Our estimate uses odds from several bookmakers after removing the margin. It does not guarantee any result.
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: more betting tips
Fair odds = 1 / probability. Value exists when the best odds available are above the fair odds. Likely ≥ 60%, possible 50–60%, outsider < 50%.
Tips on corners and cards
Correct score prediction
Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers: team news and absences
Dundalk
- No reported absences
Shamrock Rovers
- No reported absences
Changes are possible before kick-off.
Standings and form
| # | Team | P | W-D-L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 20-8-8 | 59:38 | 68 |
| 2 |  Bohemians | 36 | 19-8-9 | 63:44 | 65 |
| 3 |  St Patrick's Athletic | 36 | 17-9-10 | 55:31 | 60 |
| 4 |  Shelbourne | 36 | 12-13-11 | 52:50 | 49 |
| 5 |  Derry City | 36 | 11-15-10 | 50:47 | 48 |
| 6 | Dundalk | 36 | 11-12-13 | 55:59 | 45 |
| 7 |  Waterford | 36 | 10-13-13 | 54:61 | 43 |
| 8 |  Galway United | 36 | 10-12-14 | 46:53 | 42 |
| 9 |  Drogheda United | 36 | 10-10-16 | 44:57 | 40 |
| 10 |  Sligo Rovers | 36 | 5-10-21 | 28:66 | 25 |
Recent matches
Dundalk
Home and away
Team comparison
Only this season's games so far are used, which means a small sample.
Form in the competition
DundalkWLDLLShamrock RoversLWLWWHead to head
All matchesReturns calculator
Questions and answers
What do we tip for Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
Dundalk +0.5 (Asian handicap) (1.85); Under 3.5 goals (1.54).
Who will win Dundalk vs Shamrock Rovers?
We estimate: Dundalk win 28%, draw 26%, Shamrock Rovers win 46%.
Where and when is the game being played?
Date: 30 October 2026, kick-off: 19:45, venue: Oriel Park, Dundalk. Referee: P. McLaughlin.
Who will be missing?
Dundalk: no absences. Shamrock Rovers: no absences. Changes are possible before kick-off.
Will the match produce over 2.5 goals?
We estimate over 2.5 goals at 58% (odds 1.62); for fewer than 2.5 the figure is 42% (odds 2.35).
Will both teams score?
By our estimate, both teams score with a probability of 61% (odds 1.53).
Which correct score is the likeliest?
We rate 1–1 as most likely (11.0%), then 1–2 (9.4%) and 0–1 (8.5%).
What are your predictions based on?
We start from the prices of several bookmakers, remove their margin and average them to get probabilities; a Poisson distribution then gives us the expected goals and the most probable scores. Form, head to head and absences appear on the page as extra context. We publish predictions purely as information, and none of them promises a winning outcome.
More predictions
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